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Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#31.4:0.81-2FT14/09 · CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete1.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.09AVGX3.01AVG23.57AVGMargin9.1%Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 2.09 | 3.01 | 3.57. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

Sporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
Last 10#3Table position#12.00Points per game2.679Form pts · last 5131.4Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 50.644Attack rating5643Defence rating5748Form rating5250H2H rating500Goals model10050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Sporting CP B

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

30 SepANottingham Forest U214-2W
14 SepHLusitânia Lourosa1-2L
5 SepAFeirense3-1W
30 AugHFarense2-1W
23 AugAPenafiel0-2L
15 AugHChaves1-0W
9 AugAAVS1-0W
1 AugAAlverca0-1L
18 JulAFarense1-1D
16 MayAAcademico Viseu0-0D

Lusitânia Lourosa

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

20 SepAMadalena3-1W
14 SepASporting CP B2-1W
7 SepHAVS2-1W
29 AugAAcademica2-0W
22 AugHTorreense2-2D
16 AugAAmarante1-0W
10 AugHFC Porto B2-0W
1 AugAParedes2-4L
1 AugHArouca0-2L
29 JulALeça0-0D

Head to head

2Sporting CP B wins
0draws
2Lusitânia Lourosa wins

4 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Sporting CP B

8 Mar 2026Segunda LigaSegunda LigaLusitânia Lourosa1-0Sporting CP B
25 Oct 2025Segunda LigaSegunda LigaSporting CP B4-0Lusitânia Lourosa
5 Apr 2025Liga 3Liga 3Lusitânia Lourosa2-1Sporting CP B
7 Feb 2025Liga 3Liga 3Sporting CP B1-0Lusitânia Lourosa

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Sporting CP B sit 3rd with 12 points from 6 games, while Lusitânia Lourosa are 1st with 16 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lusitânia Lourosa651011:4+716
2Penafiel741214:7+713
3Sporting CP B64028:6+212
4Farense632111:5+611
5Vizela63217:4+311
6Benfica B63127:5+210
7União de Leiria631210:7+310
8Leixoes63128:6+210
9Academica63038:10-29
10AVS72328:7+19
11Tondela63037:6+19
12Portimonense62134:6-27
13Felgueiras 193261325:6-16
14Torreense61327:9-26
15Amarante61235:8-35
16Chaves61145:13-84
17FC Porto B61144:13-94
18Feirense60151:8-71

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.09X30%3.01226%3.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting CP B 35%Draw 35%Lusitânia Lourosa 30%

The statistical model rated Sporting CP B at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lusitânia Lourosa at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 3.01 | 3.57, which imply roughly 47.8% for a Sporting CP B win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Sporting CP B are 3rd (12 pts, 8-6 goals), Lusitânia Lourosa 1st (16 pts, 11-4).

Over their last five matches, Sporting CP B averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Lusitânia Lourosa averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sporting CP B or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.