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SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart• Bundesliga, Germany

#150.8:1.30-2FT10/10 · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn1.5:2.3#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.10BTNX5.021XB21.621XBMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets100Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet5.025.021.621.6%
Betano5.104.751.622.4%
Pinnacle4.914.891.612.9%
Marathonbet4.904.901.584.1%
Dafabet4.804.801.604.2%
Betfair5.004.751.574.7%
BetVictor4.754.751.556.6%
Bet3654.754.501.577.0%
William Hill4.604.501.558.5%
SBO4.524.461.549.5%
Best of all books5.105.021.621.3%
Average4.844.731.585.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
Last 10#15Table position#110.80Points per game1.206Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.51.3Goals against · last 52.333Attack rating6764Defence rating3657Form rating4313H2H rating8876Goals model2446Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:41 UTC

SC Paderborn 07

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

10 OctHVfB Stuttgart0-2L
30 SepADC United1-0W
20 SepH1899 Hoffenheim3-1W
12 SepABorussia Dortmund0-3L
5 SepHSC Freiburg0-1L
29 AugAFSV Mainz 050-0D
23 AugAPhönix Lübeck4-2W
8 AugAWerder Bremen2-2D
1 AugAVfL Osnabrück2-0W
17 JulHFagiano Okayama3-1W

VfB Stuttgart

7W 0D 3L · goals 26:10 · per match 2.6 for, 1.0 against

14 OctASlovan Bratislava3-0W
10 OctASC Paderborn 072-0W
1 OctHSpVgg Greuther Fürth5-0W
25 SepH1. FC Heidenheim3-0W
19 SepHBorussia Dortmund0-1L
12 SepA1899 Hoffenheim1-2L
9 SepHViking3-1W
4 SepH1. FC Köln4-1W
28 AugABayern München1-5L
21 AugAHansa Rostock4-0W

Head to head

0SC Paderborn 07 wins
1draws
2VfB Stuttgart wins

3 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for SC Paderborn 07

31 Jan 2023DFB PokalDFB PokalSC Paderborn 071-2VfB Stuttgart
23 May 2015BundesligaBundesligaSC Paderborn 071-2VfB Stuttgart
20 Dec 2014BundesligaBundesligaVfB Stuttgart0-0SC Paderborn 07

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, SC Paderborn 07 sit 15th with 4 points from 5 games, while VfB Stuttgart are 11th with 6 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Freiburg541014:4+1013
2Borussia Dortmund541011:4+713
3Bayern München532016:4+1211
4Bayer Leverkusen531114:8+610
5RB Leipzig530215:5+109
6FC Augsburg522113:8+58
7Werder Bremen522110:1008
8FSV Mainz 05521213:10+37
9SV Elversberg52128:807
101. FC Köln52128:10-27
11VfB Stuttgart52038:9-16
12Hamburger SV52035:15-106
13FC Schalke 0451224:6-25
14Eintracht Frankfurt51229:16-75
15SC Paderborn 0751133:7-44
16Union Berlin51135:17-124
171899 Hoffenheim51049:13-43
18Borussia Mönchengladbach50057:18-110

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.84X20%4.73260%1.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:311 4.84X 4.732 1.58
14.78 → 4.84 +1.3%X4.51 → 4.73 +4.9%21.58 → 1.58 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.323.534.1%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
Betano1.343.304.9%
BetVictor1.293.605.3%
Betfair1.293.506.1%
1xBet1.263.408.8%
Marathonbet1.263.408.8%
Best of all books1.343.602.4%
Average1.303.456.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.392.876.8%
Betfair1.333.107.4%
1xBet1.352.987.6%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
William Hill1.362.908.0%
Marathonbet1.352.938.2%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
Best of all books1.403.103.7%
Average1.362.937.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Paderborn 07 10%Draw 45%VfB Stuttgart 45%

The statistical model rated SC Paderborn 07 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and VfB Stuttgart at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.84 | 4.73 | 1.58, which imply roughly 21.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: SC Paderborn 07 are 15th (4 pts, 3-7 goals), VfB Stuttgart 11th (6 pts, 8-9).

Over their last five matches, SC Paderborn 07 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; VfB Stuttgart averaged 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2

Coach: R. Kettemann

Goalkeeper

  • 15N. Noll

Defence

  • 21J. ter Horst
  • 25T. Scheller
  • 22M. Hansen

Midfield

  • 17L. Curda
  • 28L. Ulrich
  • 5S. Castañeda
  • 40G. Vidović
  • 23R. Obermair

Attack

  • 18M. Pieringer
  • 30S. Marino
Substitutes (9)
  • 6T. Baack
  • 7O. Batista Meier
  • 20F. Götze
  • 11S. Michel
  • 2Ruben Müller
  • 9R. Philippe
  • 1M. Schubert
  • 3Jonah Benedict Sticker
  • 27S. Tigges

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Goalkeeper

  • 41D. Seimen

Defence

  • 4J. Vagnoman
  • 24J. Chabot
  • 3R. Hendriks
  • 7M. Mittelstädt

Midfield

  • 16A. Karazor
  • 6A. Stiller
  • 18J. Leweling
  • 26D. Undav
  • 10C. Führich

Attack

  • 9E. Demirović
Substitutes (9)
  • 17D. Pejčinović
  • 21G. Prömel
  • 44L. Sauer
  • 47Y. Spalt
  • 20L. Stergiou
  • 29Finn Jeltsch
  • 11B. El Khannouss
  • 1F. Bredlow
  • 22L. Assignon

Match Statistics

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
1.91Expected Goals2.45
397Passes accurate357
15Shots insidebox16
8Shots outsidebox2
8Blocked Shots5
11Free Kicks10
5Shots on Goal8
5Goalkeeper Saves3
10Shots off Goal5
1Offsides1
489Total passes457
23Total Shots18
1Yellow Cards0
7Corner Kicks5
10Fouls11
0Red Cards0
51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.844.731.58

Double chance

1XX212
2.361.181.17

Draw no bet

12
3.691.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.362.93

1st half

1X2
4.512.751.99

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5730.51.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0122.3
1.51.067.88
2.51.303.45
3.51.782.06
4.52.671.45
5.54.581.18
6.58.701.07
7.515.41.02
8.524.81.01
9.551.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0121.0
1.751.047.17
21.056.65
2.251.154.41
2.751.343.11
31.422.78
3.251.592.36
3.751.931.85
42.211.65
4.252.381.53
4.753.031.33
53.841.19
5.254.141.16
67.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.401.57
+0.752.161.70
+11.931.91
+1.251.722.15
+1.51.582.39
+1.751.422.72
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.631.04
-18.801.01
-0.755.871.10
-0.54.501.19
-0.254.061.20
03.711.25
+0.252.821.40
+21.283.43
+2.251.233.65
+2.51.203.97
+2.751.135.01
+31.066.83
+3.51.047.67

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.3
1.51.145.20
2.51.372.97
3.51.841.89
4.52.731.42
5.53.951.22
6.56.001.11
7.58.501.05
8.511.01.02
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.502.56
42.341.59

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0114.0
4.51.0211.3
5.51.048.35
6.51.105.17
7.51.223.53
8.51.442.56
9.51.761.98
10.52.231.59
11.52.881.34
12.53.871.18
13.55.321.10
14.56.801.05
15.57.361.05
16.511.51.02
17.513.01.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.22
7.751.203.32
81.252.97
8.251.322.80
8.751.452.38
91.562.26
9.251.642.07
9.751.881.86
102.001.80
10.252.101.62
10.752.381.44
112.531.44
11.252.791.32
123.201.21
134.221.11
145.391.05
154.821.08