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Middelfart vs Naestved• 2. Division, Denmark

#81.8:2.212:00Tomorrow1.2:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55DAFX3.60BFR22.60BTNMargin at best5.5%Books3Markets48Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3652.403.502.4511.1%
1xBet2.403.382.4611.9%
Marathonbet2.403.382.4611.9%
Best of all books2.403.502.4610.9%
Average2.403.422.4611.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MiddelfartNaestved
Last 10#8Table position#51.36Points per game1.505Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4031Defence rating6942Form rating5871H2H rating2951Goals model4955Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 06:01 UTC

Middelfart

1W 7D 2L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

31 OctAFremad Amager1-2L
24 OctHSkive3-3D
17 OctHRoskilde3-3D
10 OctAB 931-3L
3 OctHFA 20001-0W
27 SepANaestved2-2D
19 SepHVSK Århus1-1D
13 SepASkive0-0D
9 SepANykobing FC5-5D
5 SepHFremad Amager1-1D

Naestved

3W 7D 0L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

31 OctHRoskilde0-0D
24 OctAVSK Århus2-2D
16 OctHB 932-1W
10 OctAFA 20001-1D
2 OctHNykobing FC1-1D
27 SepHMiddelfart2-2D
18 SepAFremad Amager1-1D
13 SepHThisted FC3-1W
4 SepAB 931-1D
30 AugASkive2-1W

Head to head

3Middelfart wins
1draws
3Naestved wins

7 meetings · goals 9:9 · last 7: 3W 1D 3L for Middelfart

27 Sep 20262. Division2. DivisionNaestved2-2Middelfart
24 May 20252. Division2. DivisionMiddelfart3-0Naestved
11 May 20252. Division2. DivisionNaestved0-1Middelfart
16 Nov 20242. Division2. DivisionMiddelfart0-1Naestved
22 Sep 20242. Division2. DivisionNaestved0-2Middelfart
23 Oct 20212. Division2. DivisionMiddelfart1-2Naestved
19 Sep 20212. Division2. DivisionNaestved4-0Middelfart

2. Division table2nd Divisionupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the 2. Division table, Middelfart sit 8th with 19 points from 14 games, while Naestved are 5th with 21 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nykobing FC1494137:16+2131
2Roskilde1468028:13+1526
3B 931463525:20+521
4Skive1463522:19+321
5Naestved1449119:16+321
6VSK Århus1455420:18+220
7Fremad Amager1455418:23-520
8Middelfart1447326:21+519
9Brabrand1443717:23-615
10HIK1443713:23-1015
11FA 20001423913:28-159
12Thisted FC14131012:30-186

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.46X27%3.40236%2.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 06:006 Nov 12:001 2.46X 3.402 2.49
12.60 → 2.46 -5.4%X3.35 → 3.40 +1.5%22.42 → 2.49 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.622.256.2%
1xBet1.592.179.0%
Marathonbet1.592.179.0%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.602.208.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
1xBet1.492.428.4%
Marathonbet1.492.389.1%
Best of all books1.532.426.7%
Average1.502.398.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Middelfart 45%Draw 45%Naestved 10%

The statistical model rates Middelfart at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Naestved at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.46 | 3.40 | 2.49, which imply roughly 40.7% for a Middelfart win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division table: Middelfart are 8th (19 pts, 26-21 goals), Naestved 5th (21 pts, 19-16).

Over their last five matches, Middelfart averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Naestved averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Middelfart or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.403.422.46

Double chance

1XX212
1.411.431.22

Draw no bet

12
1.831.83

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.502.39

1st half

1X2
2.932.233.05

2nd half

1X2
2.672.612.76

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8014.227.3
HT X6.235.876.30
HT 226.714.23.95

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8915.51.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.7
1.51.154.43
2.51.602.20
3.52.451.46
4.54.411.16
5.58.231.03
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.10
1.251.066.15
1.751.183.93
21.233.42
2.251.402.57
2.751.731.94
31.941.70
3.252.201.55
3.752.891.33
43.741.19
4.254.111.16
4.755.601.08
57.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.871.35
-0.52.421.52
-0.252.111.63
01.831.87
+0.251.602.17
+0.51.502.50
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.201.02
-27.401.06
-1.756.171.08
-1.54.701.14
-1.254.271.17
-13.871.20
+0.751.342.95
+11.194.00
+1.251.164.42
+1.51.134.82
+1.751.076.38
+21.067.50
+2.51.019.50

Next 2. Division matches

6 NovB 93 – Skive
6 NovRoskilde – HIK
6 NovThisted FC – Fremad Amager
7 NovFA 2000 – VSK Århus
8 NovNykobing FC – Brabrand

All 2. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division results

1 NovThisted FC 1-3 B 93
31 OctNaestved 0-0 Roskilde
31 OctFremad Amager 2-1 Middelfart
31 OctBrabrand 1-2 FA 2000
30 OctSkive 4-1 VSK Århus
30 OctHIK 1-4 Nykobing FC