OddsFilter

Estrela vs Academico Viseu• Primeira Liga, Portugal

#92.4:2.00-2FT20/09 · Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora1.0:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.151XBX3.421XB23.67PINMargin at best3.0%Books9Markets77Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 22:38 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.273.313.463.2%
Betano2.253.253.404.6%
Pinnacle2.233.233.435.0%
Bet3652.153.303.406.2%
Betfair2.103.403.307.3%
Marathonbet2.183.183.327.4%
William Hill2.153.103.309.1%
BetVictor2.103.203.2010.1%
SBO2.122.922.9715.1%
Best of all books2.273.403.462.4%
Average2.173.213.317.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EstrelaAcademico Viseu
Last 10#9Table position#81.43Points per game1.578Form pts · last 5102.4Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.471Attack rating2941Defence rating5956Form rating4491H2H rating950Goals model5066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Estrela

4W 5D 1L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

20 SepHAcademico Viseu0-2L
14 SepARio Ave3-3D
10 SepHSC Braga2-1W
5 SepHFamalicao2-2D
30 AugANacional3-2W
15 AugAAlverca2-2D
8 AugHSporting CP2-2D
1 AugHAl-Nassr4-2W
29 JulHLusitano Évora 19111-0W
29 JulHPortimonense1-1D

Academico Viseu

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

20 SepAEstrela2-0W
12 SepHVitória SC2-1W
6 SepAGIL Vicente1-0W
29 AugHFC Porto0-3L
22 AugAMaritimo2-2D
15 AugHSanta Clara0-1L
9 AugABenfica2-2D
29 JulACelta Vigo2-2D
25 JulALusitânia Lourosa0-1L
16 MayHSporting CP B0-0D

Head to head

3Estrela wins
1draws
0Academico Viseu wins

4 meetings · goals 11:2 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Estrela

5 Mar 2023Segunda LigaSegunda LigaAcademico Viseu1-1Estrela
12 Sep 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaEstrela2-1Academico Viseu
5 Mar 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaAcademico Viseu0-4Estrela
10 Oct 2021Segunda LigaSegunda LigaEstrela4-0Academico Viseu

Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Primeira Liga table, Estrela sit 9th with 10 points from 7 games, while Academico Viseu are 8th with 11 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Porto770018:3+1521
2Sporting CP853020:9+1118
3Benfica751122:7+1516
4Santa Clara743011:4+715
5Arouca732210:7+311
6GIL Vicente73226:5+111
7SC Braga73228:8011
8Academico Viseu73229:9011
9Estrela724114:14010
10Alverca72239:11-28
11Maritimo72238:12-48
12Moreirense82248:15-78
13Famalicao71429:7+27
14Vitória SC71245:8-35
15Nacional71157:15-84
16Rio Ave71155:15-104
17Casa Pia71153:16-134
18Estoril70253:10-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.11X28%3.31227%3.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Sep 12:0120 Sep 13:311 2.09X 3.322 3.50
12.06 → 2.09 +1.5%X3.33 → 3.32 -0.3%23.56 → 3.50 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.121.793.0%
Betano2.101.783.8%
Pinnacle2.081.764.9%
SBO2.081.745.5%
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Betfair2.051.755.9%
Marathonbet2.041.736.8%
BetVictor1.991.709.1%
Best of all books2.121.793.0%
Average2.071.755.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betano1.801.956.8%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
1xBet1.791.927.9%
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
Marathonbet1.791.898.8%
Best of all books1.871.954.8%
Average1.811.927.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estrela 45%Draw 45%Academico Viseu 10%

The statistical model rated Estrela at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Academico Viseu at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 3.31 | 3.46, which imply roughly 47.4% for a Estrela win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Estrela are 9th (10 pts, 14-14 goals), Academico Viseu 8th (11 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Estrela averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Academico Viseu averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Estrela or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Estrela

4-2-3-1

Coach: Pepa

Goalkeeper

  • 24Léo Linck

Defence

  • 21M. Scholze
  • 5S. Leković
  • 4Bernardo Schappo
  • 55Rafa Soares

Midfield

  • 14L. Zvonarek
  • 39Eddy Doue
  • 99A. Marcus
  • 78Santiago Serra
  • 10I. Stoica

Attack

  • 37L. Antonetti
Substitutes (12)
  • 17Jefferson Encada
  • 93B. Souza
  • 8Robinho
  • 51Diogo Pinto
  • 71E. Pedro Vanga
  • 49R. Muteba
  • 80Alisson
  • 22David Grilo
  • 6K. Höög Jansson
  • 30Patrick Luan
  • 3L. Mincarelli Davin
  • 19Joan Jordán

Academico Viseu

4-2-3-1

Coach: Bruno Pinheiro

Goalkeeper

  • 98Ewerton

Defence

  • 75Robinho
  • 41A. Correia
  • 2N. Michelis
  • 57G. Costa

Midfield

  • 8C. Kahraman
  • 7Luís Silva
  • 47L. Gohi
  • 14S. Messeguem
  • 31João Guilherme

Attack

  • 33André Clóvis
Substitutes (12)
  • 10Á. Zamora
  • 9M. Bouldini
  • 3Miguel Brau
  • 17Valery
  • 44Rúben Pereira
  • 5Pedro Barcelos
  • 22Nils Mortimer
  • 45Alejandro Mestanza
  • 1Marcos Lavín
  • 18C. Ferreira
  • 21Tomás Domingos
  • 6André Ceitil

Match Statistics

EstrelaAcademico Viseu
380Passes accurate255
10Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox2
5Blocked Shots2
9Free Kicks9
2Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
9Shots off Goal2
453Total passes324
16Total Shots8
2Yellow Cards3
5Corner Kicks2
10Fouls11
0Red Cards0
59%Ball Possession41%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.173.213.31

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.661.31

Draw no bet

12
1.542.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.811.92

1st half

1X2
2.752.063.97

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.818.252.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.40
1.51.333.11
2.52.071.75
3.53.571.26
4.57.181.07
5.514.31.02
6.528.21.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.00
11.056.40
1.251.183.92
1.751.412.71
21.542.36
2.251.821.97
2.752.351.57
32.831.37
3.253.091.32
3.754.201.15
45.751.07
4.256.101.06
510.01.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.531.47
-0.52.161.68
-0.251.871.93
01.562.38
+0.251.402.79
+0.51.323.30
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.301.03
-2.257.301.03
-27.501.03
-1.755.311.11
-1.54.011.20
-1.253.691.23
-13.361.29
+0.751.204.13
+11.086.10
+1.251.076.53
+1.51.057.00
+1.751.018.80
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.121.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0212.0
4.51.049.00
5.51.085.70
6.51.203.76
7.51.402.64
8.51.731.99
9.52.201.58
10.52.921.33
11.53.991.17
12.55.521.09
13.58.251.04
14.510.31.03
15.512.01.02
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.094.52
6.751.173.60
71.233.10
7.251.292.96
7.751.422.47
81.492.28
8.251.602.14
8.751.811.85
91.991.78
9.252.071.64
9.752.361.45
102.521.40
10.252.801.33
113.291.20
124.421.10
135.621.04