Ammanford AFC vs
Holywell• Premier League, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:21 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 3.96 | 2.33 | 5.2% |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.30 | 10.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.45 | 2.28 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.70 | 3.96 | 2.45 | 3.1% |
| Average | 2.60 | 3.61 | 2.32 | 9.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:51 UTC
Ammanford AFC
1W 2D 7L · goals 6:28 · per match 0.6 for, 2.8 against
| 3 Oct | H | Holywell | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Flint Town United | 0-3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Penybont | 1-5 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Barry Town | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Caernarfon Town | 0-5 | L |
| 4 Sep | A | Llandudno | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Cardiff MET | 0-5 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Trefelin | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 0-2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Airbus UK | 0-2 | L |
Holywell
0W 2D 8L · goals 11:29 · per match 1.1 for, 2.9 against
| 3 Oct | A | Ammanford AFC | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Briton Ferry | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | Haverfordwest County AFC | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Colwyn Bay | 0-5 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Cambrian & Clydach | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Trefelin | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | Airbus UK | 2-6 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Caernarfon Town | 3-5 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Barry Town | 1-3 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Llandudno | 1-3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Ammanford AFC and Holywell on record.
Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 22:50 UTC
In the Premier League table, Ammanford AFC sit 13th with 9 points from 13 games, while Holywell are 16th with 2 points from 13.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | +38 | 37 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | +21 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | +22 | 26 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | -23 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | -30 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 2.24 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 2.15 | 7.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 2.18 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 2.35 | 3.2% |
| Average | 1.61 | 2.23 | 7.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 1.52 | 2.37 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 2.38 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 2.34 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.52 | 2.50 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Ammanford AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Holywell at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.95 | 3.56 | 2.05, which imply roughly 28.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Ammanford AFC are 13th (9 pts, 10-32 goals), Holywell 16th (2 pts, 14-44).
Over their last five matches, Ammanford AFC averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game; Holywell averaged 0.6 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Holywell.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 3.61 | 2.32 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.51 | 1.41 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.97 | 1.76 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.51 | 2.40 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 2.31 | 2.87 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 15.5 | 1.84 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 12.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.17 | 4.27 |
| 2.5 | 1.61 | 2.23 |
| 3.5 | 2.44 | 1.50 |
| 4.5 | 4.16 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 7.55 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 10.1 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 17.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.84 |
| 2 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 2.25 | 1.42 | 2.59 |
| 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.97 |
| 3 | 1.97 | 1.73 |
| 3.25 | 2.22 | 1.58 |
| 3.75 | 2.85 | 1.34 |
| 4 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4.25 | 3.91 | 1.19 |
| 4.75 | 5.20 | 1.10 |
| 5 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.55 | 1.47 |
| -0.25 | 2.23 | 1.56 |
| 0 | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| +0.25 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| +0.5 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
| +0.75 | 1.38 | 2.63 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.0 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 6.25 | 1.06 |
| -1.5 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| -1.25 | 4.50 | 1.13 |
| -1 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| -0.75 | 3.04 | 1.29 |
| +1 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| +1.25 | 1.19 | 3.85 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| +1.75 | 1.09 | 5.35 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 7.70 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 8.40 |