OddsFilter

Vitória SC vs Moreirense• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#140.8:1.21-1FT20/09 · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães1.0:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.471XBX4.60BTN28.50B365Margin at best1.5%Books9Markets83Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 22:38 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.564.276.353.3%
Betano1.574.056.104.8%
Pinnacle1.524.266.045.8%
Bet3651.533.757.006.3%
Betfair1.504.006.507.1%
Marathonbet1.504.106.107.5%
William Hill1.533.905.808.2%
BetVictor1.503.806.009.6%
SBO1.453.665.5114.4%
Best of all books1.574.277.001.4%
Average1.523.986.167.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vitória SCMoreirense
Last 10#14Table position#120.71Points per game1.005Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 52.244Attack rating5665Defence rating3540Form rating6071H2H rating2976Goals model2459Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Vitória SC

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

25 SepAChaves1-0W
20 SepHMoreirense1-1D
12 SepAAcademico Viseu1-2L
6 SepHCasa Pia0-0D
31 AugASC Braga0-1L
23 AugHNacional1-0W
14 AugASporting CP2-3L
8 AugHArouca0-1L
1 AugHChaves2-0W
26 JulHNottingham Forest1-1D

Moreirense

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

20 SepAVitória SC1-1D
14 SepHMaritimo3-1W
9 SepHBenfica0-4L
4 SepAFC Porto1-2L
30 AugACasa Pia1-0W
16 AugAArouca0-4L
9 AugHSC Braga2-2D
1 AugAFelgueiras 19321-2L
1 AugHAmarante2-0W
25 JulAGIL Vicente2-2D

Head to head

16Vitória SC wins
4draws
5Moreirense wins

25 meetings · goals 37:23 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Vitória SC

30 Jan 2026Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC1-0Moreirense
23 Aug 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense2-0Vitória SC
30 Mar 2025Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense2-2Vitória SC
3 Nov 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC1-0Moreirense
30 Mar 2024Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC1-0Moreirense
5 Nov 2023Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense1-0Vitória SC
3 Apr 2022Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaMoreirense0-1Vitória SC
21 Nov 2021Taça de PortugalTaça de PortugalMoreirense3-2Vitória SC
6 Nov 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC2-1Moreirense
30 Apr 2021Primeira LigaPrimeira LigaVitória SC2-0Moreirense

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Vitória SC sit 14th with 5 points from 7 games, while Moreirense are 12th with 8 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Sporting CP853020:9+1118
3Benfica751122:7+1516
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6GIL Vicente73226:5+111
7SC Braga73228:8011
8Academico Viseu73229:9011
9Estrela724114:14010
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense82248:15-78
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.47X22%4.21214%6.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Sep 12:0120 Sep 13:311 1.43X 4.302 7.49
11.45 → 1.43 -1.4%X4.24 → 4.30 +1.4%27.23 → 7.49 +3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.971.913.1%
Betano1.951.903.9%
Pinnacle1.951.884.5%
SBO1.991.834.9%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Marathonbet1.901.847.0%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books1.991.912.6%
Average1.941.865.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.755.9%
Betano1.981.786.7%
Bet3651.951.806.8%
1xBet1.971.757.9%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.971.738.6%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.051.804.3%
Average1.981.757.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vitória SC 45%Draw 45%Moreirense 10%

The statistical model rated Vitória SC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Moreirense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 4.21 | 6.88, which imply roughly 68% for a Vitória SC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Vitória SC are 14th (5 pts, 5-8 goals), Moreirense 12th (8 pts, 8-15).

Over their last five matches, Vitória SC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Moreirense averaged 1 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Vitória SC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Vitória SC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Tiago Margarido

Goalkeeper

  • 48O. Zych

Defence

  • 23T. Strata
  • 28Thiago Balieiro
  • 21T. Borevković
  • 13João Mendes

Midfield

  • 8Gonçalo Nogueira
  • 44L. Doucet
  • 7O. Camara
  • 10Alan
  • 11Gustavo

Attack

  • 9A. Jakupovic
Substitutes (12)
  • 22J. Castillo
  • 19V. Andersson
  • 82F. Dias
  • 2Miguel Maga
  • 6M. Mitrović
  • 16Beni
  • 17Miguel Nogueira
  • 29V. Ouotro
  • 4Óscar Rivas
  • 20Samu
  • 5A. Sidibé
  • 56S. Verdi

Moreirense

4-2-3-1

Coach: Vasco Costa

Goalkeeper

  • 13André Ferreira

Defence

  • 76Dinis Pinto
  • 66Gilberto Batista
  • 26Maracás
  • 27Kiko

Midfield

  • 23N. John
  • 65Guilherme Liberato
  • 10Kiko Bondoso
  • 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
  • 19Tiago Andrade

Attack

  • 79L. Vonić
Substitutes (12)
  • 9A. Duville-Parsemain
  • 99Maranhão
  • 8M. Stjepanović
  • 28Chipyoka Songa
  • 2Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos
  • 21Rodri Alonso
  • 17Álvaro Martínez
  • 11Landerson
  • 4Kevyn Monteiro
  • 1Aranha
  • 12Francisco Barbosa Sampaio
  • 32José

Match Statistics

Vitória SCMoreirense
557Passes accurate251
10Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox3
3Blocked Shots0
11Free Kicks11
5Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
7Shots off Goal4
1Offsides0
643Total passes332
15Total Shots7
3Corner Kicks0
11Fouls12
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
66%Ball Possession34%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.523.986.16

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.441.21

Draw no bet

12
1.174.60

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.981.75

1st half

1X2
2.042.246.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4211.03.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.93
1.51.293.39
2.51.941.86
3.53.311.30
4.56.461.09
5.512.91.03
6.524.71.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.80
11.018.30
1.251.134.55
1.751.352.93
21.452.59
2.251.702.12
2.752.191.66
32.611.44
3.252.841.38
3.753.921.18
45.401.09
4.255.751.07
4.757.111.04
58.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.753.101.35
-1.52.511.50
-1.252.201.63
-11.891.89
-0.751.642.18
-0.51.512.50
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.401.02
-39.001.01
-2.756.121.08
-2.54.761.14
-2.254.241.19
-23.951.21
-0.251.333.09
01.164.64
+0.251.125.22
+0.51.126.40
+0.751.037.50
+1.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.702.07

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.049.00
5.51.075.89
6.51.183.92
7.51.372.76
8.51.682.08
9.52.101.66
10.52.701.40
11.53.791.20
12.55.241.10
13.57.951.04
14.510.01.03
15.511.81.02
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.074.95
6.751.153.74
71.183.45
7.251.273.06
7.751.392.56
81.412.60
8.251.562.21
8.751.751.92
91.901.88
9.252.001.69
9.752.271.49
102.331.51
10.252.651.36
112.951.26
123.951.13
135.151.06