Estoril17th1 pts
Arouca5th9 pts
Estoril17th1 pts
Arouca5th9 ptsIn the Primeira Liga table, Estoril sit 17th with 1 points from 4 games, while Arouca are 5th with 9 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Estoril at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Arouca at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.36 | 2.87, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Estoril are 17th (1 pts, 2-7 goals), Arouca 5th (9 pts, 7-3).
Over their last five matches, Estoril averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Arouca averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arouca and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Estoril vs Arouca — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  SC Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Maritimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Estrela | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |  Academico Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 |  Vitória SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Famalicao | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 |  Alverca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 |  Estoril | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.34
X
3.36
2
2.96
Double chance
1X
1.37
X2
1.58
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
1.66
No
2.11
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.24
Under 1.5
3.65
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 3.5
3.04
Under 3.5
1.33
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
10.80
Over 4.5
5.93
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
26.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.30
Under 1.75
3.11
Over 2
1.38
Under 2
2.80
Over 2.25
1.62
Under 2.25
2.24
Over 2.75
2.02
Under 2.75
1.72
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
9.00
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
4.91
Over 3
2.39
Under 3
1.51
Over 3.25
2.63
Under 3.25
1.40
Over 3.75
3.58
Under 3.75
1.21
Over 4
4.95
Under 4
1.11
Over 4.25
5.30
Under 4.25
1.09
Over 4.75
7.63
Under 4.75
1.03
Over 5
8.10
Under 5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.68
2
2.08
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.01
1st half
1
2.88
X
2.17
2
3.58
First team to score
Home
1.83
No Goal
11.50
Away
2.11
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.25
2.97
Under 11.25
1.30