Sporting CP vs 
Arouca• Primeira Liga, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 1.15 | 8.18 | 15.1. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:02 UTC
Sporting CP
7W 3D 0L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against
| 19 Sep | H | Arouca | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Famalicao | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep | H | Galatasaray | 3-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Nacional | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Rio Ave | 4-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Alverca | 3-1 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Vitória SC | 3-2 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Estrela | 2-2 | D |
| 31 Jul | H | Nottingham Forest | 4-1 | W |
| 25 Jul | H | Monaco | 2-0 | W |
Arouca
4W 3D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against
| 19 Sep | A | Sporting CP | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Santa Clara | 1-2 | L |
| 7 Sep | A | Estoril | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Maritimo | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | FC Porto | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Moreirense | 4-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Vitória SC | 1-0 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | Lusitânia Lourosa | 2-0 | W |
| 25 Jul | A | Santa Clara | 0-3 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Famalicao | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
19 meetings · goals 47:13 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Sporting CP
| 24 Jan 2026Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Arouca1-2Sporting CP |
| 17 Aug 2025Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Sporting CP6-0Arouca |
| 15 Feb 2025Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Sporting CP2-2Arouca |
| 13 Sep 2024Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Arouca0-3Sporting CP |
| 10 Mar 2024Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Arouca0-3Sporting CP |
| 8 Oct 2023Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Sporting CP2-1Arouca |
| 16 Apr 2023Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Sporting CP1-1Arouca |
| 24 Jan 2023Taça da Liga | Taça da Liga | Arouca1-2Sporting CP |
| 29 Oct 2022Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Arouca1-0Sporting CP |
| 5 Mar 2022Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Sporting CP2-0Arouca |
Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC
In the Primeira Liga table, Sporting CP sit 2nd with 18 points from 8 games, while Arouca are 5th with 11 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | +15 | 16 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Sporting CP at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arouca at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 8.18 | 15.06, which imply roughly 87% for a Sporting CP win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Sporting CP are 2nd (18 pts, 20-9 goals), Arouca 5th (11 pts, 10-7).
Over their last five matches, Sporting CP averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Arouca averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1Coach: Rui Borges
Goalkeeper
- 1Rui Silva
Defence
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 6Z. Debast
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 20M. Araújo
Midfield
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 10Geny Catamo
- 17R. Zalazar
- 19N. Irankunda
Attack
- 97L. Suárez
Substitutes (12)
- 28J. Derry
- 4S. Andersen
- 50Rodrigo Dias
- 58Flávio Gonçalves
- 7F. Ioannidis
- 30Kaique
- 31Luis Guilherme
- 9Rafael Ferreira Nel
- 21Pedro Lima
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 8João Simões
- 13G. Vagiannidis
Arouca
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Seabra
Goalkeeper
- 12I. de Arruabarrena
Defence
- 28Tiago Esgaio
- 15Javi Sánchez
- 3José Fontán
- 18O. Lebedenko
Midfield
- 6E. van Ee
- 8T. Fukui
- 19A. Trezza
- 21Mateo Flores
- 7N. Djouahra
Attack
- 17Barbero
Substitutes (12)
- 37Mario Climent
- 1J. Vinarčík
- 20G. Rukavina
- 5B. Popović
- 89Pedro Santos
- 77S. Park
- 23D. Nandín
- 4Diogo Monteiro
- 9F. Mayulu
- 24B. Mansilla
- 27Mamadu Balde
- 71M. Duarte