Spartak Kostroma vs Ural• First League, Russia

#30.8:0.61-2FT26/09 · Stadion Urozhay, Kostroma1.6:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.601XBX3.19PIN22.191XBMargin at best4.8%Books3Markets39Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Sep 03:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.10	3.11	2.48	4.7%
Pinnacle	3.05	3.09	2.45	6.0%
Marathonbet	2.99	3.00	2.39	8.6%
Best of all books	3.10	3.11	2.48	4.7%
Average	3.05	3.07	2.44	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Spartak KostromaUral

Last 10#3Table position#21.85Points per game2.0812Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 50.633Attack rating6750Defence rating5052Form rating4850H2H rating5044Goals model5647Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Spartak Kostroma

6W 2D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

26 Sep	H	Ural	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Ryazan	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Chelyabinsk	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Rotor Volgograd	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	Torpedo Moskva	0-3	L
17 Aug	H	FC UFA	1-1	D
9 Aug	A	Ska-khabarovsk	3-1	W
1 Aug	H	Enisey	2-2	D

Ural

6W 3D 1L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against

26 Sep	A	Spartak Kostroma	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	FK Neftekhimik	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Luki-Energiya	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	KAMAZ	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Arsenal Tula	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Tekstilshchik	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Rotor Volgograd	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	FC UFA	3-0	W
2 Aug	A	Ska-khabarovsk	3-0	W

Head to head

0Spartak Kostroma wins

2draws

0Ural wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Spartak Kostroma

22 Nov 2025First League	First League	Ural1-1Spartak Kostroma
4 Sep 2025First League	First League	Spartak Kostroma1-1Ural

First League tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the First League table, Spartak Kostroma sit 3rd with 24 points from 13 games, while Ural are 2nd with 25 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	12	10	1	1	36:14	+22	31
2	Ural	12	7	4	1	20:6	+14	25
3	Spartak Kostroma	13	7	3	3	18:13	+5	24
4	FC Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	+7	23
5	Veles	13	7	2	4	17:16	+1	23
6	Torpedo Moskva	12	6	3	3	21:9	+12	21
7	FC UFA	12	4	6	2	16:13	+3	18
8	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20:14	+6	17
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15:13	+2	16
10	Arsenal Tula	13	4	4	5	15:24	-9	16
11	Chelyabinsk	13	4	3	6	17:21	-4	15
12	Volga Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
13	Enisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14
14	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13
15	FK Neftekhimik	13	4	0	9	9:19	-10	12
16	KAMAZ	12	2	3	7	11:19	-8	9
17	Tekstilshchik	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7
18	Ska-khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.54X30%3.18244%2.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.05 → 3.54 +16.1%X3.07 → 3.15 +2.6%22.44 → 2.15 -11.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.33	1.62	4.6%
Pinnacle	2.31	1.59	6.2%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.58	7.3%
Best of all books	2.33	1.62	4.6%
Average	2.30	1.60	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.79	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Best of all books	1.92	1.79	7.9%
Average	1.92	1.78	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spartak Kostroma 10%Draw 45%Ural 45%

The statistical model rated Spartak Kostroma at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ural at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.54 | 3.18 | 2.16, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Spartak Kostroma are 3rd (24 pts, 18-13 goals), Ural 2nd (25 pts, 20-6).

Over their last five matches, Spartak Kostroma averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Ural averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ural and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Spartak Kostroma

Coach: Evgeniy Taranukhin

Goalkeeper

68M. Gaydash

Defence

6N. Mohammadi
7K. Malyarov
2N. Tarasov
21M. Bugarin

Midfield

87Armin Spahic
22A. Nemchenko
17D. Kaptilovich
69K. Chursin

Attack

10D. Karaev
90A. Kalmykov

Substitutes (9)

3S. Bugriev
70R. Chervyakov
8N. Demchenko
11D. Ghurtskaia
18V. Kamilov
96A. Mokhammad
82O. Nikiforenko
13I. Rubtsov
50E. Shamov

Ural

Coach: S. Yuran

Goalkeeper

57A. Selikhov

Defence

15D. Tikhiy
2S. Begić
16Ítalo
24A. Korotkov

Midfield

99B. Fourrier
17V. Karapuzov
13M. Kaynov
22Léo Cordeiro
6F. Sungatulin

Attack

97I. Ishkov

Substitutes (9)

5V. Stezhko
43R. Shoronov
62P. Satuchin
35D. Prishchepa
18N. Morozov
86I. Kuznetsov
40N. Khrisanfov
59E. Kharin
11D. Bokov

Match Statistics

Spartak KostromaUral

2Yellow Cards2

3Shots on Goal4

0Red Cards1

5Shots off Goal2

44%Ball Possession56%

2Corner Kicks8

0Blocked Shots0

8Total Shots6

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.05	3.07	2.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.35	1.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
3.79	1.95	3.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.23	7.00	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.00
1.5	1.38	2.71
2.5	2.30	1.60
3.5	4.15	1.17
4.5	8.30	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.40
1	1.07	5.75
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.49	2.38
2	1.67	2.04
2.25	2.00	1.77
2.75	2.64	1.41
3	3.36	1.24
3.25	3.72	1.20
3.75	5.20	1.10
4	7.50	1.03
4.25	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.02	1.37
-0.25	2.53	1.48
0	2.11	1.70
+0.25	1.71	2.00
+0.5	1.55	2.44
+0.75	1.35	2.85

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.5	1.01
-1.75	8.68	1.01
-1.5	6.55	1.05
-1.25	6.05	1.06
-1	5.38	1.11
-0.75	3.67	1.22
+1	1.19	4.00
+1.25	1.15	4.49
+1.5	1.11	4.90
+1.75	1.06	6.60
+2	1.01	9.60