Famalicao vs Alverca• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#131.4:0.819:1512/10 · Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao1.4:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.881XBX3.701XB24.83PINMargin at best0.9%Books10Markets71Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 09:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.88	3.70	4.38	3.0%
Dafabet	1.89	3.45	4.50	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.84	3.30	4.83	5.4%
Betano	1.80	3.45	4.80	5.4%
Bet365	1.83	3.30	4.75	6.0%
Betfair	1.85	3.50	4.20	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.80	3.54	4.25	7.3%
William Hill	1.80	3.40	4.40	7.7%
BetVictor	1.80	3.40	4.10	9.4%
SBO	1.85	3.05	3.56	14.9%
Best of all books	1.89	3.70	4.83	0.6%
Average	1.83	3.41	4.38	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FamalicaoAlverca

Last 10#13Table position#101.00Points per game1.146Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5064Defence rating3646Form rating5467H2H rating3352Goals model4857Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:32 UTC

Famalicao

1W 6D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

19 Sep	A	Nacional	4-0	W
13 Sep	H	Sporting CP	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Estrela	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	GIL Vicente	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Santa Clara	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Maritimo	1-2	L
7 Aug	A	Estoril	1-1	D
31 Jul	H	Como	2-3	L
28 Jul	A	Lens	0-0	D
28 Jul	H	Crystal Palace	0-0	D

Alverca

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

19 Sep	H	Rio Ave	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Nacional	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	SC Braga	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Santa Clara	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Sporting CP	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Estrela	2-2	D
9 Aug	A	FC Porto	0-2	L
1 Aug	H	Sporting CP B	1-0	W
25 Jul	A	Mafra	0-1	L
22 Jul	H	Estoril	2-0	W

Head to head

2Famalicao wins

0draws

1Alverca wins

3 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Famalicao

16 May 2026Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Famalicao1-0Alverca
4 Jan 2026Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Alverca1-0Famalicao
20 Nov 2021Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Alverca1-2Famalicao

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Famalicao sit 13th with 7 points from 7 games, while Alverca are 10th with 8 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18:3	+15	21
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	+11	18
3	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	+15	16
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11:4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
6	GIL Vicente	7	3	2	2	6:5	+1	11
7	SC Braga	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11
8	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9:9	0	11
9	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8:12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3:16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3:10	-7	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.83X27%3.43222%4.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.06	1.84	2.9%
Betano	2.10	1.78	3.8%
Pinnacle	2.03	1.81	4.5%
SBO	2.09	1.73	5.7%
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.76	7.1%
BetVictor	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.84	2.0%
Average	2.04	1.77	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Bet365	1.95	1.80	6.8%
1xBet	1.85	1.86	7.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Best of all books	1.95	1.86	5.0%
Average	1.87	1.84	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Famalicao 45%Draw 45%Alverca 10%

The statistical model rates Famalicao at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alverca at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.43 | 4.35, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Famalicao win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Famalicao are 13th (7 pts, 9-7 goals), Alverca 10th (8 pts, 9-11).

Over their last five matches, Famalicao averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Alverca averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Famalicao or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.41	4.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.94	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.14	4.71

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	8.40	2.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.42
1.5	1.32	3.16
2.5	2.04	1.77
3.5	3.46	1.27
4.5	6.97	1.08
5.5	13.6	1.03
6.5	28.2	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.73
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.12
1.75	1.39	2.74
2	1.51	2.43
2.25	1.78	2.02
2.75	2.26	1.58
3	2.77	1.40
3.25	3.05	1.32
3.75	4.13	1.16
4	5.63	1.08
4.25	5.97	1.07
5	9.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.23	1.31
-1.25	2.87	1.39
-1	2.50	1.50
-0.75	2.04	1.73
-0.5	1.82	2.00
-0.25	1.56	2.38

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.75	8.07	1.02
-2.5	6.63	1.07
-2.25	6.06	1.09
-2	5.67	1.09
-1.75	3.93	1.20
0	1.31	3.29
+0.25	1.24	3.67
+0.5	1.19	4.64
+0.75	1.11	5.38
+1	1.02	7.95
+1.5	1.02	9.07

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.07	1.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	8.30
6.5	1.10	5.20
7.5	1.25	3.43
8.5	1.48	2.44
9.5	1.84	1.89
10.5	2.35	1.52
11.5	3.10	1.30
12.5	4.35	1.14
13.5	6.20	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.26	3.20
8.25	1.38	2.67
8.75	1.52	2.30
9	1.68	2.13
9.25	1.71	1.99
9.75	1.93	1.76
10	2.17	1.66
10.25	2.18	1.56
10.75	2.49	1.42
11.25	2.92	1.31