Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Tekstilshchik• First League, Russia

#90.6:0.814:00Tomorrow · Shinnik, Yaroslavl0.6:2.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.651XBX3.75DAF25.761XBMargin at best4.6%Books4Markets75Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.65	3.74	5.76	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.62	3.75	5.76	5.8%
Dafabet	1.64	3.75	5.00	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.59	3.60	5.55	8.7%
Best of all books	1.65	3.75	5.76	4.6%
Average	1.63	3.71	5.52	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shinnik YaroslavlTekstilshchik

Last 10#9Table position#171.33Points per game0.586Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating5073Defence rating2780Form rating2038H2H rating6261Goals model3957Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Shinnik Yaroslavl

3W 5D 2L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

27 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	KAMAZ	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Ural	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Torpedo Moskva	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Rotor Volgograd	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Enisey	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	3-1	W
14 Aug	A	FK Neftekhimik	2-0	W
8 Aug	H	Arsenal Tula	2-2	D
2 Aug	A	Nizhny Novgorod	0-3	L

Tekstilshchik

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:17 · per match 0.8 for, 1.7 against

3 Oct	A	FC Orenburg	2-3	L
17 Sep	H	Rotor Volgograd	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Leningradets	2-2	D
8 Sep	H	Arsenal Tula	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Torpedo Moskva	1-4	L
29 Aug	H	Veles	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Ural	0-2	L
19 Aug	A	KAMAZ	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Nizhny Novgorod	1-3	L
8 Aug	A	Enisey	0-0	D

Head to head

2Shinnik Yaroslavl wins

3draws

2Tekstilshchik wins

7 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 7: 2W 3D 2L for Shinnik Yaroslavl

17 Apr 2021First League	First League	Tekstilshchik0-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
24 Oct 2020First League	First League	Shinnik Yaroslavl0-3Tekstilshchik
25 Jul 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1Tekstilshchik
18 Jul 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2Tekstilshchik
23 Nov 2019First League	First League	Shinnik Yaroslavl3-0Tekstilshchik
21 Aug 2019Cup	Cup	Shinnik Yaroslavl1-0Tekstilshchik
10 Aug 2019First League	First League	Tekstilshchik1-1Shinnik Yaroslavl

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 9th with 16 points from 12 games, while Tekstilshchik are 17th with 7 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	12	10	1	1	36:14	+22	31
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	+14	25
3	Spartak Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18:13	+5	24
4	FC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
5	Veles	13	7	2	4	17:16	+1	23
6	Torpedo Moskva	12	6	3	3	21:9	+12	21
7	FC UFA	12	4	6	2	16:13	+3	18
8	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	+6	17
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	+2	16
10	Arsenal Tula	13	4	4	5	15:24	-9	16
11	Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17:21	-4	15
12	Volga Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
13	Enisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14
14	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13
15	FK Neftekhimik	13	4	0	9	9:19	-10	12
16	KAMAZ	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9
17	Tekstilshchik	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7
18	Ska-khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.62X25%3.70217%5.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.67 → 1.62 -3.0%X3.61 → 3.70 +2.5%25.24 → 5.49 +4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.19	1.69	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.19	1.68	5.2%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.65	7.3%
Best of all books	2.19	1.69	4.8%
Average	2.17	1.67	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.10	1.66	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.64	8.6%
Best of all books	2.10	1.66	7.9%
Average	2.10	1.65	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shinnik Yaroslavl 45%Draw 45%Tekstilshchik 10%

The statistical model rates Shinnik Yaroslavl at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tekstilshchik at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.49, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Shinnik Yaroslavl win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Shinnik Yaroslavl are 9th (16 pts, 15-13 goals), Tekstilshchik 17th (7 pts, 8-19).

Over their last five matches, Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Tekstilshchik averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	3.71	5.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.22	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	2.10	6.19

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	7.90	3.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	7.90
1.5	1.35	2.88
2.5	2.17	1.67
3.5	3.86	1.21
4.5	7.50	1.03
5.5	15.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.20
1	1.05	6.50
1.25	1.19	3.78
1.75	1.44	2.54
2	1.59	2.18
2.25	1.89	1.87
2.75	2.46	1.47
3	3.08	1.28
3.25	3.42	1.23
3.75	4.80	1.12
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.86	1.39
-1.25	2.44	1.50
-1	2.11	1.69
-0.75	1.76	1.96
-0.5	1.62	2.33
-0.25	1.38	2.77

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.30	1.03
-2.5	5.55	1.08
-2.25	5.15	1.10
-2	4.70	1.12
-1.75	3.61	1.26
0	1.19	4.10
+0.25	1.15	4.73
+0.75	1.04	7.27
+1	1.01	9.60
+1.25	1.01	9.95
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	4.88
7.5	1.27	3.17
8.5	1.53	2.31
9.5	1.91	1.81
10.5	2.46	1.47
11.5	3.32	1.25
12.5	4.80	1.11
13.5	6.60	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.66
7	1.12	4.43
7.25	1.20	3.63
7.75	1.31	2.97
8	1.35	2.80
8.25	1.45	2.49
8.75	1.62	2.15
9	1.70	2.05
9.25	1.81	1.89
9.75	2.04	1.69
10	2.21	1.61
10.25	2.33	1.52
10.75	2.69	1.38
11	3.03	1.30
11.25	3.19	1.26
11.75	3.81	1.18
12	4.50	1.12
12.25	4.70	1.11
12.75	5.77	1.05
13	7.18	1.01
13.25	6.38	1.03