OddsFilter

Maritimo vs FC Porto• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#111.0:2.217:00Today · Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal2.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

110.5BFRX5.431XB21.36BTNMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets85Rating16 · 84Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano10.35.201.362.5%
1xBet10.55.431.333.1%
Dafabet9.405.201.353.9%
Pinnacle9.745.301.334.3%
Betfair10.55.001.306.4%
Bet3658.505.001.337.0%
Marathonbet9.604.951.307.5%
William Hill9.005.001.308.0%
BetVictor9.504.601.309.2%
SBO7.144.361.3013.9%
Best of all books10.55.431.361.5%
Average9.415.001.326.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MaritimoFC Porto
Last 10#11Table position#11.14Points per game3.002Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 52.82.2Goals against · last 50.626Attack rating7421Defence rating7912Form rating887H2H rating937Goals model9316Overall rating84

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Maritimo

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

19 SepAGIL Vicente1-1D
14 SepAMoreirense1-3L
5 SepHBenfica0-3L
29 AugAArouca1-2L
22 AugHAcademico Viseu2-2D
16 AugAFamalicao2-1W
8 AugHCasa Pia1-0W
29 JulHEstrela Calheta1-1D
25 JulHMachico0-0D
22 JulHCamacha2-0W

FC Porto

9W 0D 1L · goals 22:6 · per match 2.2 for, 0.6 against

2 OctADeportivo La Coruna3-1W
20 SepHBenfica3-1W
12 SepACasa Pia4-1W
8 SepHManchester City0-2L
4 SepHMoreirense2-1W
29 AugAAcademico Viseu3-0W
23 AugHArouca2-0W
15 AugARio Ave2-0W
9 AugHAlverca2-0W
1 AugHTorreense1-0W

Head to head

3Maritimo wins
5draws
18FC Porto wins

26 meetings · goals 16:51 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Maritimo

1 Feb 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo0-2FC Porto
6 Aug 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFC Porto5-1Maritimo
30 Jan 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFC Porto2-1Maritimo
22 Aug 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo1-1FC Porto
22 Feb 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo1-2FC Porto
3 Oct 2020Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFC Porto2-3Maritimo
10 Jun 2020Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFC Porto1-0Maritimo
30 Oct 2019Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo1-1FC Porto
16 Mar 2019Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaFC Porto3-0Maritimo
3 Nov 2018Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMaritimo0-2FC Porto

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Maritimo sit 11th with 8 points from 7 games, while FC Porto are 1st with 21 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Sporting CP853020:9+1118
3Benfica751122:7+1516
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6GIL Vicente73226:5+111
7SC Braga73228:8011
8Academico Viseu73229:9011
9Estrela724114:14010
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense82248:15-78
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg110%9.41X19%5.00271%1.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:029 Oct 18:311 9.41X 5.002 1.32
19.13 → 9.41 +3.1%X5.04 → 5.00 -0.8%21.30 → 1.32 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.891.993.2%
Pinnacle1.911.963.4%
Betano1.911.934.2%
SBO1.861.964.8%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Marathonbet1.821.927.0%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.911.992.6%
Average1.861.945.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.381.575.7%
Betano2.351.557.1%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
1xBet2.221.597.9%
BetVictor2.251.578.1%
William Hill2.151.628.2%
Marathonbet2.221.578.7%
Best of all books2.381.671.9%
Average2.241.597.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Maritimo 0%Draw 50%FC Porto 50%

The statistical model rates Maritimo at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and FC Porto at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.41 | 5.00 | 1.32, which imply roughly 20% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Maritimo are 11th (8 pts, 8-12 goals), FC Porto 1st (21 pts, 18-3).

Over their last five matches, Maritimo averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; FC Porto averaged 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FC Porto.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
9.415.001.32

Double chance

1XX212
3.281.051.15

Draw no bet

12
7.141.08

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.241.59

1st half

1X2
8.482.401.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
4.0312.11.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.8
1.51.253.62
2.51.861.93
3.53.141.32
4.56.081.10
5.512.01.03
6.522.51.01
7.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.047.80
1.251.105.00
1.751.293.09
21.402.74
2.251.622.25
2.752.041.72
32.441.50
3.252.651.42
3.753.681.20
45.001.10
4.255.401.09
4.757.501.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.752.941.36
+12.511.47
+1.252.071.74
+1.51.802.01
+1.751.612.27
+21.392.80
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.57.001.10
-0.256.951.07
07.201.06
+0.254.311.17
+0.53.331.31
+2.251.323.14
+2.51.253.54
+2.751.164.35
+31.086.27
+3.251.076.70
+3.51.067.00

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.021.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.3
4.51.037.59
5.51.115.00
6.51.253.31
7.51.492.37
8.51.881.83
9.52.431.47
10.53.291.25
11.54.541.14
12.56.261.06
13.58.751.05
14.511.01.02
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.045.67
61.133.97
6.751.263.12
71.322.83
7.251.382.58
7.751.562.21
81.652.05
8.251.801.95
8.752.011.68
92.171.58
9.252.311.48
9.752.691.36
102.901.31
10.253.121.23
113.791.15
125.021.07