OddsFilter

Rio Ave vs Nacional• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#161.0:2.414:30Tomorrow · Vila do Conde0.6:2.6#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.34PINX3.461XB23.311XBMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets68Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 22:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.323.463.213.2%
Dafabet2.343.353.203.8%
Pinnacle2.333.183.274.9%
Betano2.303.253.255.0%
Bet3652.253.203.206.9%
Betfair2.303.303.007.1%
Marathonbet2.233.323.087.4%
William Hill2.253.203.108.0%
BetVictor2.253.203.009.0%
SBO2.133.002.8715.1%
Best of all books2.343.463.272.2%
Average2.273.253.126.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rio AveNacional
Last 10#16Table position#150.57Points per game0.574Form pts · last 501.0Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 52.663Attack rating3852Defence rating48100Form rating050H2H rating5047Goals model5351Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Rio Ave

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

19 SepAAlverca0-1L
14 SepHEstrela3-3D
6 SepASanta Clara0-4L
28 AugHSporting CP0-4L
22 AugAEstoril2-0W
15 AugHFC Porto0-2L
9 AugAGIL Vicente0-1L
1 AugHTondela3-1W
19 JulHAl-Ahli Jeddah2-2D
15 JulAPortimonense3-0W

Nacional

1W 3D 6L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

19 SepHFamalicao0-4L
12 SepHAlverca1-3L
5 SepASporting CP0-2L
30 AugHEstrela2-3L
23 AugAVitória SC0-1L
16 AugHEstoril2-0W
10 AugASanta Clara2-2D
23 JulAEstrela0-2L
22 JulHLeganes0-0D
19 JulATondela1-1D

Head to head

9Rio Ave wins
9draws
7Nacional wins

25 meetings · goals 27:30 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Rio Ave

25 Jan 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaNacional4-0Rio Ave
17 Aug 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave1-1Nacional
10 May 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaNacional3-3Rio Ave
29 Dec 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave2-1Nacional
31 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsRio Ave1-1Nacional
10 Apr 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaNacional2-0Rio Ave
28 Nov 2021Segunda LigaSegunda LigaRio Ave1-0Nacional
19 May 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaNacional1-2Rio Ave
5 Feb 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaRio Ave0-0Nacional
17 Mar 2019Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaNacional0-1Rio Ave

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Rio Ave sit 16th with 4 points from 7 games, while Nacional are 15th with 4 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Sporting CP853020:9+1118
3Benfica751122:7+1516
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6GIL Vicente73226:5+111
7SC Braga73228:8011
8Academico Viseu73229:9011
9Estrela724114:14010
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense82248:15-78
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.25X29%3.24230%3.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.131.783.1%
Betano2.121.754.3%
Pinnacle2.101.754.8%
Betfair2.101.735.4%
SBO2.131.705.8%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Marathonbet2.051.726.9%
BetVictor1.991.709.1%
Best of all books2.131.783.1%
Average2.091.735.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betano1.801.937.4%
1xBet1.801.908.2%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.781.918.5%
Marathonbet1.801.888.7%
Best of all books1.871.954.8%
Average1.801.927.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rio Ave 45%Draw 45%Nacional 10%

The statistical model rates Rio Ave at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nacional at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.24 | 3.15, which imply roughly 44.4% for a Rio Ave win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Rio Ave are 16th (4 pts, 5-15 goals), Nacional 15th (4 pts, 7-15).

Over their last five matches, Rio Ave averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Nacional averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Rio Ave or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.273.253.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.601.31

Draw no bet

12
1.612.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.92

1st half

1X2
2.902.063.68

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.848.802.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.068.77
1.51.333.13
2.52.091.73
3.53.691.24
4.57.621.06
5.514.11.02
6.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.38
11.037.50
1.251.164.15
1.751.412.72
21.542.35
2.251.821.97
2.752.381.56
32.901.36
3.253.201.26
3.754.601.13
46.551.05
4.256.951.04
59.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.661.43
-0.52.271.62
-0.251.961.84
01.632.25
+0.251.442.65
+0.51.353.13
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.351.03
-28.301.04
-1.756.051.09
-1.54.501.15
-1.254.091.20
-13.621.25
+0.751.213.89
+11.095.80
+1.251.086.36
+1.51.076.70
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.001.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.058.92
6.51.095.80
7.51.203.84
8.51.432.61
9.51.752.00
10.52.171.61
11.52.821.35
12.53.901.19
13.55.471.10
14.57.501.05
15.59.001.04
16.511.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.223.50
8.251.332.89
8.751.452.48
91.652.18
9.251.622.14
9.751.811.87
101.951.82
10.252.031.65
10.752.331.48
11.252.701.36