Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund• Bundesliga, Germany

#161.0:3.413:30Tomorrow · An der Alten Försterei, Berlin2.2:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.341XBX4.621XB21.63PINMargin at best1.7%Books6Markets88Rating21 · 79Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.34	4.62	1.63	1.7%
Pinnacle	5.01	4.46	1.63	3.7%
Marathonbet	5.20	4.50	1.59	4.3%
Bet365	5.25	4.20	1.60	5.4%
William Hill	4.80	4.20	1.57	8.3%
BetVictor	4.75	4.10	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	5.34	4.62	1.63	1.7%
Average	5.06	4.35	1.59	5.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund

Last 10#16Table position#20.80Points per game2.606Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.23.4Goals against · last 50.831Attack rating6919Defence rating8124Form rating7620H2H rating8021Goals model7921Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:51 UTC

Union Berlin

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:27 · per match 1.7 for, 2.7 against

10 Oct	H	SV Elversberg	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	HNK Rijeka	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Bayern München	0-7	L
11 Sep	H	FC Schalke 04	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Bayer Leverkusen	0-4	L
29 Aug	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	3-3	D
23 Aug	A	Eintracht Braunschweig	4-2	W
15 Aug	H	Ipswich	2-4	L
9 Aug	H	Aris	3-2	W
2 Aug	H	Cagliari	2-2	D

Borussia Dortmund

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

14 Oct	A	Bodo/Glimt	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Werder Bremen	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	VfB Stuttgart	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	SC Paderborn 07	3-0	W
8 Sep	H	Villarreal	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	1899 Hoffenheim	3-2	W
1 Sep	A	HEBC	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	Hamburger SV	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Bayern München	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	AS Roma	2-2	D

Head to head

4Union Berlin wins

1draws

11Borussia Dortmund wins

16 meetings · goals 18:42 · last 10: 2W 0D 8L for Union Berlin

24 Jan 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin0-3Borussia Dortmund
31 Aug 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund3-0Union Berlin
22 Feb 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund6-0Union Berlin
5 Oct 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin2-1Borussia Dortmund
2 Mar 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin0-2Borussia Dortmund
7 Oct 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund4-2Union Berlin
8 Apr 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund2-1Union Berlin
16 Oct 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin2-0Borussia Dortmund
13 Feb 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Union Berlin0-3Borussia Dortmund
19 Sep 2021Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund4-2Union Berlin

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Union Berlin sit 16th with 4 points from 5 games, while Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 13 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	5	4	1	0	14:4	+10	13
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:4	+7	13
3	Bayern München	5	3	2	0	16:4	+12	11
4	Bayer Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	14:8	+6	10
5	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	15:5	+10	9
6	FC Augsburg	5	2	2	1	13:8	+5	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	10:10	0	8
8	FSV Mainz 05	5	2	1	2	13:10	+3	7
9	SV Elversberg	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
10	1. FC Köln	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
11	VfB Stuttgart	5	2	0	3	8:9	-1	6
12	Hamburger SV	5	2	0	3	5:15	-10	6
13	FC Schalke 04	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	9:16	-7	5
15	SC Paderborn 07	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4
16	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	5:17	-12	4
17	1899 Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9:13	-4	3
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	5	0	0	5	7:18	-11	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%5.06X22%4.35259%1.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.60 → 5.06 +10.0%X4.17 → 4.35 +4.3%21.65 → 1.60 -3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.51	2.59	4.8%
Bet365	1.53	2.50	5.4%
1xBet	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.55	8.7%
BetVictor	1.48	2.42	8.9%
Best of all books	1.53	2.59	4.0%
Average	1.48	2.52	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.50	5.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.50	3.7%
Average	1.53	2.37	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Union Berlin 0%Draw 50%Borussia Dortmund 50%

The statistical model rates Union Berlin at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Borussia Dortmund at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.06 | 4.35 | 1.60, which imply roughly 23% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Union Berlin are 16th (4 pts, 5-17 goals), Borussia Dortmund 2nd (13 pts, 11-4).

Over their last five matches, Union Berlin averaged 1 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game; Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Borussia Dortmund.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.06	4.35	1.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.35	1.17	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.85	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
4.97	2.55	2.05

2nd half

1	X	2
4.52	2.94	1.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	8.57	16.3	21.0
HT X	11.7	7.13	4.65
HT 2	40.0	15.8	2.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.67	19.5	1.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.3
1.5	1.11	5.46
2.5	1.48	2.52
3.5	2.23	1.67
4.5	3.82	1.23
5.5	7.10	1.07
6.5	15.0	1.03
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	14.5
1.75	1.12	4.87
2	1.15	4.40
2.25	1.33	3.06
2.75	1.58	2.28
3	1.74	2.03
3.25	2.01	1.81
3.75	2.51	1.49
4	3.07	1.34
4.25	3.34	1.29
4.75	4.48	1.15
5	6.05	1.07
5.25	6.35	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.83	1.40
+0.5	2.35	1.57
+0.75	2.11	1.73
+1	1.85	1.96
+1.25	1.66	2.23
+1.5	1.53	2.49

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.80	1.02
-0.75	6.47	1.08
-0.5	5.00	1.17
-0.25	4.27	1.19
0	3.86	1.23
+1.75	1.37	2.95
+2	1.24	3.79
+2.25	1.19	4.07
+2.5	1.16	4.40
+2.75	1.10	5.63
+3	1.02	7.90
+3.5	1.01	8.70

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.33	3.16
3	1.45	2.68
3.5	1.81	1.90
4	2.23	1.63
4.5	2.72	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.94
6.5	1.11	4.67
7.5	1.24	3.19
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.90	1.87
10.5	2.34	1.51
11.5	2.97	1.27
12.5	4.04	1.15
13.5	5.48	1.07

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.37
7	1.14	3.82
7.75	1.24	3.26
8	1.33	2.78
8.25	1.35	2.71
8.75	1.51	2.32
9	1.67	2.09
9.25	1.72	2.05
9.75	1.94	1.81
10	2.15	1.64
10.25	2.13	1.56
10.75	2.48	1.42
11	2.75	1.34
11.25	2.79	1.28
12	3.55	1.17
13	4.69	1.08
14	5.32	1.05