Independiente Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res. Odds Analysis & Prediction – Reserve League (Jul 16, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente Res. 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Riestra Res. 10%

The statistical model rates Independiente Res. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Riestra Res. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.11 | 4.43, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Independiente Res. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Reserve League table: Independiente Res. are 2nd (36 pts, 36-16 goals), Deportivo Riestra Res. 11th (25 pts, 25-18).

Over their last five matches, Independiente Res. averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Deportivo Riestra Res. averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Independiente Res..

Independiente Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res. — model comparison

71%

Form

29%

85%

Attack

15%

40%

Defence

60%

67%

Head to head

33%

43%

Goals

57%

63.7%

Overall

36.3%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Reserve League

2026/2027 Standings• Reserve League: Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	18	14	2	2	+29	44
1	Boca Juniors Res.	18	11	3	4	+22	36
2	River Plate Res.	18	9	4	5	+7	31
2	Independiente Res.	18	11	3	4	+20	36
3	Racing Club Res.	18	8	6	4	+4	30
3	Lanús Res.	18	11	2	5	+15	35
4	Atlético Tucumán Res.	18	9	3	6	+1	30
4	Newell's Old Boys Res.	18	10	4	4	+10	34
5	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	+4	29
5	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	+8	33
6	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	+6	28
6	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	+14	32
7	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
7	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	+9	28
8	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	+3	26
8	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	-2	27
9	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	-1	24
9	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
10	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	-2	24
10	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	-3	26
11	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	+2	23
11	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	+7	25
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	-3	23
12	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	0	24
13	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	-4	23
13	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	-3	22
14	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	-11	18
14	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	-12	19
15	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	-8	18
16	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
16	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	-15	12
17	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
17	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	-23	11
18	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	-10	15
18	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	-43	8