Tienen vs 
Merelbeke• First Amateur Division, Belgium
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.88 | 2.91 | 4.8% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.45 | 2.80 | 8.8% |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.61 | 2.88 | 9.2% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 9.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.48 | 2.74 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 14.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.27 | 3.88 | 2.91 | 4.2% |
| Average | 2.18 | 3.55 | 2.80 | 9.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC
Tienen
3W 3D 4L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against
| 4 Oct | H | Merelbeke | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Cercle Brugge II | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Roeselare Daisel | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Harelbeke | 4-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Dessel Sport | 3-4 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | Hoogstraten | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | Knokke | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | Dessel Sport | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Mar | A | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2-0 | W |
Merelbeke
3W 2D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against
| 4 Oct | A | Tienen | 0-0 | D |
| 30 Sep | H | Dessel Sport | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | AS Eupen | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Harelbeke | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Cercle Brugge II | 3-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Hoogstraten | 3-2 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | K. Lierse S.K. | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Jun | H | Gent | 1-6 | L |
| 26 Apr | A | Ninove | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Tienen
| 8 Mar 2026First Amateur Division | First Amateur Division | Tienen2-0Merelbeke |
| 4 Oct 2025First Amateur Division | First Amateur Division | Merelbeke2-1Tienen |
| 27 Apr 2025First Amateur Division | First Amateur Division | Merelbeke0-0Tienen |
| 20 Oct 2024First Amateur Division | First Amateur Division | Tienen2-0Merelbeke |
First Amateur Division tableNational Division 1updated 10 Oct 22:10 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Rochefort | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Meux | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Tubize | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Charleroi II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Olympic Charleroi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Standard Liège II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:6 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Onhaye | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Habay-la-Neuve | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Flénu | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 2.11 | 5.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 2.18 | 6.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 2.05 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 1.98 | 11.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.18 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.68 | 2.08 | 7.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 2.26 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 2.22 | 10.0% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.15 | 11.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.23 | 9.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Tienen at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Merelbeke at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.43 | 2.55, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Tienen win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Tienen averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Merelbeke averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Tienen or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | 3.55 | 2.80 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 1.57 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.64 | 2.10 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.54 | 2.23 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.74 | 2.28 | 3.32 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 13.6 | 2.07 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.19 | 3.85 |
| 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.08 |
| 3.5 | 2.61 | 1.42 |
| 4.5 | 4.61 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 6.10 | 1.06 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 2 | 1.28 | 3.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.48 | 2.50 |
| 2.75 | 1.83 | 1.86 |
| 3 | 2.08 | 1.64 |
| 3.25 | 2.39 | 1.51 |
| 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 4 | 4.15 | 1.15 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.50 | 1.44 |
| -0.5 | 2.13 | 1.68 |
| -0.25 | 1.90 | 1.81 |
| 0 | 1.70 | 2.06 |
| +0.25 | 1.47 | 2.42 |
| +0.5 | 1.39 | 2.83 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 8.30 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| -1.25 | 3.78 | 1.19 |
| -1 | 3.26 | 1.27 |
| +0.75 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| +1 | 1.11 | 4.90 |
| +1.25 | 1.14 | 4.34 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 9.40 |