OddsFilter

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#121.2:1.60-1FTToday · Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães0.8:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.63PINX3.321XB22.32BTNMargin at best0.8%Books10Markets81Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.503.322.253.1%
Pinnacle3.633.162.263.4%
Dafabet3.453.152.314.0%
Betano3.403.052.325.3%
Betfair3.603.002.255.6%
Bet3653.503.102.206.3%
Marathonbet3.363.182.167.5%
BetVictor3.303.102.159.1%
William Hill3.403.002.159.3%
SBO3.192.942.2010.8%
Best of all books3.633.322.320.8%
Average3.433.102.226.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MoreirenseGIL Vicente
Last 10#12Table position#71.00Points per game1.577Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4038Defence rating6258Form rating4229H2H rating7170Goals model3049Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC

Moreirense

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

20 SepAVitória SC1-1D
14 SepHMaritimo3-1W
9 SepHBenfica0-4L
4 SepAFC Porto1-2L
30 AugACasa Pia1-0W
16 AugAArouca0-4L
9 AugHSC Braga2-2D
1 AugAFelgueiras 19321-2L
1 AugHAmarante2-0W
25 JulAGIL Vicente2-2D

GIL Vicente

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

19 SepHMaritimo1-1D
13 SepABenfica1-3L
6 SepHAcademico Viseu0-1L
30 AugAFamalicao0-0D
24 AugHCasa Pia2-0W
9 AugHRio Ave1-0W
25 JulHMoreirense2-2D
22 JulHFC Porto1-0W
18 JulHFelgueiras 19321-1D
16 MayASporting CP0-3L

Head to head

8Moreirense wins
5draws
5GIL Vicente wins

18 meetings · goals 29:21 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Moreirense

25 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsGIL Vicente2-2Moreirense
7 Feb 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense1-2GIL Vicente
29 Aug 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaGIL Vicente2-0Moreirense
6 Apr 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaGIL Vicente0-1Moreirense
12 Jan 2025Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalGIL Vicente1-0Moreirense
8 Nov 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense3-2GIL Vicente
20 Apr 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense0-1GIL Vicente
11 Dec 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaGIL Vicente1-1Moreirense
8 Apr 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaGIL Vicente1-2Moreirense
26 Nov 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense2-2GIL Vicente

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Moreirense sit 12th with 8 points from 8 games, while GIL Vicente are 7th with 11 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Benfica751122:7+1516
3Sporting CP743017:8+915
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6SC Braga63217:5+211
7GIL Vicente73226:5+111
8Academico Viseu73229:9011
9Estrela724114:14010
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense82248:15-78
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.39X30%3.09242%2.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 12:401 3.43X 3.102 2.23
13.35 → 3.43 +2.4%X3.15 → 3.10 -1.6%22.18 → 2.23 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.441.613.1%
Pinnacle2.461.593.5%
Betano2.421.603.8%
Betfair2.381.575.7%
SBO2.311.605.8%
Bet3652.401.537.0%
Marathonbet2.351.557.1%
BetVictor2.251.559.0%
Best of all books2.461.612.8%
Average2.381.585.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Betano1.981.786.7%
Bet3652.001.757.1%
William Hill2.001.737.8%
1xBet1.991.738.1%
Marathonbet1.991.718.7%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.001.873.5%
Average1.981.757.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moreirense 10%Draw 45%GIL Vicente 45%

The statistical model rated Moreirense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and GIL Vicente at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.39 | 3.09 | 2.24, which imply roughly 32.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Moreirense are 12th (8 pts, 8-15 goals), GIL Vicente 7th (11 pts, 6-5).

Over their last five matches, Moreirense averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; GIL Vicente averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or GIL Vicente.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Moreirense

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vasco Costa

Goalkeeper

  • 13André Ferreira

Defence

  • 76Dinis Pinto
  • 66Gilberto Batista
  • 26Maracás
  • 27Kiko

Midfield

  • 23N. John
  • 65Guilherme Liberato
  • 10Kiko Bondoso
  • 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
  • 19Tiago Andrade

Attack

  • 79L. Vonić
Substitutes (12)
  • 12Francisco Barbosa Sampaio
  • 11Landerson
  • 99Maranhão
  • 1Aranha
  • 20João Veloso
  • 17Álvaro Martínez
  • 4Kevyn Monteiro
  • 28Chipyoka Songa
  • 8M. Stjepanović
  • 32José
  • 2Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos
  • 21Rodri Alonso

GIL Vicente

4-2-3-1

Coach: Luís Pinto

Goalkeeper

  • 30Lucão

Defence

  • 47Ricardo Esgaio
  • 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
  • 39Jonathan Buatu
  • 45David Moreira

Midfield

  • 12A. Lausen
  • 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
  • 77Murilo
  • 10Santi García
  • 20Gil Pinto Martins

Attack

  • 23Héctor Hernández
Substitutes (12)
  • 3Espigares
  • 11Joelson Fernandes
  • 32M. Fernández
  • 19Guilherme
  • 99M. Kaba
  • 82Gonçalo Maia Pereira
  • 27A. Moreira
  • 94Samuel
  • 2José Silva
  • 7T. Touré
  • 17Sergio Bermejo
  • 9Walace

Match Statistics

MoreirenseGIL Vicente
1.14Expected Goals1.51
262Passes accurate469
7Shots insidebox7
5Shots outsidebox6
5Blocked Shots7
14Free Kicks12
2Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal3
338Total passes549
12Total Shots13
3Yellow Cards4
4Corner Kicks3
0Offsides2
12Fouls14
0Red Cards0
38%Ball Possession62%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.433.102.23

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.301.34

Draw no bet

12
2.361.54

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.981.75

1st half

1X2
4.021.972.93

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.357.051.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.077.31
1.51.432.68
2.52.381.58
3.54.511.18
4.59.271.04
5.517.51.01
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.45
11.075.75
1.251.263.29
1.751.542.37
21.772.00
2.252.071.74
2.752.701.43
33.441.26
3.253.951.17
3.755.551.08
48.101.02
4.257.781.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.441.31
-0.252.981.38
02.451.54
+0.251.921.86
+0.51.672.20
+0.751.472.56
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.57.971.03
-1.257.061.05
-16.481.07
-0.754.441.18
+11.273.55
+1.251.213.94
+1.51.164.46
+1.751.105.71
+21.018.90
+2.251.018.73
+2.51.029.67

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.164.75
3.51.382.92
4.51.752.02
5.52.351.55
6.53.301.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.5
4.51.048.07
5.51.095.53
6.51.213.66
7.51.442.56
8.51.781.96
9.52.251.56
10.53.011.31
11.54.111.17
12.55.661.08
13.57.631.05
14.510.31.03
15.512.01.02
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.035.87
61.104.32
6.751.193.40
71.252.97
7.251.322.81
7.751.472.42
81.592.23
8.251.692.10
8.751.901.84
92.011.75
9.252.101.57
9.752.451.42
102.571.43
10.252.881.30
113.451.18
124.621.09
135.801.04