Estrela9th6 pts
SC Braga7th7 pts
Estrela9th6 pts
SC Braga7th7 ptsIn the Primeira Liga table, Estrela sit 9th with 6 points from 4 games, while SC Braga are 7th with 7 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Estrela at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and SC Braga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.07 | 3.72 | 1.67, which imply roughly 26.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primeira Liga table: Estrela are 9th (6 pts, 9-8 goals), SC Braga 7th (7 pts, 5-3).
Over their last five matches, Estrela averaged 2.3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; SC Braga averaged 1.7 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or SC Braga and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Estrela vs SC Braga — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  SC Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Maritimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Estrela | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |  Academico Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 |  Vitória SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 |  Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Moreirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Famalicao | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 |  Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 |  Alverca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 |  Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
4.73
X
3.63
2
1.73
Double chance
1X
2.05
X2
1.17
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
1.87
No
1.85
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.29
Under 1.5
3.34
Over 2.5
1.96
Under 2.5
1.82
Over 3.5
3.41
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
9.44
Over 4.5
6.69
Under 4.5
1.09
Over 5.5
13.46
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
26.75
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.36
Under 1.75
2.89
Over 2
1.48
Under 2
2.52
Over 2.25
1.73
Under 2.25
2.06
Over 2.75
2.20
Under 2.75
1.61
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.82
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.20
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
4.46
Over 3
2.67
Under 3
1.43
Over 3.25
3.00
Under 3.25
1.34
Over 3.75
4.14
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 4
5.80
Under 4
1.07
Over 4.25
6.25
Under 4.25
1.06
Over 5
9.20
Under 5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
3.35
2
1.28
Asian handicap
Away -3.5
11.00
1st half
1
4.90
X
2.15
2
2.30
First team to score
Home
2.75
No Goal
9.92
Away
1.55
Corners 2-Way
Over 13.5
8.50
Under 13.5
1.04
Cards in match
Over 5.5
2.87
Under 5.5
1.30