FC Sochi vs FC UFA• First League, Russia

#41.6:1.214:00Tomorrow · Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi1.0:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.621XBX3.96PIN25.911XBMargin at best3.9%Books4Markets77Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 21:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.62	3.84	5.91	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.56	3.96	5.75	6.7%
Dafabet	1.58	3.90	5.20	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.70	5.70	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	3.96	5.91	3.9%
Average	1.58	3.85	5.64	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC SochiFC UFA

Last 10#4Table position#71.92Points per game1.507Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.062Attack rating3845Defence rating5563Form rating38100H2H rating070Goals model3061Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

FC Sochi

6W 1D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

18 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	1-1	D
14 Sep	A	Veles	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Dinamo St. Petersburg	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Nizhny Novgorod	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Chelyabinsk	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	KAMAZ	3-2	W
20 Aug	A	FK Neftekhimik	2-1	W
16 Aug	H	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Torpedo Moskva	2-1	W
1 Aug	A	Leningradets	1-2	L

FC UFA

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

27 Sep	H	Torpedo Moskva	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Chelyabinsk	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Volga Ulyanovsk	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Kaluga	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Veles	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Enisey	3-1	W
17 Aug	A	Spartak Kostroma	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Ural	0-3	L
3 Aug	H	KAMAZ	1-1	D

Head to head

5FC Sochi wins

3draws

0FC UFA wins

8 meetings · goals 19:11 · last 8: 5W 3D 0L for FC Sochi

22 Nov 2024First League	First League	FC Sochi5-2FC UFA
25 Aug 2024First League	First League	FC UFA3-4FC Sochi
10 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	FC UFA1-2PFC Sochi
12 Sep 2021Premier League	Premier League	PFC Sochi3-1FC UFA
25 Apr 2021Premier League	Premier League	FC UFA2-3PFC Sochi
6 Nov 2020Premier League	Premier League	PFC Sochi1-1FC UFA
24 Nov 2019Premier League	Premier League	FC UFA1-1PFC Sochi
4 Aug 2019Premier League	Premier League	PFC Sochi0-0FC UFA

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, FC Sochi sit 4th with 23 points from 12 games, while FC UFA are 7th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	12	10	1	1	36:14	+22	31
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	+14	25
3	Spartak Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18:13	+5	24
4	FC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
5	Veles	13	7	2	4	17:16	+1	23
6	Torpedo Moskva	12	6	3	3	21:9	+12	21
7	FC UFA	12	4	6	2	16:13	+3	18
8	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	+6	17
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	+2	16
10	Arsenal Tula	13	4	4	5	15:24	-9	16
11	Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17:21	-4	15
12	Volga Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
13	Enisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14
14	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13
15	FK Neftekhimik	13	4	0	9	9:19	-10	12
16	KAMAZ	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9
17	Tekstilshchik	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7
18	Ska-khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.58X24%3.83217%5.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.52 → 1.58 +3.9%X4.05 → 3.83 -5.4%26.34 → 5.64 -11.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.94	1.88	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.91	1.88	5.5%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.84	7.3%
Best of all books	1.94	1.88	4.7%
Average	1.91	1.87	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Average	1.90	1.79	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Sochi 45%Draw 45%FC UFA 10%

The statistical model rates FC Sochi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC UFA at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.83 | 5.64, which imply roughly 63.3% for a FC Sochi win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: FC Sochi are 4th (23 pts, 21-14 goals), FC UFA 7th (18 pts, 16-13).

Over their last five matches, FC Sochi averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; FC UFA averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Sochi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.85	5.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.28	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.11	2.19	6.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.46	8.30	3.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.30
1.5	1.27	3.30
2.5	1.91	1.87
3.5	3.12	1.29
4.5	5.88	1.09
5.5	12.5	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.78
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.14	4.33
1.75	1.32	2.88
2	1.42	2.60
2.25	1.68	2.12
2.75	2.10	1.63
3	2.52	1.44
3.25	2.74	1.35
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.00	1.10
4.25	5.30	1.09
5	9.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.59	1.46
-1.25	2.26	1.57
-1	1.97	1.78
-0.75	1.69	2.03
-0.5	1.55	2.42
-0.25	1.36	2.83

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.75	5.95	1.07
-2.5	4.70	1.12
-2.25	4.33	1.14
-2	4.14	1.18
-1.75	3.20	1.32
0	1.17	4.18
+0.25	1.13	4.60
+0.75	1.04	6.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.96
7.5	1.26	3.20
8.5	1.52	2.32
9.5	1.90	1.82
10.5	2.43	1.48
11.5	3.28	1.25
12.5	4.71	1.11

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.10	4.78
7	1.12	4.54
7.25	1.19	3.71
7.75	1.30	3.03
8	1.34	2.86
8.25	1.43	2.53
8.75	1.60	2.18
9	1.69	2.08
9.25	1.79	1.92
9.75	2.01	1.71
10	2.18	1.62
10.25	2.29	1.54
10.75	2.64	1.40
11	2.96	1.31
11.25	3.12	1.28
11.75	3.72	1.19
12	4.38	1.13
12.25	4.57	1.11
12.75	5.60	1.06
13	6.95	1.02