OddsFilter

Benfica vs Vitória SC• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#32.6:1.017:00Tomorrow · Estádio da Luz, Lisbon0.6:0.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.23DAFX7.901XB215.01XBMargin at best0.6%Books10Markets92Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 22:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.197.9015.03.4%
Dafabet1.236.8012.04.3%
Betano1.226.6013.04.8%
Pinnacle1.197.1512.36.1%
Bet3651.226.0012.07.0%
Marathonbet1.186.8013.07.1%
Betfair1.186.5013.07.8%
William Hill1.206.0011.09.1%
BetVictor1.176.5012.09.2%
SBO1.185.518.6814.4%
Best of all books1.237.9015.00.6%
Average1.206.5812.27.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BenficaVitória SC
Last 10#3Table position#142.29Points per game0.7112Form pts · last 552.6Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 50.881Attack rating1944Defence rating5671Form rating2993H2H rating779Goals model2176Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Benfica

8W 1D 1L · goals 29:8 · per match 2.9 for, 0.8 against

20 SepAFC Porto1-3L
16 SepAAC Milan2-0W
13 SepHGIL Vicente3-1W
9 SepAMoreirense4-0W
5 SepAMaritimo3-0W
31 AugHEstoril2-1W
27 AugAAarhus3-1W
20 AugHAarhus3-1W
17 AugACasa Pia7-0W
13 AugAHeart Of Midlothian1-1D

Vitória SC

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

25 SepAChaves1-0W
20 SepHMoreirense1-1D
12 SepAAcademico Viseu1-2L
6 SepHCasa Pia0-0D
31 AugASC Braga0-1L
23 AugHNacional1-0W
14 AugASporting CP2-3L
8 AugHArouca0-1L
1 AugHChaves2-0W
26 JulHNottingham Forest1-1D

Head to head

29Benfica wins
7draws
2Vitória SC wins

38 meetings · goals 79:18 · last 10: 7W 3D 0L for Benfica

21 Mar 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaBenfica3-0Vitória SC
1 Nov 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC0-3Benfica
19 Apr 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC0-3Benfica
7 Dec 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaBenfica1-0Vitória SC
11 Feb 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC2-2Benfica
2 Sep 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaBenfica4-0Vitória SC
18 Mar 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaBenfica5-1Vitória SC
1 Oct 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC0-0Benfica
27 Feb 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaBenfica3-0Vitória SC
27 Oct 2021Taça da LigaTaça da LigaVitória SC3-3Benfica

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Benfica sit 3rd with 16 points from 7 games, while Vitória SC are 14th with 5 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Sporting CP853020:9+1118
3Benfica751122:7+1516
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6GIL Vicente73226:5+111
7SC Braga73228:8011
8Academico Viseu73229:9011
9Estrela724114:14010
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense82248:15-78
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.20X14%6.5828%12.2

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0210 Oct 00:011 1.20X 6.582 12.2
11.23 → 1.20 -2.4%X5.88 → 6.58 +11.9%211.0 → 12.2 +10.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.502.703.7%
Bet3651.482.606.0%
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Pinnacle1.422.746.9%
BetVictor1.432.559.1%
1xBet1.382.6210.6%
Marathonbet1.382.6210.6%
Best of all books1.502.743.2%
Average1.442.647.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.755.9%
Bet3651.951.806.8%
Betano2.051.726.9%
William Hill1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.941.778.0%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.941.758.7%
Best of all books2.051.804.3%
Average1.971.767.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Benfica 45%Draw 45%Vitória SC 10%

The statistical model rates Benfica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vitória SC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.20 | 6.58 | 12.20, which imply roughly 83.3% for a Benfica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Benfica are 3rd (16 pts, 22-7 goals), Vitória SC 14th (5 pts, 5-8).

Over their last five matches, Benfica averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Vitória SC averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Benfica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.206.5812.2

Double chance

1XX212
1.054.291.09

Draw no bet

12
1.049.48

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.971.76

1st half

1X2
1.552.879.24

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2121.54.18

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.3
1.51.115.73
2.51.442.64
3.52.121.70
4.53.521.26
5.56.481.09
6.512.41.04
7.522.51.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0114.0
1.751.105.20
21.124.70
2.251.303.20
2.751.522.38
31.662.12
3.251.911.88
3.752.371.53
42.841.37
4.253.051.28
4.754.101.16
55.451.08
5.255.801.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.481.48
-2.252.261.58
-21.971.78
-1.751.782.02
-1.51.622.27
-1.251.442.64
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.58.301.02
-47.501.03
-3.755.531.10
-3.54.381.17
-3.253.981.19
-33.681.23
-2.752.901.35
-11.283.43
-0.751.223.82
-0.51.234.00
-0.251.105.83
01.028.50

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.722.05

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.5
5.51.048.07
6.51.125.13
7.51.253.41
8.51.472.49
9.51.821.89
10.52.321.54
11.53.131.30
12.54.331.16
13.56.001.08
14.56.811.05
15.510.31.03
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.10
7.751.253.28
81.272.88
8.251.372.72
8.751.512.32
91.562.23
9.251.692.02
9.751.891.79
102.001.73
10.252.141.58
10.752.461.43
112.551.39
11.252.881.32
123.291.20
134.351.10
145.521.05