OddsFilter

SC Braga vs Sporting CP• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#61.0:0.61-3FTToday · Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga2.4:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.22PINX3.481XB22.39PINMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets86Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.143.482.353.1%
Pinnacle3.223.292.393.3%
Dafabet3.103.352.384.1%
Betano3.153.252.355.1%
Bet3653.203.202.306.0%
Marathonbet3.023.342.257.5%
Betfair3.203.102.258.0%
William Hill3.003.202.259.0%
BetVictor3.003.202.2010.0%
SBO2.863.082.3010.9%
Best of all books3.223.482.391.6%
Average3.093.252.306.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC BragaSporting CP
Last 10#6Table position#31.83Points per game2.1410Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 52.40.6Goals against · last 50.829Attack rating7157Defence rating4348Form rating5225H2H rating75100Goals model038Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:02 UTC

SC Braga

5W 4D 1L · goals 10:5 · per match 1.0 for, 0.5 against

20 SepASanta Clara0-0D
14 SepHEstoril1-0W
10 SepAEstrela1-2L
5 SepAAlverca2-1W
31 AugHVitória SC1-0W
27 AugAAustria Vienna0-0D
20 AugHAustria Vienna2-0W
13 AugADinamo Minsk0-0D
9 AugAMoreirense2-2D
6 AugHDinamo Minsk1-0W

Sporting CP

7W 3D 0L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

19 SepHArouca2-2D
13 SepAFamalicao1-1D
9 SepHGalatasaray3-1W
5 SepHNacional2-0W
28 AugARio Ave4-0W
22 AugHAlverca3-1W
14 AugHVitória SC3-2W
8 AugAEstrela2-2D
31 JulHNottingham Forest4-1W
25 JulHMonaco2-0W

Head to head

8SC Braga wins
6draws
23Sporting CP wins

37 meetings · goals 38:74 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for SC Braga

7 Mar 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSC Braga2-2Sporting CP
5 Oct 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP1-1SC Braga
7 Apr 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP1-1SC Braga
10 Nov 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSC Braga2-4Sporting CP
11 Feb 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP5-0SC Braga
23 Jan 2024Taça da LigaTaça da LigaSC Braga1-0Sporting CP
3 Sep 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSC Braga1-1Sporting CP
1 Feb 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSporting CP5-0SC Braga
19 Dec 2022Taça da LigaTaça da LigaSporting CP5-0SC Braga
7 Aug 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaSC Braga3-3Sporting CP

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, SC Braga sit 6th with 11 points from 6 games, while Sporting CP are 3rd with 15 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Benfica751122:7+1516
3Sporting CP743017:8+915
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6SC Braga63217:5+211
7Academico Viseu73229:9011
8Estrela724114:14010
9GIL Vicente62225:508
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense72238:14-68
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.09X29%3.25241%2.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 18:401 3.09X 3.252 2.30
13.46 → 3.09 -10.7%X3.37 → 3.25 -3.6%22.05 → 2.30 +12.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.041.862.8%
1xBet2.041.853.1%
Betano2.071.803.9%
SBO2.051.794.6%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Betfair1.951.806.8%
Marathonbet1.971.786.9%
BetVictor1.921.768.9%
Best of all books2.071.862.1%
Average2.011.805.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Betano1.781.986.7%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.751.977.9%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.751.948.7%
Best of all books1.802.152.1%
Average1.751.997.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Braga 10%Draw 45%Sporting CP 45%

The statistical model rated SC Braga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting CP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.09 | 3.25 | 2.30, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: SC Braga are 6th (11 pts, 7-5 goals), Sporting CP 3rd (15 pts, 17-8).

Over their last five matches, SC Braga averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Sporting CP averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Sporting CP and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

SC Braga

3-4-2-1

Coach: Carlos Vicens

Goalkeeper

  • 31Bernardo Fontes

Defence

  • 22Sergio Barcia
  • 6Vitor Carvalho
  • 44A. Bajrami

Midfield

  • 2Víctor Gómez
  • 29J. Gorby
  • 8João Moutinho
  • 11Gabriel Silva
  • 23D. Huseinbašić
  • 21Ricardo Horta

Attack

  • 10Pau Victor
Substitutes (12)
  • 26B. Arrey-Mbi
  • 78João Carvalho
  • 14G. Lagerbielke
  • 16Tomás Marqués
  • 7Diogo Travassos
  • 77Gabri Martínez
  • 17J. Milošević
  • 9Fran Navarro
  • 19J. Wind
  • 50Diego Rodrigues
  • 34E. Tıknaz
  • 20M. Dorgeles

Sporting CP

4-2-3-1

Coach: Rui Borges

Goalkeeper

  • 1Rui Silva

Defence

  • 13G. Vagiannidis
  • 72Eduardo Quaresma
  • 25Gonçalo Inácio
  • 22Iván Fresneda

Midfield

  • 5Sergi Altimira
  • 4S. Andersen
  • 10Geny Catamo
  • 77I. Doumbia
  • 19N. Irankunda

Attack

  • 7F. Ioannidis
Substitutes (12)
  • 8João Simões
  • 28J. Derry
  • 58Flávio Gonçalves
  • 20M. Araújo
  • 9Rafael Ferreira Nel
  • 21Pedro Lima
  • 55Ibrahima Ba
  • 31Luis Guilherme
  • 30Kaique
  • 97L. Suárez
  • 17R. Zalazar
  • 73Eduardo Felicíssimo

Match Statistics

SC BragaSporting CP
1.54Expected Goals0.97
367Passes accurate394
11Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox2
6Blocked Shots0
9Free Kicks11
4Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal6
439Total passes462
15Total Shots9
1Yellow Cards1
5Corner Kicks2
0Offsides2
11Fouls10
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.093.252.30

Double chance

1XX212
1.581.351.32

Draw no bet

12
2.191.63

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.99

1st half

1X2
3.642.122.89

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.209.501.83

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.17
1.51.303.32
2.52.011.80
3.53.461.28
4.56.901.08
5.513.41.03
6.528.21.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.30
11.037.70
1.251.154.30
1.751.382.88
21.502.49
2.251.752.07
2.752.261.60
32.731.42
3.252.991.33
3.754.141.16
45.751.07
4.256.151.06
4.757.431.04
59.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.081.37
-0.252.731.45
02.221.65
+0.251.871.92
+0.51.622.30
+0.751.462.60
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.758.481.01
-1.56.631.07
-1.255.981.09
-15.481.11
-0.753.801.23
+11.263.60
+1.251.243.78
+1.51.184.37
+1.751.105.73
+21.018.70
+2.251.018.60
+2.51.029.50
+3.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.233.95
4.51.392.87
5.51.722.05
6.52.251.60
7.53.051.35
8.54.251.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.8
4.51.059.03
5.51.095.60
6.51.203.73
7.51.432.58
8.51.742.00
9.52.181.62
10.52.961.32
11.54.051.17
12.55.591.09
13.57.551.05
14.510.51.03
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.035.87
61.084.82
6.751.183.40
71.193.35
7.251.312.86
7.751.442.41
81.462.47
8.251.642.07
8.751.891.85
91.891.88
9.252.121.61
9.752.181.56
102.371.50
10.252.861.31
113.021.24
124.071.12
135.271.06