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Ammanford AFC vs Holywell• Premier League, Wales

#130.6:3.42-1FT03/10 · Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford0.6:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20PINX4.011XB22.13SBOMargin at best3.1%Books5Markets45Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.703.962.335.2%
Betano2.653.452.457.5%
Betfair2.553.602.3010.5%
Bet3652.553.602.2511.4%
Marathonbet2.563.452.2811.9%
Best of all books2.703.962.453.1%
Average2.603.612.329.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ammanford AFCHolywell
Last 10#13Table position#160.69Points per game0.154Form pts · last 510.6Goals for · last 50.63.4Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5037Defence rating6333Form rating670H2H rating032Goals model6838Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC

Ammanford AFC

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:28 · per match 0.6 for, 2.8 against

3 OctHHolywell2-1W
26 SepAFlint Town United0-3L
18 SepHPenybont1-5L
15 SepABarry Town2-2D
11 SepHCaernarfon Town0-5L
4 SepALlandudno0-2L
31 AugHCardiff MET0-5L
28 AugATrefelin1-1D
22 AugHGAP Connah S Quay FC0-2L
14 AugAAirbus UK0-2L

Holywell

0W 2D 8L · goals 11:29 · per match 1.1 for, 2.9 against

3 OctAAmmanford AFC1-2L
26 SepHBriton Ferry1-1D
18 SepAHaverfordwest County AFC0-1L
15 SepHColwyn Bay0-5L
11 SepACambrian & Clydach1-2L
4 SepHTrefelin1-1D
31 AugAAirbus UK2-6L
28 AugHCaernarfon Town3-5L
21 AugHBarry Town1-3L
14 AugALlandudno1-3L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ammanford AFC and Holywell on record.

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Premier League table, Ammanford AFC sit 13th with 9 points from 13 games, while Holywell are 16th with 2 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1The New Saints13121044:6+3837
2GAP Connah S Quay FC13101230:9+2131
3Penybont1393125:11+1430
4Caernarfon Town1382337:15+2226
5Barry Town1381428:23+525
6Colwyn Bay1271421:15+622
7Cardiff MET1363424:16+821
8Airbus UK1370625:18+721
9Cambrian & Clydach1353521:33-1218
10Llandudno1351722:23-116
11Briton Ferry1333712:22-1012
12Haverfordwest County AFC133198:19-1110
13Ammanford AFC1323810:32-229
14Flint Town United1222812:24-128
15Trefelin131398:31-236
16Holywell13021114:44-302

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.95X25%3.56244%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 00:013 Oct 13:311 2.95X 3.562 2.05
12.60 → 2.95 +13.5%X3.61 → 3.56 -1.4%22.32 → 2.05 -11.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.642.245.6%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Betano1.652.157.1%
Marathonbet1.582.189.2%
Best of all books1.652.353.2%
Average1.612.237.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.522.378.0%
1xBet1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.502.349.4%
Best of all books1.522.505.8%
Average1.502.408.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ammanford AFC 10%Draw 45%Holywell 45%

The statistical model rated Ammanford AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Holywell at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.95 | 3.56 | 2.05, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ammanford AFC are 13th (9 pts, 10-32 goals), Holywell 16th (2 pts, 14-44).

Over their last five matches, Ammanford AFC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game; Holywell averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Holywell.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.603.612.32

Double chance

1XX212
1.511.411.23

Draw no bet

12
1.971.76

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.40

1st half

1X2
3.152.312.87

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9715.51.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0412.8
1.51.174.27
2.51.612.23
3.52.441.50
4.54.161.19
5.57.551.05
6.510.11.02
7.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.251.075.75
1.751.193.84
21.243.34
2.251.422.59
2.751.751.97
31.971.73
3.252.221.58
3.752.851.34
43.581.21
4.253.911.19
4.755.201.10
57.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.551.47
-0.252.231.56
01.971.75
+0.251.692.00
+0.51.552.37
+0.751.382.63
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.01.01
-1.756.251.06
-1.54.901.11
-1.254.501.13
-14.101.16
-0.753.041.29
+11.233.42
+1.251.193.85
+1.51.154.20
+1.751.095.35
+21.027.70
+2.51.018.40