OddsFilter
Live

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg• Bundesliga, Germany

#161.0:4.31-0FT10/10 · An der Alten Försterei, Berlin2.0:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.521XBX3.65BTN22.921XBMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets96Rating25 · 76Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.523.642.921.4%
Pinnacle2.513.572.872.7%
Dafabet2.483.602.803.8%
Marathonbet2.453.542.844.3%
Betfair2.453.602.804.3%
Bet3652.453.502.805.1%
Betano2.373.652.805.3%
BetVictor2.383.602.756.2%
William Hill2.383.402.708.5%
SBO2.383.352.6110.2%
Best of all books2.523.652.921.3%
Average2.443.552.795.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Union BerlinSV Elversberg
Last 10#16Table position#90.80Points per game1.406Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 52.04.3Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6729Defence rating7113Form rating880H2H rating023Goals model7725Overall rating76

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:41 UTC

Union Berlin

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:27 · per match 1.7 for, 2.7 against

10 OctHSV Elversberg1-0W
26 SepAHNK Rijeka1-0W
18 SepABayern München0-7L
11 SepHFC Schalke 041-3L
5 SepABayer Leverkusen0-4L
29 AugHEintracht Frankfurt3-3D
23 AugAEintracht Braunschweig4-2W
15 AugHIpswich2-4L
9 AugHAris3-2W
2 AugHCagliari2-2D

SV Elversberg

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against

10 OctAUnion Berlin0-1L
24 SepAWaldhof Mannheim1-2L
20 SepAFC Schalke 040-0D
13 SepHBayern München1-2L
5 SepABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3W
29 AugHBayer Leverkusen3-2W
22 AugAMSV Duisburg3-1W
15 AugHLorient4-1W
8 AugAMallorca1-1D
4 AugAStrasbourg5-2W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Union Berlin and SV Elversberg on record.

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Union Berlin sit 16th with 4 points from 5 games, while SV Elversberg are 9th with 7 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Freiburg541014:4+1013
2Borussia Dortmund541011:4+713
3Bayern München532016:4+1211
4Bayer Leverkusen531114:8+610
5RB Leipzig530215:5+109
6FC Augsburg522113:8+58
7Werder Bremen522110:1008
8FSV Mainz 05521213:10+37
9SV Elversberg52128:807
101. FC Köln52128:10-27
11VfB Stuttgart52038:9-16
12Hamburger SV52035:15-106
13FC Schalke 0451224:6-25
14Eintracht Frankfurt51229:16-75
15SC Paderborn 0751133:7-44
16Union Berlin51135:17-124
171899 Hoffenheim51049:13-43
18Borussia Mönchengladbach50057:18-110

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.44X27%3.55234%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:311 2.44X 3.552 2.79
12.26 → 2.44 +8.0%X3.70 → 3.55 -4.1%22.85 → 2.79 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.682.381.5%
Pinnacle1.672.313.2%
Betano1.622.373.9%
SBO1.602.384.5%
Bet3651.572.385.7%
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Marathonbet1.572.228.7%
BetVictor1.592.179.0%
Best of all books1.682.381.5%
Average1.612.315.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
William Hill1.502.506.7%
Betano1.472.557.2%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
1xBet1.482.507.6%
Marathonbet1.482.468.2%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.482.517.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Union Berlin 0%Draw 50%SV Elversberg 50%

The statistical model rated Union Berlin at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and SV Elversberg at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.44 | 3.55 | 2.79, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Union Berlin are 16th (4 pts, 5-17 goals), SV Elversberg 9th (7 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Union Berlin averaged 1 goals scored and 4.3 conceded per game; SV Elversberg averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : SV Elversberg and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Union Berlin

4-1-4-1

Coach: M. Lustrinelli

Goalkeeper

  • 1F. Rønnow

Defence

  • 19J. Haberer
  • 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  • 2F. Uduokhai
  • 15T. Rothe

Midfield

  • 8R. Khedira
  • 13A. Schäfer
  • 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  • 30K. Imeri
  • 20M. Aebischer

Attack

  • 21T. Skarke
Substitutes (9)
  • 9Livan Burcu
  • 7O. Burke
  • 6A. Kemlein
  • 17D. Köhn
  • 27M. Ljubičić
  • 14L. Querfeld
  • 31M. Raab
  • 28C. Trimmel
  • 32M. Gray

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1

Coach: V. Wagner

Goalkeeper

  • 20N. Kristof

Defence

  • 26L. Sirch
  • 19L. Pinckert
  • 31M. Rohr
  • 21L. Günther

Midfield

  • 43F. Keidel
  • 8Ł. Poręba
  • 25L. Petkov
  • 10Noah Darvich
  • 29T. Zimmerschied

Attack

  • 9N. Futkeu
Substitutes (9)
  • 6A. Condé
  • 7M. Krattenmacher
  • 3F. Le Joncour
  • 2N. Mickelson
  • 42D. Mokwa
  • 17F. Schmahl
  • 24L. Schnellbacher
  • 39William Cole Campbell
  • 28T. Boss

Match Statistics

Union BerlinSV Elversberg
1.59Expected Goals0.28
254Passes accurate368
13Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox1
6Blocked Shots0
9Free Kicks13
7Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
6Shots off Goal5
3Offsides7
325Total passes450
19Total Shots7
2Yellow Cards1
7Corner Kicks3
14Fouls9
0Red Cards0
43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.443.552.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.421.561.28

Draw no bet

12
1.752.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.482.51

1st half

1X2
2.852.333.22

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8617.12.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.1
1.51.174.71
2.51.612.31
3.52.481.54
4.54.411.20
5.58.321.06
6.515.81.02
7.524.81.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.5
1.251.076.63
1.751.203.84
21.253.54
2.251.452.72
2.751.752.04
31.971.82
3.252.251.66
3.752.871.39
43.591.26
4.253.621.25
4.755.141.11
56.951.05
5.257.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.801.41
-0.52.391.58
-0.252.101.75
01.792.06
+0.251.572.38
+0.51.452.74
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.02
-2.58.971.02
-27.901.02
-1.755.591.11
-1.54.391.17
-1.254.071.21
-13.641.26
+0.751.313.32
+11.194.52
+1.251.154.80
+1.51.135.31
+1.751.077.08
+21.0210.2
+2.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.5
1.51.125.50
2.51.353.05
3.51.712.09
4.52.341.57
5.53.651.26
6.55.501.13
7.57.901.06
8.510.51.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.382.95
42.041.79
53.451.29

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0310.3
5.51.047.15
6.51.124.89
7.51.253.34
8.51.482.47
9.51.841.90
10.52.321.55
11.53.071.30
12.54.151.17
13.55.651.08
14.57.051.05
15.57.531.07
16.58.801.04
17.514.01.01
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.47
71.114.22
7.751.223.19
81.252.98
8.251.352.72
8.751.482.31
91.562.27
9.251.682.02
9.751.881.78
102.011.77
10.252.151.59
10.752.441.42
112.481.41
11.252.851.31
123.171.22
134.221.11
145.371.05
154.871.07
164.971.07