Trefelin14th2 pts
Penybont6th15 pts
Trefelin14th2 pts
Penybont6th15 ptsIn the Premier League table, Trefelin sit 14th with 2 points from 7 games, while Penybont are 6th with 15 points from 7 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Trefelin at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Penybont at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.58 | 4.63 | 1.35, which imply roughly 21.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Trefelin are 14th (2 pts, 3-18 goals), Penybont 6th (15 pts, 11-5).
Over their last five matches, Trefelin averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Penybont averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Penybont.
Trefelin vs Penybont — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barry Town | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Llandudno | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Penybont | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 |  Cardiff MET | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Airbus UK | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Colwyn Bay | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Briton Ferry | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ammanford AFC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 |  Trefelin | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Flint Town United | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
6.73
X
4.75
2
1.35
Double chance
1X
2.88
X2
1.07
12
1.13
Both teams to score
Yes
1.93
No
1.73
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.19
Under 1.5
3.86
Over 2.5
1.66
Under 2.5
2.07
Over 3.5
2.67
Under 3.5
1.39
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
11.92
Over 4.5
4.57
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 7.5
17.00
Over 5.5
8.36
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 6.5
10.67
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.23
Under 1.75
3.43
Over 2
1.30
Under 2
3.05
Over 2.25
1.49
Under 2.25
2.32
Over 2.75
1.83
Under 2.75
1.81
Over 1.25
1.09
Under 1.25
5.40
Over 3
2.10
Under 3
1.59
Over 3.25
2.38
Under 3.25
1.46
Over 3.75
3.21
Under 3.75
1.27
Over 4
4.20
Under 4
1.15
Over 4.25
4.56
Under 4.25
1.13
Over 4.75
6.10
Under 4.75
1.06
Over 5
8.50
Under 5
1.01
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
8.90
Draw no bet
1
4.94
2
1.12
Asian handicap
Away -4
11.00
1st half
1
6.48
X
2.46
2
1.80
First team to score
Home
3.52
No Goal
16.25
Away
1.30