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Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück• 2. Bundesliga, Germany

#81.4:2.02-1FT18/10 · Schüco-Arena, Bielefeld1.4:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90PINX3.81PIN24.07PINMargin at best3.4%Books6Markets76Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.903.814.073.4%
1xBet1.813.763.987.0%
BetVictor1.853.703.807.4%
Marathonbet1.793.764.007.5%
Bet3651.833.503.908.9%
William Hill1.853.503.808.9%
Best of all books1.903.814.073.4%
Average1.843.673.937.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück
Last 10#8Table position#121.38Points per game1.008Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5038Defence rating6338Form rating6285H2H rating1559Goals model4157Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

Arminia Bielefeld

3W 4D 3L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

18 OctHVfL Osnabrück2-1W
11 OctAVfL Bochum1-0W
3 OctHRot-Weiß Essen2-2D
20 SepH1. FC Heidenheim2-2D
11 SepASV Darmstadt 981-2L
4 SepHFC St. Pauli2-2D
29 AugA1. FC Nürnberg1-4L
22 AugASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2-2D
16 AugHEnergie Cottbus3-0W
8 AugAKarlsruher SC1-2L

VfL Osnabrück

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

18 OctAArminia Bielefeld1-2L
10 OctHDynamo Dresden1-1D
3 OctHDjurgardens IF0-1L
2 OctAVfL Bochum1-4L
23 SepAWiedenbrück3-0W
19 SepAHolstein Kiel1-1D
13 SepHHertha BSC1-3L
6 SepHEintracht Braunschweig3-1W
2 SepHBayern München1-4L
28 AugAVfL Bochum1-0W

Head to head

5Arminia Bielefeld wins
5draws
1VfL Osnabrück wins

11 meetings · goals 15:7 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Arminia Bielefeld

15 Mar 20253. Liga3. LigaVfL Osnabrück0-1Arminia Bielefeld
20 Oct 20243. Liga3. LigaArminia Bielefeld3-1VfL Osnabrück
15 Aug 2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsArminia Bielefeld1-1VfL Osnabruck
17 May 20202. Bundesliga2. BundesligaArminia Bielefeld1-1VfL Osnabruck
7 Oct 20192. Bundesliga2. BundesligaVfL Osnabruck0-1Arminia Bielefeld
18 Feb 20153. Liga3. LigaVfL Osnabruck0-4Arminia Bielefeld
9 Aug 20143. Liga3. LigaArminia Bielefeld1-2VfL Osnabruck
11 May 20133. Liga3. LigaArminia Bielefeld1-0VfL Osnabruck
17 Nov 20123. Liga3. LigaVfL Osnabruck0-0Arminia Bielefeld
10 Dec 20113. Liga3. LigaArminia Bielefeld1-1VfL Osnabruck

2. Bundesliga table2. Bundesligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the 2. Bundesliga table, Arminia Bielefeld sit 8th with 11 points from 8 games, while VfL Osnabrück are 12th with 8 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Hertha BSC871019:8+1122
21. FC Nürnberg853021:11+1018
3VfL Wolfsburg843122:13+915
41. FC Kaiserslautern84318:4+415
51. FC Heidenheim842215:15014
61. FC Magdeburg841314:11+313
7FC St. Pauli825111:9+211
8Arminia Bielefeld832313:13011
9Energie Cottbus823316:17-19
10SpVgg Greuther Fürth823312:13-19
11Dynamo Dresden822411:15-48
12VfL Osnabrück822411:15-48
13Karlsruher SC822410:14-48
14Hannover 9682248:13-58
15Eintracht Braunschweig821513:15-27
16VfL Bochum82155:9-47
17SV Darmstadt 9882158:18-107
18Holstein Kiel80537:11-45

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.84X25%3.67224%3.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 09:301 1.84X 3.672 3.93
11.71 → 1.84 +7.6%X3.94 → 3.67 -6.9%24.21 → 3.93 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.184.0%
Bet3651.602.306.0%
BetVictor1.652.078.9%
1xBet1.582.1210.5%
Marathonbet1.582.1210.5%
Best of all books1.722.301.6%
Average1.632.167.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.572.267.9%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.572.228.7%
Best of all books1.572.267.9%
Average1.572.258.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arminia Bielefeld 45%Draw 45%VfL Osnabrück 10%

The statistical model rated Arminia Bielefeld at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and VfL Osnabrück at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 3.67 | 3.93, which imply roughly 54.3% for a Arminia Bielefeld win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Bundesliga table: Arminia Bielefeld are 8th (11 pts, 13-13 goals), VfL Osnabrück 12th (8 pts, 11-15).

Over their last five matches, Arminia Bielefeld averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; VfL Osnabrück averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Arminia Bielefeld or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld

4-1-4-1

Coach: Oliver Kirch

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Kersken

Defence

  • 2F. Hagmann
  • 5M. Bauer
  • 19M. Großer
  • 17A. Sicker

Midfield

  • 21S. Russo
  • 31L. Jensen
  • 38M. Wörl

Attack

  • 27Benjamin Bediako Boakye
  • 30I. Young
  • 11J. Grodowski
Substitutes (9)
  • 39V. Ocansey
  • 18L. Oppermann
  • 10J. Rochelt
  • 3J. Felix
  • 29T. Handwerker
  • 7H. Koudossou
  • 8S. Schreck
  • 6M. Mehlem
  • 14M. Momuluh

VfL Osnabrück

3-4-2-1

Coach: T. Schultz

Goalkeeper

  • 32J. Krumrey

Defence

  • 27R. Fabinski
  • 24J. Müller
  • 25N. Wiemann
  • 31P. Kammerbauer
  • 42J. Gómez
  • 10I. Badjie

Midfield

  • 18L. Flach
  • 15B. Jacobsen
  • 21A. Beck

Attack

  • 11R. Meißner
Substitutes (9)
  • 20T. Janotta
  • 7D. Kyereh
  • 8L. Münst
  • 17L. Raimund
  • 22B. Riesselmann
  • 1N. Sauter
  • 26F. Wagner
  • 4J. Abu Hanna
  • 28K. Faber

Match Statistics

Arminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück
1.12Expected Goals1.43
390Passes accurate375
10Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox4
5Blocked Shots1
10Free Kicks12
3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal5
1Offsides0
511Total passes506
15Total Shots7
3Yellow Cards1
6Corner Kicks0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
14Fouls11
0Red Cards0
51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.843.673.93

Double chance

1XX212
1.231.941.25

Draw no bet

12
1.362.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.25

1st half

1X2
2.322.374.32

2nd half

1X2
2.112.673.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6814.333.7
HT X4.876.139.37
HT 221.715.16.70

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5715.32.43

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.3
1.51.174.46
2.51.632.16
3.52.581.47
4.54.661.16
5.58.681.04
6.520.01.02
7.537.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.80
1.251.075.85
1.751.193.82
21.263.24
2.251.462.52
2.751.801.92
32.041.69
3.252.311.54
3.752.851.34
43.651.21
4.254.051.17
4.755.451.08
57.501.03
5.257.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.751.41
-12.441.53
-0.752.011.74
-0.51.801.99
-0.251.562.28
01.352.98
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.901.01
-39.601.01
-2.757.401.03
-2.55.721.10
-2.255.311.11
-24.851.13
-1.753.621.25
-1.53.021.34
+0.251.273.41
+0.51.244.13
+0.751.125.12
+11.037.30
+1.51.028.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.056.70
7.51.154.40
8.51.313.02
9.51.572.25
10.51.961.79
11.52.421.47
12.53.141.28
13.54.351.15
14.55.601.08
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.322.88
91.432.67
9.251.472.46
9.751.612.12
101.792.01
10.251.831.87
10.752.051.67
112.281.58
11.252.351.51
11.752.661.37

Next 2. Bundesliga matches

23 OctVfL Bochum – VfL Wolfsburg
23 OctSV Darmstadt 98 – FC St. Pauli
24 Oct1. FC Heidenheim – Energie Cottbus
24 OctHertha BSC – Arminia Bielefeld
24 Oct1. FC Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC
24 Oct1. FC Nürnberg – 1. FC Kaiserslautern

All 2. Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Bundesliga results

18 OctKarlsruher SC 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98
18 OctDynamo Dresden 2-0 1. FC Magdeburg
17 OctHannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli
17 Oct1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-0 VfL Bochum
17 OctSpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-0 Eintracht Braunschweig
17 OctVfL Wolfsburg 3-1 1. FC Heidenheim