Leningradets vs Torpedo Moskva• First League, Russia

#141.2:2.211:00Tomorrow · Roshchino Arena, Roschino1.6:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.601XBX3.821XB21.651XBMargin at best4.6%Books4Markets77Rating39 · 62Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.60	3.82	1.65	4.6%
Pinnacle	5.55	3.86	1.62	5.7%
Dafabet	5.20	3.70	1.63	7.6%
Marathonbet	5.40	3.68	1.59	8.6%
Best of all books	5.60	3.86	1.65	4.4%
Average	5.44	3.76	1.62	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeningradetsTorpedo Moskva

Last 10#14Table position#61.08Points per game1.755Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.62.2Goals against · last 50.843Attack rating5727Defence rating7347Form rating5350H2H rating5014Goals model8639Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Leningradets

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Dinamo Makhachkala	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0	W
17 Sep	A	Nizhny Novgorod	0-6	L
13 Sep	H	Tekstilshchik	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	FK Sokol Saratov	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Ska-khabarovsk	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	KAMAZ	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Chelyabinsk	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Arsenal Tula	0-0	D
9 Aug	A	Veles	1-2	L

Torpedo Moskva

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

3 Oct	A	Torpedo Zhodino	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	FC UFA	0-0	D
17 Sep	H	Veles	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Nizhny Novgorod	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl	0-2	L
4 Sep	A	Tekstilshchik	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Ska-khabarovsk	2-0	W
21 Aug	H	Spartak Kostroma	3-0	W
15 Aug	A	Chelyabinsk	4-0	W
8 Aug	H	FC Sochi	1-2	L

Head to head

1Leningradets wins

0draws

1Torpedo Moskva wins

2 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Leningradets

25 May 2024First League	First League	Leningradets2-3Torpedo Moskva
1 Oct 2023First League	First League	Torpedo Moskva2-3Leningradets

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, Leningradets sit 14th with 13 points from 12 games, while Torpedo Moskva are 6th with 21 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	12	10	1	1	36:14	+22	31
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	+14	25
3	Spartak Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18:13	+5	24
4	FC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
5	Veles	13	7	2	4	17:16	+1	23
6	Torpedo Moskva	12	6	3	3	21:9	+12	21
7	FC UFA	12	4	6	2	16:13	+3	18
8	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	+6	17
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	+2	16
10	Arsenal Tula	13	4	4	5	15:24	-9	16
11	Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17:21	-4	15
12	Volga Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
13	Enisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14
14	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13
15	FK Neftekhimik	13	4	0	9	9:19	-10	12
16	KAMAZ	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9
17	Tekstilshchik	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7
18	Ska-khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.41X25%3.75258%1.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.45 → 5.41 -0.7%X3.65 → 3.75 +2.7%21.64 → 1.62 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.04	1.80	4.6%
Pinnacle	2.04	1.78	5.2%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
Best of all books	2.04	1.80	4.6%
Average	2.02	1.78	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.98	1.74	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Best of all books	1.98	1.74	8.0%
Average	1.98	1.73	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leningradets 10%Draw 45%Torpedo Moskva 45%

The statistical model rates Leningradets at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Torpedo Moskva at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.41 | 3.75 | 1.62, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Leningradets are 14th (13 pts, 10-20 goals), Torpedo Moskva 6th (21 pts, 21-9).

Over their last five matches, Leningradets averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Torpedo Moskva averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Torpedo Moskva.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.44	3.76	1.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.22	1.13	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.98	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
5.88	2.17	2.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.25	8.10	1.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.10
1.5	1.30	3.13
2.5	2.02	1.78
3.5	3.43	1.25
4.5	6.40	1.05
5.5	13.5	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.38	2.75
2	1.50	2.38
2.25	1.78	2.00
2.75	2.32	1.58
3	2.76	1.38
3.25	3.05	1.28
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.76	1.38
+0.5	2.33	1.62
+0.75	1.98	1.76
+1	1.72	2.06
+1.25	1.54	2.40
+1.5	1.42	2.74

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	10.0	1.01
-0.75	6.55	1.05
-0.25	4.54	1.15
0	3.98	1.20
+1.75	1.28	3.25
+2	1.14	4.35
+2.25	1.12	4.75
+2.5	1.10	5.10
+2.75	1.05	6.79
+3	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.28
7.5	1.23	3.38
8.5	1.48	2.43
9.5	1.83	1.89
10.5	2.30	1.53
11.5	3.09	1.28
12.5	4.39	1.14
13.5	6.89	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.08	5.06
7	1.10	4.82
7.25	1.17	3.90
7.75	1.27	3.17
8	1.30	2.99
8.25	1.40	2.63
8.75	1.55	2.26
9	1.63	2.16
9.25	1.74	1.98
9.75	1.95	1.76
10	2.08	1.69
10.25	2.21	1.58
10.75	2.54	1.43
11	2.83	1.34
11.25	2.98	1.31
11.75	3.53	1.21
12	4.12	1.15
12.25	4.31	1.13
12.75	5.25	1.08
13	6.46	1.03
13.25	6.67	1.02