Penafiel7th7 pts
Academica2nd9 pts
Penafiel7th7 pts
Academica2nd9 ptsIn the Segunda Liga table, Penafiel sit 7th with 7 points from 4 games, while Academica are 2nd with 9 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Penafiel at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Academica at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.47, which imply roughly 32.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda Liga table: Penafiel are 7th (7 pts, 7-3 goals), Academica 2nd (9 pts, 7-3).
Over their last five matches, Penafiel averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Academica averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Academica.
Penafiel vs Academica — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 |  Academica | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Portimonense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Benfica B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Farense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Penafiel | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Vizela | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 |  União de Leiria | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  AVS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Amarante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Tondela | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 |  FC Porto B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Torreense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 17 |  Feirense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Chaves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.13
X
3.12
2
3.37
Double chance
1X
1.28
X2
1.64
12
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
1.89
No
1.80
Match goals
Over 1.75
1.50
Under 1.75
2.42
Over 2
1.66
Under 2
2.09
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
2.82
Over 2.5
2.20
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.01
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
7.63
Over 4.5
8.25
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
15.63
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.79
Over 2.75
2.59
Under 2.75
1.44
Over 0.75
1.05
Under 0.75
6.65
Over 1
1.07
Under 1
5.95
Over 1.25
1.22
Under 1.25
3.50
Over 3
3.32
Under 3
1.26
Over 3.25
3.63
Under 3.25
1.21
Over 3.75
5.10
Under 3.75
1.10
Over 4
7.30
Under 4
1.03
Over 4.25
7.70
Under 4.25
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.51
2
2.37
Asian handicap
Home -2.25
8.73
1st half
1
2.79
X
2.01
2
4.06
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.25
5.04
Under 11.25
1.09
First team to score
Home
1.79
No Goal
7.30
Away
2.41