OddsFilter

Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk• First League, Russia

#51.2:0.81-2FT04/10 · Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo), Domodedovo1.4:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40PINX3.491XB22.94PINMargin at best4.3%Books3Markets41Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.373.492.944.9%
Pinnacle2.403.302.946.0%
Marathonbet2.333.242.888.5%
Best of all books2.403.492.944.3%
Average2.373.342.926.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VelesVolga Ulyanovsk
Last 10#5Table position#121.77Points per game1.082Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 51.246Attack rating5460Defence rating4062Form rating387H2H rating9365Goals model3545Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Veles

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

4 OctHVolga Ulyanovsk1-2L
17 SepATorpedo Moskva1-1D
14 SepHFC Sochi1-2L
9 SepAMurom0-1L
5 SepAFC UFA1-1D
29 AugATekstilshchik1-0W
24 AugHArsenal Tula2-0W
19 AugHNizhny Novgorod3-2W
15 AugASka-khabarovsk0-2L
9 AugHLeningradets2-1W

Volga Ulyanovsk

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

4 OctAVeles2-1W
26 SepHLeningradets0-1L
18 SepHSpartak Kostroma0-1L
13 SepAFC UFA2-2D
9 SepAVolgar Astrakhan0-0D
5 SepHArsenal Tula3-0W
30 AugANizhny Novgorod2-2D
22 AugHShinnik Yaroslavl1-3L
16 AugAFC Sochi0-1L
9 AugAKAMAZ2-1W

Head to head

2Veles wins
2draws
4Volga Ulyanovsk wins

8 meetings · goals 9:10 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Veles

2 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsVeles0-2Volga Ulyanovsk
28 May 2025Second League A - Spring Season GoldSecond League A - Spring Season GoldVeles1-2Volga Ulyanovsk
13 Apr 2025Second League A - Spring Season GoldSecond League A - Spring Season GoldVolga Ulyanovsk3-2Veles
12 Nov 2023Second League A - Fall Season GoldSecond League A - Fall Season GoldVeles0-0Volga Ulyanovsk
16 Jul 2023Second League A - Fall Season GoldSecond League A - Fall Season GoldVolga Ulyanovsk1-0Veles
26 Mar 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueVeles0-0Volga Ulyanovsk
4 Sep 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueVolga Ulyanovsk0-2Veles
30 Sep 2020CupCupVolga Ulyanovsk2-4Veles

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, Veles sit 5th with 23 points from 13 games, while Volga Ulyanovsk are 12th with 14 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod12101136:14+2231
2Ural1274120:6+1425
3Spartak Kostroma1373318:13+524
4FC Sochi1272321:14+723
5Veles1372417:16+123
6Torpedo Moskva1263321:9+1221
7FC UFA1246216:13+318
8Rotor Volgograd1252520:14+617
9Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:13+216
10Arsenal Tula1344515:24-916
11Chelyabinsk1343617:21-415
12Volga Ulyanovsk1342716:19-314
13Enisey1235415:20-514
14Leningradets1234510:20-1013
15FK Neftekhimik134099:19-1012
16KAMAZ1223711:19-89
17Tekstilshchik121478:19-117
18Ska-khabarovsk1213811:23-126

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.37X28%3.37232%2.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.141.734.5%
Pinnacle2.161.685.8%
Marathonbet2.121.667.4%
Best of all books2.161.734.1%
Average2.141.695.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.851.867.8%
Marathonbet1.851.838.7%
Best of all books1.851.867.8%
Average1.851.858.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Veles 45%Draw 45%Volga Ulyanovsk 10%

The statistical model rated Veles at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Volga Ulyanovsk at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.37 | 3.37 | 2.95, which imply roughly 42.2% for a Veles win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Veles are 5th (23 pts, 17-16 goals), Volga Ulyanovsk 12th (14 pts, 16-19).

Over their last five matches, Veles averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Volga Ulyanovsk averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Veles or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Veles

Coach: A. Stukalov

Goalkeeper

  • 41S. Samok

Defence

  • 23K. Skvortsov
  • 80M. Rybalko
  • 5A. Koloskov

Midfield

  • 22Y. Zavezen
  • 77O. Smirnov
  • 97A. Shubin
  • 90V. Galkin
  • 10M. Bammatgereev

Attack

  • 8Z. Tarasenko
  • 7A. Murza
Substitutes (12)
  • 99N. Abdokov
  • 70Matvey Zakharzhevskiy
  • 18D. Sergeev
  • 40A. Bezchasnyuk
  • 9K. Giraev
  • 11K. Korolkov
  • 94D. Kuchugura
  • 76I. Kuptsov
  • 6I. Melikov
  • 87I. Nikin
  • 15K. Pliev
  • 88D. Sadov

Volga Ulyanovsk

Coach: A. Grishchenko

Goalkeeper

  • 95A. Khodanovich

Defence

  • 50A. Bykov
  • 88M. Dziov
  • 4K. Ibragimov
  • 99A. Kostin
  • 5D. Stepanov

Midfield

  • 9K. Folmer
  • 55Aleksandr Saplinov
  • 10R. Shagiakhmetov

Attack

  • 8Denis Rakhmanov
  • 14V. Yakovlev
Substitutes (9)
  • 22Denis Rakhmanov
  • 3O. Krasilnichenko
  • 20K. Kovalev
  • 15David kokoev
  • 11A. Khashkulov
  • 60I. Kasyanov
  • 17I. Gershun
  • 77L. Bagatelia
  • 1R. Shakerov

Match Statistics

VelesVolga Ulyanovsk
6Corner Kicks4
6Shots off Goal3
2Shots on Goal2
0Red Cards1
0Yellow Cards5
64%Ball Possession36%
0Blocked Shots0
8Total Shots5

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.373.342.92

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.561.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.85

1st half

1X2
3.072.093.64

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.927.702.18

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.38
1.51.362.91
2.52.141.69
3.53.781.22
4.57.631.03
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.10
11.056.40
1.251.203.92
1.751.432.55
21.582.19
2.251.881.87
2.752.451.48
33.041.29
3.253.411.25
3.754.651.12
46.501.05
4.256.901.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.771.37
-0.52.391.56
-0.252.011.76
01.712.10
+0.251.482.42
+0.51.392.90
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.701.01
-1.756.001.06
-1.54.601.13
-1.254.291.17
-13.811.21
+0.751.253.45
+11.125.02
+1.251.085.50
+1.51.075.95
+1.751.027.80
+21.0110.0