Caernarfon TownvsPenybont• Premier League,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Caernarfon Town4th3 pts
Penybont9th1 pts
Caernarfon Town4th3 pts
Penybont9th1 ptsIn the Premier League table, Caernarfon Town sit 4th with 3 points from 1 games, while Penybont are 9th with 1 points from 1 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caernarfon Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Penybont at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.47 | 3.67, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Caernarfon Town win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Caernarfon Town are 4th (3 pts, 2-1 goals), Penybont 9th (1 pts, 0-0).
Over their last five matches, Caernarfon Town averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Penybont averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Caernarfon Town and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Caernarfon Town vs Penybont — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cardiff MET | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Colwyn Bay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Llandudno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Briton Ferry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Barry Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Airbus UK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 |  The New Saints | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Penybont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Flint Town United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ammanford AFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Trefelin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.88
X
3.47
2
3.67
Double chance
1X
1.23
X2
1.80
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
1.67
No
2.07
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.23
Under 1.5
3.68
Over 2.5
1.79
Under 2.5
1.96
Over 3.5
2.89
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
10.13
Over 4.5
5.28
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 7.5
21.00
Over 5.5
9.86
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
12.17
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.28
Under 1.75
3.20
Over 2
1.35
Under 2
2.82
Over 2.25
1.57
Under 2.25
2.25
Over 2.75
1.98
Under 2.75
1.75
Under 0.75
9.10
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.90
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
4.90
Over 3
2.32
Under 3
1.53
Over 3.25
2.62
Under 3.25
1.42
Over 3.75
3.51
Under 3.75
1.23
Over 4
4.70
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.06
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 4.75
6.85
Under 4.75
1.04
Over 5
8.40
Under 5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.42
2
2.65
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.05
1st half
1
2.41
X
2.22
2
4.10
First team to score
Home
1.67
Away
2.37