Ural vs Veles• First League, Russia

#21.6:0.809:00Tomorrow · Central Stadium(Yekaterinburg), Yekaterinburg1.0:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.471XBX4.45PIN27.201XBMargin at best4.4%Books4Markets84Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.47	4.36	7.20	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.44	4.46	7.16	5.8%
Dafabet	1.43	4.30	6.80	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.42	4.20	6.95	8.6%
Best of all books	1.47	4.46	7.20	4.3%
Average	1.44	4.33	7.03	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UralVeles

Last 10#2Table position#52.08Points per game1.7710Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.262Attack rating3860Defence rating4069Form rating31100H2H rating093Goals model772Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Ural

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

26 Sep	A	Spartak Kostroma	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Luki-Energiya	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	KAMAZ	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Arsenal Tula	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Tekstilshchik	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Rotor Volgograd	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	FC UFA	3-0	W
2 Aug	A	Ska-khabarovsk	3-0	W

Veles

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	H	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Torpedo Moskva	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	FC Sochi	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Murom	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	FC UFA	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Tekstilshchik	1-0	W
24 Aug	H	Arsenal Tula	2-0	W
19 Aug	H	Nizhny Novgorod	3-2	W
15 Aug	A	Ska-khabarovsk	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	Leningradets	2-1	W

Head to head

1Ural wins

0draws

0Veles wins

1 meeting · goals 3:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Ural

21 Oct 2020Cup

Cup

Veles1-3Ural

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, Ural sit 2nd with 25 points from 12 games, while Veles are 5th with 23 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	12	10	1	1	36:14	+22	31
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	+14	25
3	Spartak Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18:13	+5	24
4	FC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
5	Veles	13	7	2	4	17:16	+1	23
6	Torpedo Moskva	12	6	3	3	21:9	+12	21
7	FC UFA	12	4	6	2	16:13	+3	18
8	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	+6	17
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	+2	16
10	Arsenal Tula	13	4	4	5	15:24	-9	16
11	Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17:21	-4	15
12	Volga Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
13	Enisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14
14	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13
15	FK Neftekhimik	13	4	0	9	9:19	-10	12
16	KAMAZ	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9
17	Tekstilshchik	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7
18	Ska-khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.43X22%4.33213%7.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.48 → 1.43 -3.4%X4.13 → 4.33 +4.8%26.66 → 7.03 +5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.91	1.91	4.7%
1xBet	1.92	1.90	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.86	7.2%
Best of all books	1.92	1.91	4.4%
Average	1.90	1.89	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Best of all books	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Average	2.05	1.68	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ural 50%Draw 50%Veles 0%

The statistical model rates Ural at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Veles at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.33 | 7.03, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Ural win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the First League table: Ural are 2nd (25 pts, 20-6 goals), Veles 5th (23 pts, 17-16).

Over their last five matches, Ural averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Veles averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ural or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	4.33	7.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.65	1.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
1.95	2.30	6.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	8.80	3.74

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.80
1.5	1.26	3.39
2.5	1.90	1.89
3.5	3.09	1.30
4.5	5.81	1.09
5.5	12.0	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.28
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.14	4.45
1.75	1.34	2.91
2	1.41	2.65
2.25	1.66	2.16
2.75	2.13	1.68
3	2.48	1.46
3.25	2.74	1.35
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.00	1.10
4.25	5.30	1.09
5	9.40	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.73	1.43
-1.5	2.28	1.60
-1.25	2.01	1.77
-1	1.72	2.06
-0.75	1.52	2.36
-0.5	1.43	2.82

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.02
-3	7.20	1.03
-2.75	5.10	1.10
-2.5	4.00	1.17
-2.25	3.89	1.21
-2	3.46	1.25
-0.25	1.26	3.40
0	1.12	5.16
+0.25	1.08	5.55
+0.75	1.02	8.20
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.25	1.01	8.38
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.41
6.5	1.17	3.89
7.5	1.39	2.63
8.5	1.73	1.99
9.5	2.21	1.59
10.5	2.94	1.32
11.5	4.19	1.15
12.5	6.28	1.05
13.5	6.57	1.03

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.12
6	1.05	5.83
6.25	1.12	4.52
6.75	1.21	3.57
7	1.24	3.36
7.25	1.33	2.88
7.75	1.48	2.42
8	1.53	2.34
8.25	1.66	2.08
8.75	1.86	1.84
9	1.99	1.75
9.25	2.12	1.64
9.75	2.44	1.47
10	2.67	1.41
10.25	2.87	1.33
10.75	3.41	1.23
11	4.00	1.16
11.25	4.18	1.14
11.75	5.13	1.08
12	6.35	1.03
12.25	6.58	1.03
12.75	5.03	1.09
13	6.14	1.04
13.25	6.36	1.03