Rio Ave16th3 pts
Estrela6th9 pts
Rio Ave16th3 pts
Estrela6th9 ptsIn the Primeira Liga table, Rio Ave sit 16th with 3 points from 5 games, while Estrela are 6th with 9 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Rio Ave at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Estrela at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.63 | 3.23 | 2.63, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Rio Ave are 16th (3 pts, 2-11 goals), Estrela 6th (9 pts, 11-9).
Over their last five matches, Rio Ave averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Estrela averaged 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Estrela and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Rio Ave vs Estrela — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Estrela | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Maritimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 |  Famalicao | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Moreirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 |  Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.78
X
3.15
2
2.51
Double chance
1X
1.50
X2
1.41
12
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
1.80
No
1.92
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.34
Under 1.5
3.08
Over 2.5
2.11
Under 2.5
1.72
Over 3.5
3.70
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
8.27
Over 4.5
7.52
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
15.25
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
33.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.43
Under 1.75
2.67
Over 2
1.57
Under 2
2.31
Over 2.25
1.85
Under 2.25
1.94
Over 2.75
2.43
Under 2.75
1.55
Over 0.75
1.03
Under 0.75
7.20
Over 1
1.05
Under 1
6.55
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
3.90
Over 3
2.95
Under 3
1.36
Over 3.25
3.23
Under 3.25
1.27
Over 3.75
4.50
Under 3.75
1.13
Over 4
6.35
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.75
Under 4.25
1.04
Over 5
10.00
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.96
2
1.78
Asian handicap
Home 2
1.01
Away 2
1.01
1st half
1
3.41
X
2.03
2
3.14
First team to score
Home
2.09
No Goal
8.70
Away
1.94
Corners 2-Way
Over 14.5
11.00
Under 14.5
1.02
Cards in match
Over 4.5
2.12
Under 4.5
1.67