OddsFilter

Farense vs Chaves• Segunda Liga, Portugal

#41.4:1.04-0FT04/10 · Estádio de São Luís, Faro1.0:1.8#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19PINX3.701XB23.30PINMargin at best3.0%Books8Markets46Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 03:56 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.143.703.224.8%
Pinnacle2.193.323.306.1%
Betano2.183.303.207.4%
Marathonbet2.123.263.258.6%
BetVictor2.103.303.139.9%
Betfair2.103.303.0011.3%
William Hill2.153.003.1012.1%
SBO2.013.022.9317.0%
Best of all books2.193.703.303.0%
Average2.123.273.149.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FarenseChaves
Last 10#4Table position#161.83Points per game0.678Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.858Attack rating4264Defence rating3667Form rating3329H2H rating7183Goals model1759Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Farense

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

4 OctHChaves4-0W
20 SepASacavenense1-0W
13 SepAAVS0-0D
30 AugASporting CP B1-2L
24 AugHFelgueiras 19321-1D
16 AugAFC Porto B3-1W
9 AugHTorreense2-1W
1 AugHFulham1-2L
18 JulHSporting CP B1-1D
30 MayACF Os Belenenses0-0D

Chaves

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

4 OctAFarense0-4L
25 SepHVitória SC0-1L
20 SepAGuarda3-2W
13 SepHFeirense1-0W
30 AugAFelgueiras 19321-2L
23 AugHAVS2-2D
15 AugASporting CP B0-1L
8 AugHAcademica1-4L
1 AugAVitória SC0-2L
25 JulHGuimaraes B2-3L

Head to head

3Farense wins
1draws
4Chaves wins

8 meetings · goals 11:10 · last 8: 3W 1D 4L for Farense

22 Feb 2026Segunda LigaSegunda LigaChaves2-0Farense
28 Sep 2025Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFarense0-2Chaves
4 Feb 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaChaves1-1Farense
26 Aug 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFarense5-0Chaves
30 Apr 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFarense1-2Chaves
18 Dec 2021Segunda LigaSegunda LigaChaves2-1Farense
24 Jul 2021Taça da LigaTaça da LigaChaves1-2Farense
30 Nov 2019Segunda LigaSegunda LigaFarense1-0Chaves

Segunda Liga tableDivision2updated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Segunda Liga table, Farense sit 4th with 11 points from 6 games, while Chaves are 16th with 4 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lusitânia Lourosa651011:4+716
2Penafiel741214:7+713
3Sporting CP B64028:6+212
4Farense632111:5+611
5Vizela63217:4+311
6Benfica B63127:5+210
7União de Leiria631210:7+310
8Leixoes63128:6+210
9Academica63038:10-29
10AVS72328:7+19
11Tondela63037:6+19
12Portimonense62134:6-27
13Felgueiras 193261325:6-16
14Torreense61327:9-26
15Amarante61235:8-35
16Chaves61145:13-84
17FC Porto B61144:13-94
18Feirense60151:8-71

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.19X28%3.23230%3.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.911.895.3%
Pinnacle1.941.855.6%
Betano1.951.826.2%
SBO1.931.836.5%
Marathonbet1.911.827.3%
BetVictor1.871.809.0%
Betfair1.911.759.5%
Best of all books1.951.894.2%
Average1.921.827.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.751.987.6%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.016.9%
Average1.721.998.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Farense 45%Draw 45%Chaves 10%

The statistical model rated Farense at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chaves at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.19 | 3.23 | 3.04, which imply roughly 45.7% for a Farense win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Farense are 4th (11 pts, 11-5 goals), Chaves 16th (4 pts, 5-13).

Over their last five matches, Farense averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Chaves averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Farense or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Farense

Coach: José Faria

Goalkeeper

  • 97F. Buntić

Defence

  • 78Alex Pinto
  • 44N. Zolotić
  • 22Toni Herrero
  • 37Gonçalo Silva

Midfield

  • 10S. Singh
  • 29Cláudio Falcão
  • 27Mattheus Oliveira

Attack

  • 17André Candeias
  • 11Nélson Oliveira
  • 7João Resende
Substitutes (12)
  • 36B. Antunes
  • 18Bruno Santos
  • 3Lucas D'Agrella
  • 43Dário Miranda
  • 5Rodrigo Borges
  • 6Derick Poloni
  • 9Gabriel Barbosa
  • 8Miguel Menino
  • 15J. Diazongua Nfinigui
  • 19L. Oliveira
  • 88Rafael Teixeira
  • 1J. Tånnander

Chaves

Coach: Vitor Martins

Goalkeeper

  • 1João Valido

Defence

  • 34Ricardo Alves
  • 5Kiko Vilas Boas
  • 23Léo Alabá
  • 29M. Tounkara

Midfield

  • 19Gilberto García
  • 16D. Yearwood

Attack

  • 30Costinha
  • 9Marcos Maia
  • 10André Rodrigues
  • 18Wilson Tavares
Substitutes (10)
  • 17Roberto
  • 11Pedro Pelágio
  • 8João Teixeira
  • 2A. Herbert
  • 88M. Gudžulić
  • 99GB
  • 80mohamed fofana
  • 7R. Esajas
  • 4Bruno Rodrigues
  • 27J. Mendes

Match Statistics

FarenseChaves
0Free Kicks0
51%Ball Possession49%
1Yellow Cards2
7Shots on Goal0
0Red Cards0
7Shots off Goal8
6Corner Kicks4
0Blocked Shots0
14Total Shots8

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.123.283.14

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.631.28

Draw no bet

12
1.562.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.721.99

1st half

1X2
2.742.123.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7510.82.24

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.75
1.51.293.33
2.51.921.82
3.53.241.30
4.56.321.09
5.510.91.04
6.512.51.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.80
11.028.10
1.251.134.76
1.751.312.92
21.452.56
2.251.692.08
2.752.151.63
32.581.44
3.252.941.34
3.753.981.17
45.501.08
4.256.091.07
59.801.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.481.47
-0.52.131.67
-0.251.841.89
01.542.35
+0.251.402.74
+0.51.333.27
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.258.601.01
-28.101.02
-1.755.301.09
-1.54.051.16
-1.253.691.22
-13.241.28
+0.751.194.06
+11.066.15
+1.251.046.75
+1.51.037.20