Alverca vs 
Rio Ave• Primeira Liga, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 1.84 | 3.55 | 4.20. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:32 UTC
Alverca
4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against
| 19 Sep | H | Rio Ave | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Nacional | 3-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | SC Braga | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Santa Clara | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Sporting CP | 1-3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Estrela | 2-2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | FC Porto | 0-2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | Sporting CP B | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Jul | A | Mafra | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Jul | H | Estoril | 2-0 | W |
Rio Ave
3W 2D 5L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against
| 19 Sep | A | Alverca | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Estrela | 3-3 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Santa Clara | 0-4 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Sporting CP | 0-4 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Estoril | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | FC Porto | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | GIL Vicente | 0-1 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | Tondela | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Jul | H | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Jul | A | Portimonense | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 5:5 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Alverca
| 4 Apr 2026Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave1-2Alverca |
| 8 Nov 2025Primeira Liga | Primeira Liga | Alverca1-1Rio Ave |
| 23 Nov 2024Taça de Portugal | Taça de Portugal | Alverca2-2Rio Ave |
| 24 Nov 2019Taça de Portugal | Taça de Portugal | Rio Ave1-0Alverca |
Primeira Liga tablePrimeira Ligaupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC
In the Primeira Liga table, Alverca sit 10th with 8 points from 7 games, while Rio Ave are 16th with 4 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Alverca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rio Ave at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 3.55 | 4.20, which imply roughly 54.3% for a Alverca win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Alverca are 10th (8 pts, 9-11 goals), Rio Ave 16th (4 pts, 5-15).
Over their last five matches, Alverca averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Rio Ave averaged 1 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Alverca or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Alverca
3-4-3Coach: Sérgio Ferreira
Goalkeeper
- 31Matheus Mendes
Defence
- 14S. Baseya
- 21Sergi Gómez
- 12I. James
Midfield
- 20Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
- 35Rayan
- 6D. Gui
- 55Francisco Chissumba
Attack
- 10Chiquinho
- 19D. Camara
- 22Figueiredo
Substitutes (12)
- 8Vasco Moreira
- 91Jhonatan
- 26Matheus França
- 24E. Jemide
- 18Z. Kassary
- 17S. Merheg
- 11C. Nuozzi
- 9Vivaldo Semedo
- 27Toni Tamarit
- 93Zé Rafael
- 7André Vidigal
- 4Y. Bojang
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Silaidopoulos
Goalkeeper
- 32Vitor Hugo
Defence
- 20João Tomé
- 23F. Petrasso
- 3S. Garcia
- 24Pedro Amaral
Midfield
- 5A. Ntoi
- 44T. Nikitscher
- 30R. Galčík
- 79M. Patricio
- 7Diogo Bezerra
Attack
- 11J. Blesa
Substitutes (12)
- 22K. Chamorro
- 9Tamble Monteiro
- 80S. Clemmensen
- 54G. Liavas
- 60Caike
- 27T. Medina
- 19M. Sellouki
- 39Gustavo Mancha
- 17M. Vrousai
- 70A. Wenck
- 21R. Šiler
- 77D. Špikić