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Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg• 2. Bundesliga, Germany

#82.4:2.41-1FTToday · Stadion der Freundschaft, Cottbus2.6:1.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.85PINX4.53PIN21.85DAFMargin at best2.1%Books6Markets84Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.714.491.853.3%
1xBet3.604.251.806.9%
BetVictor3.604.201.807.1%
Marathonbet3.624.251.787.3%
Bet3653.604.101.807.7%
William Hill3.404.001.8010.0%
Best of all books3.714.491.853.3%
Average3.594.211.817.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
Last 10#8Table position#21.14Points per game2.436Form pts · last 5112.4Goals for · last 52.62.4Goals against · last 51.648Attack rating5240Defence rating6031Form rating690H2H rating036Goals model6439Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 14:10 UTC

Energie Cottbus

2W 3D 5L · goals 19:24 · per match 1.9 for, 2.4 against

10 OctASV Darmstadt 981-3L
3 OctALech Poznan2-2D
20 SepHFC St. Pauli1-1D
13 SepAKarlsruher SC3-0W
5 SepAVfL Wolfsburg4-4D
29 AugHSpVgg Greuther Fürth3-4L
22 AugHFC Augsburg0-2L
16 AugAArminia Bielefeld0-3L
9 AugHHannover 963-1W
1 AugHWerder Bremen2-4L

1. FC Nürnberg

7W 3D 0L · goals 26:13 · per match 2.6 for, 1.3 against

10 OctHVfL Wolfsburg4-4D
2 OctHFC Ingolstadt 043-1W
19 SepAKarlsruher SC1-0W
11 SepHHannover 962-1W
5 SepAHolstein Kiel2-2D
29 AugHArminia Bielefeld4-1W
22 AugAFC Viktoria Köln1-1D
15 AugASpVgg Greuther Fürth4-2W
9 AugHDynamo Dresden3-0W
1 AugHOviedo2-1W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg on record.

2. Bundesliga table2. Bundesligaupdated 16 Oct 18:32 UTC

In the 2. Bundesliga table, Energie Cottbus sit 8th with 8 points from 7 games, while 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd with 17 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Hertha BSC770019:8+1121
21. FC Nürnberg752020:10+1017
31. FC Heidenheim742114:12+214
41. FC Magdeburg741214:9+513
5VfL Wolfsburg733119:12+712
61. FC Kaiserslautern73316:4+212
7FC St. Pauli724110:8+210
8Energie Cottbus722315:16-18
9Arminia Bielefeld722311:12-18
10VfL Osnabrück722310:13-38
11Eintracht Braunschweig721413:1307
12VfL Bochum72145:7-27
13Hannover 9672147:12-57
14SV Darmstadt 9872148:14-67
15SpVgg Greuther Fürth713310:13-36
16Dynamo Dresden71249:15-65
17Karlsruher SC71246:14-85
18Holstein Kiel70437:11-44

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.60X22%4.22252%1.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 07:301 3.62X 4.232 1.80
13.12 → 3.62 +16.0%X3.96 → 4.23 +6.8%22.01 → 1.80 -10.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.343.374.3%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
BetVictor1.293.307.8%
1xBet1.273.1410.6%
Marathonbet1.273.1410.6%
Best of all books1.343.404.0%
Average1.303.277.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
William Hill1.333.107.4%
1xBet1.323.108.0%
BetVictor1.303.208.2%
Marathonbet1.323.048.7%
Best of all books1.333.256.0%
Average1.323.147.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Energie Cottbus 10%Draw 45%1. FC Nürnberg 45%

The statistical model rated Energie Cottbus at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and 1. FC Nürnberg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.60 | 4.22 | 1.80, which imply roughly 23.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Bundesliga table: Energie Cottbus are 8th (8 pts, 15-16 goals), 1. FC Nürnberg 2nd (17 pts, 20-10).

Over their last five matches, Energie Cottbus averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; 1. FC Nürnberg averaged 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or 1. FC Nürnberg and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Energie Cottbus

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Wollitz

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Lotka

Defence

  • 3H. Rorig
  • 2K. Manu
  • 21Luca Erlein
  • 25L. Guwara

Midfield

  • 32L. Bittencourt
  • 8Lukas Michelbrink
  • 11M. Hannemann
  • 10T. Ciğerci
  • 7C. Kinsombi

Attack

  • 31J. Butler
Substitutes (9)
  • 13Dmytro Bohdanov
  • 4T. Campulka
  • 9L. Copado
  • 23Fousseny Doumbia
  • 6J. Hofmann
  • 16R. Malone
  • 5D. Pelivan
  • 29K. Kratzsch
  • 19J. Boziaris

1. FC Nürnberg

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Klose

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Reichert

Defence

  • 32T. Janisch
  • 4A. Kalogeropoulos
  • 20F. Otto
  • 41E. Porstner

Midfield

  • 6A. Marhiev
  • 8J. Fernandez
  • 7R. Ghrieb
  • 10J. Justvan
  • 23M. Zoma

Attack

  • 19P. Scobel
Substitutes (9)
  • 13Robin Lisewski
  • 18Rafael Lubach
  • 21G. Masouras
  • 5S. Mkrtchyan
  • 28Can Yaha Moustfa
  • 9S. Haugen
  • 14andrea ceresoli
  • 11W. Bøving
  • 35M. Kornwachs Barjuan

Match Statistics

Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
1.91Expected Goals1.37
245Passes accurate452
11Shots insidebox13
3Shots outsidebox6
3Blocked Shots6
12Free Kicks9
5Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves4
6Shots off Goal8
2Offsides1
324Total passes525
14Total Shots19
3Yellow Cards2
2Corner Kicks8
9Fouls12
0Red Cards0
38%Ball Possession62%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.594.221.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.931.281.20

Draw no bet

12
2.711.40

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.323.14

1st half

1X2
3.712.662.26

2nd half

1X2
3.463.022.06

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.9014.818.0
HT X9.277.805.37
HT 226.313.82.64

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2430.01.60

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0125.5
1.51.077.30
2.51.303.27
3.51.801.95
4.52.771.39
5.54.781.15
6.59.001.07
7.517.01.02
8.529.01.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0117.0
1.751.056.40
21.075.90
2.251.174.00
2.751.352.81
31.442.59
3.251.622.20
3.751.981.77
42.251.57
4.252.491.47
4.753.141.27
53.951.17
5.254.251.15
67.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.771.42
+0.252.241.59
+0.51.991.80
+0.751.751.98
+11.552.31
+1.251.442.61
17 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.51.01
-210.51.01
-1.758.681.01
-1.56.701.06
-1.256.321.08
-15.931.09
-0.754.221.17
-0.53.561.31
-0.253.101.34
+1.51.372.89
+1.751.273.45
+21.164.42
+2.251.165.25
+2.51.125.13
+2.751.126.25
+31.018.80
+3.51.029.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.35
7.51.134.38
8.51.253.08
9.51.502.34
10.51.871.89
11.52.291.52
12.52.911.29
13.53.911.16
14.54.501.09
15.55.351.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.065.17
81.153.75
91.332.80
9.251.392.54
9.751.552.23
101.652.13
10.251.771.98
10.751.941.73
112.081.67
11.252.181.54
11.752.511.41
122.601.38
12.252.841.28
133.321.20
144.321.10
155.221.06