Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City Odds Analysis & Prediction – Ligi kuu Bara (Jul 5, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tanzania Prisons 45%Draw 45%Mbeya City 10%

The statistical model rates Tanzania Prisons at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mbeya City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.60 | 2.99 | 2.02, which imply roughly 27.8% for a Tanzania Prisons win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Tanzania Prisons are 13th (32 pts, 23-41 goals), Mbeya City 14th (30 pts, 24-41).

Over their last five matches, Tanzania Prisons averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mbeya City averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tanzania Prisons or draw.

Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City — model comparison

60%

Form

40%

67%

Attack

33%

29%

Defence

71%

62%

Head to head

38%

54%

Goals

46%

53%

Overall

47%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Ligi kuu Bara

2025/2026 Standings• Ligi kuu Bara: Regular season

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	+62	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	+43	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	+34	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	+12	50
5	Tabora United	30	11	10	9	+5	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	-3	42
7	Pamba Jiji	30	9	9	12	-3	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	-6	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	-11	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	-7	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	-12	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	-19	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	-18	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	-17	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	-23	27
16	KMC	30	2	3	25	-37	9