Tondela vs Torreense• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#111.0:1.010:00Today · Tondela1.2:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35BTNX3.20BTN23.14PINMargin at best5.7%Books10Markets72Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.36	3.30	3.10	4.9%
Pinnacle	2.37	3.18	3.16	5.3%
Betano	2.35	3.20	3.05	6.6%
1xBet	2.32	3.10	3.06	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.30	3.10	3.04	8.6%
Bet365	2.25	3.10	3.10	9.0%
BetVictor	2.25	3.13	3.00	9.7%
William Hill	2.30	2.90	3.00	11.3%
Betfair	2.20	3.10	2.90	12.2%
SBO	2.15	2.91	2.75	17.2%
Best of all books	2.37	3.30	3.16	4.1%
Average	2.28	3.10	3.02	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TondelaTorreense

Last 10#11Table position#141.50Points per game1.009Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.445Attack rating5558Defence rating4250Form rating5062H2H rating3857Goals model4355Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Tondela

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

19 Sep	A	Imortal Albufeira	5-1	W
12 Sep	A	Portimonense	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	FC Porto B	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	União de Leiria	0-2	L
21 Aug	H	Academica	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Leixoes	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Amarante	2-1	W
1 Aug	A	Rio Ave	1-3	L
29 Jul	H	São João Ver	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Beira-Mar	1-2	L

Torreense

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

17 Sep	A	Lillestrom	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Leixoes	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Benfica B	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Vizela	0-3	L
22 Aug	A	Lusitânia Lourosa	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Penafiel	2-2	D
9 Aug	A	Farense	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	FC Porto	0-1	L
25 Jul	A	Estoril	0-0	D
18 Jul	A	Benfica B	1-1	D

Head to head

3Tondela wins

4draws

1Torreense wins

8 meetings · goals 12:7 · last 8: 3W 4D 1L for Tondela

1 Mar 2025Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Tondela2-2Torreense
4 Oct 2024Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Torreense0-2Tondela
15 Mar 2024Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Torreense0-1Tondela
26 Nov 2023Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Torreense1-1Tondela
5 Nov 2023Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Tondela1-2Torreense
4 Mar 2023Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Tondela1-1Torreense
24 Nov 2022Taça da Liga	Taça da Liga	Tondela1-1Torreense
11 Sep 2022Segunda Liga	Segunda Liga	Torreense0-3Tondela

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Tondela sit 11th with 9 points from 6 games, while Torreense are 14th with 6 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lusitânia Lourosa	6	5	1	0	11:4	+7	16
2	Penafiel	7	4	1	2	14:7	+7	13
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8:6	+2	12
4	Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	+6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	+3	11
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7:5	+2	10
7	União de Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	+3	10
8	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8:6	+2	10
9	Academica	6	3	0	3	8:10	-2	9
10	AVS	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7:6	+1	9
12	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7
13	Felgueiras 1932	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6
15	Amarante	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5:13	-8	4
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1:8	-7	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.28X30%3.07230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	1.70	5.1%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.11	1.67	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.67	7.3%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.06	1.66	8.8%
Best of all books	2.16	1.70	5.1%
Average	2.12	1.67	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.85	8.7%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.91	6.4%
Average	1.83	1.86	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tondela 45%Draw 45%Torreense 10%

The statistical model rates Tondela at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Torreense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.07 | 2.99, which imply roughly 43.9% for a Tondela win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Tondela are 11th (9 pts, 7-6 goals), Torreense 14th (6 pts, 7-9).

Over their last five matches, Tondela averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Torreense averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tondela or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.10	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.56	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
2.94	2.02	3.69

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	8.10	2.22

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.95
1.5	1.35	2.98
2.5	2.12	1.67
3.5	3.81	1.23
4.5	7.72	1.06
5.5	15.4	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.19	3.82
1.75	1.45	2.56
2	1.58	2.22
2.25	1.86	1.88
2.75	2.43	1.50
3	2.99	1.30
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.64	1.12
4	6.55	1.05
4.25	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.74	1.40
-0.5	2.30	1.59
-0.25	1.97	1.78
0	1.64	2.17
+0.25	1.46	2.56
+0.5	1.37	3.07

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.60	1.01
-1.75	6.05	1.09
-1.5	4.58	1.15
-1.25	4.22	1.19
-1	3.70	1.23
+0.75	1.23	3.80
+1	1.10	5.58
+1.25	1.08	6.12
+1.5	1.07	6.63
+1.75	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.96
6.5	1.13	4.37
7.5	1.34	2.91
8.5	1.63	2.14
9.5	2.06	1.68
10.5	2.72	1.39
11.5	3.78	1.21
12.5	5.42	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.66
6	1.01	7.21
6.25	1.07	5.41
6.75	1.14	4.21
7	1.16	3.99
7.25	1.24	3.32
7.75	1.36	2.75
8	1.43	2.59
8.25	1.52	2.32
8.75	1.70	2.02
9	1.83	1.93
9.25	1.91	1.79
9.75	2.17	1.60
10	2.37	1.52
10.25	2.50	1.44
10.75	2.92	1.32
11	3.34	1.24
11.25	3.50	1.22
11.75	4.22	1.14
12	5.08	1.08
12.25	5.28	1.07