Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys• Tweede Divisie, Netherlands

#121.8:1.21-5FT03/10 · Sportpark De Krom, Katwijk2.8:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45BVCX4.201XB22.62B365Margin at best2.8%Books5Markets44Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.18	4.23	2.83	4.8%
Betano	2.22	3.75	2.67	9.2%
Betfair	2.05	3.80	2.80	10.8%
Bet365	2.15	3.75	2.60	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.68	2.77	12.3%
Best of all books	2.22	4.23	2.83	4.0%
Average	2.13	3.84	2.73	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KatwijkKozakken Boys

Last 10#12Table position#21.22Points per game2.227Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.81.2Goals against · last 51.239Attack rating6150Defence rating5043Form rating5793H2H rating737Goals model6355Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 11:21 UTC

Katwijk

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

3 Oct	H	Kozakken Boys	1-5	L
26 Sep	A	AFC Amsterdam	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	De Treffers	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Sparta Rotterdam II	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Almere City II	3-2	W
2 Sep	A	TOGB	2-3	L
29 Aug	A	Barendrecht	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Hoek	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Spakenburg	0-1	L
11 Jul	H	Sparta Rotterdam II	1-1	D

Kozakken Boys

6W 3D 1L · goals 28:13 · per match 2.8 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Katwijk	5-1	W
26 Sep	H	Koninklijke HFC	1-1	D
23 Sep	A	Groesbeek	5-1	W
19 Sep	A	HHC	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Rijnsburgse Boys	6-1	W
5 Sep	A	ROHDA Raalte	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	GVVV Veenendaal	3-2	W
22 Aug	A	Kloetinge	3-3	D
15 Aug	H	Ijsselmeervogels	1-2	L
11 Jul	H	Waalwijk	0-0	D

Head to head

6Katwijk wins

5draws

3Kozakken Boys wins

14 meetings · goals 18:16 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Katwijk

7 Mar 2026Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Katwijk2-1Kozakken Boys
4 Oct 2025Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys0-0Katwijk
3 Feb 2024Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Katwijk3-2Kozakken Boys
9 Sep 2023Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys1-2Katwijk
13 May 2023Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Katwijk1-0Kozakken Boys
19 Nov 2022Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys3-1Katwijk
9 Apr 2022Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Katwijk2-0Kozakken Boys
9 Oct 2021Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys2-3Katwijk
26 Sep 2020Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Katwijk2-2Kozakken Boys
26 Oct 2019Tweede Divisie	Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys0-0Katwijk

Tweede Divisie tableTweede Divisieupdated 13 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the Tweede Divisie table, Katwijk sit 12th with 11 points from 9 games, while Kozakken Boys are 2nd with 20 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Quick Boys	9	8	0	1	28:6	+22	24
2	Kozakken Boys	9	6	2	1	25:12	+13	20
3	De Treffers	9	5	3	1	24:9	+15	18
4	Ijsselmeervogels	8	5	1	2	12:5	+7	16
5	HHC	9	4	3	2	18:15	+3	15
6	Barendrecht	9	4	2	3	15:16	-1	14
7	AFC Amsterdam	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
8	Spakenburg	9	4	1	4	11:14	-3	13
9	GVVV Veenendaal	8	4	0	4	18:18	0	12
10	Sparta Rotterdam II	9	3	3	3	24:19	+5	12
11	RKAV Volendam	9	3	3	3	18:19	-1	12
12	Katwijk	9	3	2	4	11:19	-8	11
13	Almere City II	9	3	1	5	19:18	+1	10
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	9	3	1	5	16:26	-10	10
15	Hoek	9	2	3	4	11:15	-4	9
16	Kloetinge	9	1	4	4	14:24	-10	7
17	Koninklijke HFC	9	1	3	5	11:18	-7	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	9	0	1	8	9:31	-22	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.40X24%3.85239%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.13 → 2.34 +9.9%X3.84 → 3.86 +0.5%22.73 → 2.42 -11.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.63	6.5%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.46	10.6%
Betano	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.63	3.4%
Average	1.46	2.47	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.41	2.62	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.56	10.0%
Betano	1.40	2.50	11.4%
Best of all books	1.41	2.62	9.1%
Average	1.41	2.56	10.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Katwijk 35%Draw 35%Kozakken Boys 30%

The statistical model rated Katwijk at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kozakken Boys at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.85 | 2.36, which imply roughly 41.7% for a Katwijk win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Tweede Divisie table: Katwijk are 12th (11 pts, 11-19 goals), Kozakken Boys 2nd (20 pts, 25-12).

Over their last five matches, Katwijk averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Kozakken Boys averaged 2.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Katwijk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.13	3.84	2.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.61	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.41	2.56

1st half

1	X	2
2.64	2.44	3.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	18.4	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.12	4.96
2.5	1.47	2.47
3.5	2.09	1.65
4.5	3.34	1.26
5.5	5.58	1.09

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.15	4.70
2	1.16	4.20
2.25	1.32	3.09
2.75	1.53	2.21
3	1.68	1.96
3.25	1.93	1.79
3.75	2.41	1.45
4	2.88	1.32
4.25	3.28	1.27
5	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.88	1.32
-0.75	2.33	1.48
-0.5	1.93	1.78
-0.25	1.88	1.82
0	1.59	2.15
+0.25	1.45	2.41

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.30	1.05
-2.5	6.85	1.04
-2	6.20	1.06
-1.75	3.99	1.17
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.20	1.26
+0.75	1.25	3.28
+1	1.13	4.50
+1.5	1.09	5.25
+2	1.01	10.0