Caernarfon TownvsThe New Saints• Premier League,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Caernarfon Town5th12 pts
The New Saints2nd13 pts
Caernarfon Town5th12 pts
The New Saints2nd13 ptsIn the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town sit 5th with 12 points from 5 games, while The New Saints are 2nd with 13 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caernarfon Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and The New Saints at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.94 | 4.22 | 1.42, which imply roughly 23.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Caernarfon Town are 5th (12 pts, 13-6 goals), The New Saints 2nd (13 pts, 13-1).
Over their last five matches, Caernarfon Town averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; The New Saints averaged 2.6 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or The New Saints.
Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barry Town | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  The New Saints | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Llandudno | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Caernarfon Town | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Penybont | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Cardiff MET | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Briton Ferry | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Colwyn Bay | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Airbus UK | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Ammanford AFC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 |  Flint Town United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 |  Trefelin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
5.47
X
4.10
2
1.48
Double chance
1X
2.39
X2
1.11
12
1.17
Both teams to score
Yes
1.68
No
2.01
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.16
Under 1.5
4.17
Over 2.5
1.59
Under 2.5
2.18
Over 3.5
2.45
Under 3.5
1.46
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
12.23
Over 4.5
4.21
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 7.5
17.00
Over 5.5
7.38
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
10.17
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.18
Under 1.75
3.88
Over 2
1.24
Under 2
3.46
Over 2.25
1.41
Under 2.25
2.48
Over 2.75
1.72
Under 2.75
1.92
Over 1.25
1.06
Under 1.25
6.05
Over 3
1.93
Under 3
1.70
Over 3.25
2.18
Under 3.25
1.55
Over 3.75
2.94
Under 3.75
1.32
Over 4
3.75
Under 4
1.19
Over 4.25
4.11
Under 4.25
1.17
Over 4.75
5.60
Under 4.75
1.08
Over 5
7.90
Under 5
1.02
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
9.20
Draw no bet
1
3.83
2
1.20
Asian handicap
Away -3.5
8.30
1st half
1
5.45
X
2.38
2
1.94
First team to score
Home
2.90
No Goal
14.33
Away
1.43
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.25
5.98
Under 13.25
1.05