OddsFilter

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#170.6:1.614:30Tomorrow · Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Mayor1.6:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.80BTNX3.53PIN21.941XBMargin at best0.7%Books10Markets95Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet4.423.461.943.1%
Dafabet4.503.351.933.9%
Betano4.803.351.854.7%
Pinnacle4.603.431.845.2%
Bet3654.503.251.857.0%
Betfair4.403.301.857.1%
Marathonbet4.253.321.867.4%
William Hill4.203.201.859.1%
BetVictor4.333.251.809.4%
SBO3.692.961.8514.9%
Best of all books4.803.461.941.3%
Average4.373.291.867.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Casa PiaSanta Clara
Last 10#17Table position#40.57Points per game2.144Form pts · last 5110.6Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 50.427Attack rating7320Defence rating8027Form rating7329H2H rating714Goals model9623Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Casa Pia

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:24 · per match 0.7 for, 2.4 against

20 SepAEstoril2-1W
12 SepHFC Porto1-4L
6 SepAVitória SC0-0D
30 AugHMoreirense0-1L
24 AugAGIL Vicente0-2L
17 AugHBenfica0-7L
8 AugAMaritimo0-1L
1 AugALeixoes2-6L
25 JulABenfica B0-1L
18 JulAEstrela2-1W

Santa Clara

6W 4D 0L · goals 17:6 · per match 1.7 for, 0.6 against

20 SepHSC Braga0-0D
13 SepAArouca2-1W
6 SepHRio Ave4-0W
29 AugAAlverca1-1D
23 AugHFamalicao1-0W
15 AugAAcademico Viseu1-0W
10 AugHNacional2-2D
25 JulHArouca3-0W
22 JulHFelgueiras 19321-1D
22 JulHMoreirense2-1W

Head to head

2Casa Pia wins
2draws
3Santa Clara wins

7 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Casa Pia

18 Apr 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia0-0Santa Clara
6 Dec 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSanta Clara1-0Casa Pia
1 Feb 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSanta Clara2-1Casa Pia
24 Aug 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia0-2Santa Clara
29 Jan 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaCasa Pia2-1Santa Clara
7 Aug 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSanta Clara0-0Casa Pia
22 Dec 2019Taça da LigaTaça da LigaSanta Clara1-2Casa Pia

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Casa Pia sit 17th with 4 points from 7 games, while Santa Clara are 4th with 15 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Benfica751122:7+1516
3Sporting CP743017:8+915
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6SC Braga63217:5+211
7GIL Vicente73226:5+111
8Academico Viseu73229:9011
9Estrela724114:14010
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense82248:15-78
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.37X28%3.29250%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:028 Oct 14:311 4.37X 3.292 1.86
14.21 → 4.37 +3.8%X3.21 → 3.29 +2.5%21.90 → 1.86 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.421.623.1%
Betano2.401.604.2%
Pinnacle2.341.624.5%
Betfair2.381.575.7%
Bet3652.301.606.0%
Marathonbet2.331.567.0%
BetVictor2.211.578.9%
Best of all books2.421.623.1%
Average2.341.595.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.151.676.4%
Betano2.101.677.5%
William Hill2.101.677.5%
Bet3652.051.707.6%
1xBet2.061.688.1%
BetVictor2.051.678.7%
Marathonbet2.061.668.8%
Best of all books2.151.705.3%
Average2.081.677.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Casa Pia 0%Draw 50%Santa Clara 50%

The statistical model rates Casa Pia at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Santa Clara at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.37 | 3.29 | 1.86, which imply roughly 30.4% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Casa Pia are 17th (4 pts, 3-16 goals), Santa Clara 4th (15 pts, 11-4).

Over their last five matches, Casa Pia averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Santa Clara averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Santa Clara.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.373.291.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.901.191.30

Draw no bet

12
3.151.33

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.081.67

1st half

1X2
4.902.002.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.767.601.63

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.72
1.51.412.73
2.52.341.59
3.54.421.18
4.59.251.06
5.516.71.01
6.550.5–
18 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.251.027.95
0.751.046.90
11.066.10
1.251.263.43
1.751.542.35
21.722.04
2.252.041.76
2.752.731.42
33.461.24
3.253.961.17
3.755.651.08
48.501.01
4.256.911.04
4.759.701.03
511.51.01
5.2515.51.01
5.7512.5–
614.2–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
03.241.33
+0.252.281.58
+0.51.981.84
+0.751.672.12
+11.442.65
+1.251.333.11
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.759.251.01
-1.59.801.02
-1.258.151.03
-18.501.03
-0.755.751.09
-0.54.501.21
-0.253.841.25
+1.51.273.50
+1.751.154.56
+21.066.93
+2.251.027.68
+2.51.037.97
+2.751.058.85
+31.0113.5
+3.251.0112.0
+3.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.273.55
4.51.552.37
5.52.001.75
6.52.721.42
7.53.851.23

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.3
5.51.056.57
6.51.154.41
7.51.303.06
8.51.582.24
9.51.981.77
10.52.541.43
11.53.351.24
12.54.661.13
13.56.731.06
14.58.501.05
15.510.81.03
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.075.00
71.183.50
7.751.322.81
81.412.60
8.251.482.40
8.751.682.12
91.791.98
9.251.851.81
9.752.121.61
102.281.53
10.252.411.44
10.752.751.29
112.901.26
11.253.241.21
123.901.14
135.091.06