OddsFilter

Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma• First League, Russia

#101.0:2.43-2FTToday · Arsenal Stadium (Tula), Tula1.0:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.511XBX3.21PIN22.981XBMargin at best4.6%Books5Markets71Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.543.172.994.4%
1xBet2.513.192.984.7%
Dafabet2.403.202.858.0%
Marathonbet2.423.082.888.5%
SBO2.292.912.7015.1%
Best of all books2.543.202.994.1%
Average2.433.112.888.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
Last 10#10Table position#31.23Points per game1.854Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 51.02.4Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5014Defence rating8614Form rating8629H2H rating7137Goals model6331Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Arsenal Tula

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

4 OctACSKA Moscow1-3L
26 SepALokomotiv2-0W
16 SepAEnisey1-3L
13 SepHSka-khabarovsk2-2D
8 SepATekstilshchik0-1L
5 SepAVolga Ulyanovsk0-3L
29 AugHUral2-2D
24 AugAVeles0-2L
20 AugHRotor Volgograd2-1W
15 AugALeningradets0-0D

Spartak Kostroma

6W 2D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

26 SepHUral1-2L
18 SepAVolga Ulyanovsk1-0W
14 SepHFK Neftekhimik1-0W
8 SepARyazan2-0W
5 SepAChelyabinsk1-0W
31 AugHRotor Volgograd1-0W
21 AugATorpedo Moskva0-3L
17 AugHFC UFA1-1D
9 AugASka-khabarovsk3-1W
1 AugHEnisey2-2D

Head to head

0Arsenal Tula wins
2draws
1Spartak Kostroma wins

3 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 3: 0W 2D 1L for Arsenal Tula

21 Jun 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsArsenal Tula1-1Spartak Kostroma
25 Apr 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueSpartak Kostroma1-1Arsenal Tula
13 Sep 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueArsenal Tula1-2Spartak Kostroma

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, Arsenal Tula sit 10th with 16 points from 13 games, while Spartak Kostroma are 3rd with 24 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod12101136:14+2231
2Ural1274120:6+1425
3Spartak Kostroma1373318:13+524
4FC Sochi1272321:14+723
5Veles1372417:16+123
6Torpedo Moskva1263321:9+1221
7FC UFA1246216:13+318
8Rotor Volgograd1252520:14+617
9Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:13+216
10Arsenal Tula1344515:24-916
11Chelyabinsk1343617:21-415
12Volga Ulyanovsk1342716:19-314
13Enisey1235415:20-514
14Leningradets1234510:20-1013
15FK Neftekhimik134099:19-1012
16KAMAZ1223711:19-89
17Tekstilshchik121478:19-117
18Ska-khabarovsk1213811:23-126

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.43X30%3.11232%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 03:318 Oct 21:411 2.41X 3.102 2.87
12.70 → 2.41 -10.7%X3.15 → 3.10 -1.6%22.66 → 2.87 +7.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.271.654.7%
Pinnacle2.351.614.7%
Marathonbet2.211.617.4%
Best of all books2.351.653.2%
Average2.281.625.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.871.838.1%
Marathonbet1.871.818.7%
Best of all books1.871.838.1%
Average1.871.828.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal Tula 10%Draw 45%Spartak Kostroma 45%

The statistical model rated Arsenal Tula at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Spartak Kostroma at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.43 | 3.11 | 2.88, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Arsenal Tula are 10th (16 pts, 15-24 goals), Spartak Kostroma 3rd (24 pts, 18-13).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal Tula averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Spartak Kostroma averaged 1 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Kostroma.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Arsenal Tula

Coach: D. Alenichev

Goalkeeper

  • 42A. Melikhov

Defence

  • 4D. Penchikov
  • 24K. Gotsuk

Midfield

  • 25A. Biryukov
  • 77D. Plotnikov
  • 35I. Enin

Attack

  • 22G. Uridia
  • 8D. Shamkin
  • 23T. Melekestsev
  • 11R. Magomedov
  • 19N. Glushkov
Substitutes (10)
  • 82A. Alekhin
  • 14M. Brnović
  • 9D. Davidyan
  • 71A. Efremov
  • 17I. Gorbunov
  • 5Y. Krashevskiy
  • 36M. Levashov
  • 18M. Tsulaia
  • 75T. Zhamaletdinov
  • 10I. Zhigulev

Spartak Kostroma

Coach: Evgeniy Taranukhin

Goalkeeper

  • 68M. Gaydash

Defence

  • 21M. Bugarin
  • 6N. Mohammadi
  • 96A. Mokhammad
  • 5D. Zhilmostnykh

Midfield

  • 18V. Kamilov
  • 17D. Kaptilovich
  • 22A. Nemchenko
  • 87Armin Spahic

Attack

  • 90A. Kalmykov
  • 82O. Nikiforenko
Substitutes (11)
  • 70R. Chervyakov
  • 69K. Chursin
  • 8N. Demchenko
  • 11D. Ghurtskaia
  • 10D. Karaev
  • 73D. Kirakosyan
  • 77I. Meshcheryakov
  • 66Maksim Nikiforov
  • 13I. Rubtsov
  • 50E. Shamov
  • 3S. Bugriev

Match Statistics

Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
6Corner Kicks9
48%Ball Possession52%
2Shots off Goal4
0Red Cards0
7Shots on Goal7
3Yellow Cards4
0Blocked Shots0
9Total Shots11

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.433.112.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.361.491.31

Draw no bet

12
1.742.06

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.82

1st half

1X2
3.131.973.59

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.937.902.15

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.027.90
1.51.372.81
2.52.281.62
3.54.121.18
4.58.401.01
5.516.51.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.056.40
1.251.203.70
1.751.472.46
21.652.11
2.251.961.81
2.752.611.43
33.221.26
3.253.581.21
3.755.151.10
47.501.03
4.258.001.02
512.51.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.951.34
-0.52.521.54
-0.252.091.71
01.762.07
+0.251.492.43
+0.51.412.97
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.601.01
-1.756.951.04
-1.55.151.10
-1.254.641.12
-14.201.18
+0.751.243.59
+11.115.46
+1.251.075.90
+1.51.056.50
+1.751.018.90
+21.019.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.11
7.51.253.31
8.51.542.31
9.51.911.81
10.52.371.49
11.53.171.27
12.54.561.12
13.57.131.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.094.92
71.114.68
7.251.183.80
7.751.283.10
81.382.78
8.251.422.58
8.751.572.22
91.732.02
9.251.761.95
9.751.981.74
102.241.59
10.252.251.56
10.752.591.41
112.891.33
11.253.041.29
11.753.621.20
124.251.14
12.254.431.12
12.755.421.07
136.691.02
13.256.911.02