OddsFilter

FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva• First League, Russia

#71.6:1.20-0FT27/09 · Neftyanik Stadium, Ufa2.2:0.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.451XBX3.36PIN21.93PINMargin at best4.0%Books3Markets45Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 03:32 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet4.773.581.794.8%
Pinnacle4.673.491.776.6%
Marathonbet4.603.451.738.5%
Best of all books4.773.581.794.8%
Average4.683.511.766.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC UFATorpedo Moskva
Last 10#7Table position#61.50Points per game1.753Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 50.842Attack rating5840Defence rating6044Form rating5636H2H rating6424Goals model7638Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

FC UFA

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

27 SepHTorpedo Moskva0-0D
18 SepAChelyabinsk1-2L
13 SepHVolga Ulyanovsk2-2D
9 SepAKaluga0-1L
5 SepHVeles1-1D
28 AugAFK Neftekhimik1-0W
23 AugHEnisey3-1W
17 AugASpartak Kostroma1-1D
8 AugAUral0-3L
3 AugHKAMAZ1-1D

Torpedo Moskva

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

3 OctATorpedo Zhodino2-1W
27 SepAFC UFA0-0D
17 SepHVeles1-1D
13 SepHNizhny Novgorod1-2L
10 SepAShinnik Yaroslavl0-2L
4 SepATekstilshchik4-1W
30 AugASka-khabarovsk2-0W
21 AugHSpartak Kostroma3-0W
15 AugAChelyabinsk4-0W
8 AugHFC Sochi1-2L

Head to head

0FC UFA wins
4draws
1Torpedo Moskva wins

5 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 5: 0W 4D 1L for FC UFA

6 Apr 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueFC UFA1-1Torpedo Moskva
3 Sep 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueTorpedo Moskva0-0FC UFA
9 Mar 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueTorpedo Moskva0-0FC UFA
31 Aug 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueFC UFA0-1Torpedo Moskva
26 Sep 2023CupCupFC UFA1-1Torpedo Moskva

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, FC UFA sit 7th with 18 points from 12 games, while Torpedo Moskva are 6th with 21 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod12101136:14+2231
2Ural1274120:6+1425
3Spartak Kostroma1373318:13+524
4FC Sochi1272321:14+723
5Veles1372417:16+123
6Torpedo Moskva1263321:9+1221
7FC UFA1246216:13+318
8Rotor Volgograd1252520:14+617
9Shinnik Yaroslavl1237215:13+216
10Arsenal Tula1344515:24-916
11Chelyabinsk1343617:21-415
12Volga Ulyanovsk1342716:19-314
13Enisey1235415:20-514
14Leningradets1234510:20-1013
15FK Neftekhimik134099:19-1012
16KAMAZ1223711:19-89
17Tekstilshchik121478:19-117
18Ska-khabarovsk1213811:23-126

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.83X30%3.10246%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Sep 00:0127 Sep 08:211 4.17X 3.232 1.89
14.68 → 4.17 -10.9%X3.51 → 3.23 -8.0%21.76 → 1.89 +7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.081.764.9%
Pinnacle2.071.745.8%
Marathonbet2.031.727.4%
Best of all books2.081.764.9%
Average2.061.746.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.921.797.9%
Marathonbet1.921.778.6%
Best of all books1.921.797.9%
Average1.921.788.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC UFA 10%Draw 45%Torpedo Moskva 45%

The statistical model rated FC UFA at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Torpedo Moskva at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.83 | 3.10 | 2.02, which imply roughly 32.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: FC UFA are 7th (18 pts, 16-13 goals), Torpedo Moskva 6th (21 pts, 21-9).

Over their last five matches, FC UFA averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Torpedo Moskva averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Torpedo Moskva.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

FC UFA

Coach: Omari Tetradze

Goalkeeper

  • 31A. Belenov

Defence

  • 14I. Agapov
  • 5D. Kutin
  • 43A. Gilyazetdinov
  • 2V. Cherov

Midfield

  • 6Z. Tarba
  • 9D. Lipovoy
  • 8S. Isaev
  • 23D. Akhatov

Attack

  • 70D. Ortíz
  • 88M. Ageyan
Substitutes (10)
  • 7A. Davlitgereev
  • 99A. Evdokimov
  • 10G. Gongadze
  • 15A. Khabalov
  • 69I. Khanenko
  • 1T. Kraykov
  • 48A. Lukjanov
  • 19E. Mayorov
  • 17D. Ozmanov
  • 97A. Polesovshchikov

Torpedo Moskva

Coach: A. Storozhuk

Goalkeeper

  • 25R. Soldatenko

Defence

  • 4S. Borodin
  • 2N. Bozov
  • 44D. Kornyushin
  • 99G. Shevchenko

Midfield

  • 17I. Berkovskiy
  • 97M. Ćurić
  • 24A. Pogosov

Attack

  • 79A. Kashtanov
  • 20J. Okoronkwo
  • 7A. Yushin
Substitutes (10)
  • 21A. Galoyan
  • 3A. Ivankov
  • 48S. Mokrousov
  • 5V. Moskvichev
  • 9S. Oganesyan
  • 27A. Orekhov
  • 90B. Roganović
  • 84V. Churilov
  • 11R. Apekov
  • 8U. Ajibona

Match Statistics

FC UFATorpedo Moskva
1Corner Kicks1
58%Ball Possession42%
0Shots on Goal1
0Red Cards1
2Yellow Cards1
2Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
2Total Shots5

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.683.511.76

Double chance

1XX212
2.001.171.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.921.78

1st half

1X2
5.212.092.34

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.898.301.56

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.30
1.51.313.04
2.52.061.74
3.53.551.23
4.56.901.04
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.57
11.046.90
1.251.174.00
1.751.392.69
21.512.33
2.251.801.95
2.752.361.55
32.841.33
3.253.141.27
3.754.391.14
46.151.06
4.256.551.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.391.49
+0.52.041.76
+0.751.791.97
+11.532.39
+1.251.412.79
+1.51.323.21
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.801.01
-1.57.951.03
-1.258.851.01
-18.101.02
-0.755.751.07
-0.253.861.20
03.281.27
+1.751.203.86
+21.095.40
+2.251.075.85
+2.51.066.25
+2.751.028.20