Caernarfon TownvsBarry Town• Premier League,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Caernarfon Town4th23 pts
Barry Town6th22 pts
Caernarfon Town4th23 pts
Barry Town6th22 ptsIn the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town sit 4th with 23 points from 11 games, while Barry Town are 6th with 22 points from 11 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caernarfon Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barry Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.39 | 4.82, which imply roughly 65.8% for a Caernarfon Town win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Caernarfon Town are 4th (23 pts, 35-13 goals), Barry Town 6th (22 pts, 26-20).
Over their last five matches, Caernarfon Town averaged 4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Barry Town averaged 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Caernarfon Town and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 |
| 2 |  Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 |  Cardiff MET | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Llandudno | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Airbus UK | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 |  Flint Town United | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 |  Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 |  Ammanford AFC | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.51
X
4.34
2
4.90
Double chance
1X
1.13
X2
2.31
12
1.16
Both teams to score
Yes
1.56
No
2.27
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.14
Over 2.5
1.47
Under 2.5
2.52
Over 3.5
2.17
Under 3.5
1.65
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
15.00
Over 8.5
21.00
Over 4.5
3.53
Under 4.5
1.25
Over 7.5
15.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.22
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
9.00
Under 6.5
1.04
Over 1.75
1.12
Under 1.75
4.78
Over 2
1.14
Under 2
4.33
Over 2.25
1.29
Under 2.25
3.10
Over 2.75
1.58
Under 2.75
2.22
Over 3
1.77
Under 3
1.94
Over 3.25
1.97
Under 3.25
1.76
Over 3.75
2.41
Under 3.75
1.48
Over 4
2.88
Under 4
1.32
Over 4.25
3.23
Under 4.25
1.27
Over 4.75
4.31
Under 4.75
1.15
Over 5
5.70
Under 5
1.08
Over 5.25
6.00
Under 5.25
1.06
Draw no bet
1
1.25
2
3.82
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.01
X
2.52
2
4.88
First team to score
Home
1.44
No Goal
20.25
Away
2.74