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FC Augsburg vs Bayern München• Bundesliga, Germany

#62.8:1.52-2FT10/10 · WWK Arena, Augsburg3.5:0.5#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

113.51XBX9.051XB21.201XBMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets116Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet13.59.051.201.8%
Betano13.08.751.202.5%
Dafabet12.09.001.193.5%
Marathonbet13.38.901.183.5%
Bet36512.09.001.174.9%
Pinnacle12.68.681.174.9%
Betfair13.09.001.155.8%
BetVictor13.09.001.146.5%
William Hill11.07.501.187.2%
SBO9.647.621.179.0%
Best of all books13.59.051.201.8%
Average12.38.651.184.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC AugsburgBayern München
Last 10#6Table position#31.60Points per game2.206Form pts · last 5112.8Goals for · last 53.51.5Goals against · last 50.544Attack rating5625Defence rating7541Form rating5920H2H rating8043Goals model5735Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:41 UTC

FC Augsburg

5W 3D 2L · goals 35:16 · per match 3.5 for, 1.6 against

10 OctHBayern München2-2D
2 OctHHertha BSC2-2D
19 SepAWerder Bremen2-3L
12 SepHBayer Leverkusen2-2D
6 SepAEintracht Frankfurt4-1W
30 AugHFC Schalke 043-0W
22 AugAEnergie Cottbus2-0W
15 AugALeeds0-4L
8 AugHSassuolo3-2W
5 AugASchwaz15-0W

Bayern München

7W 3D 0L · goals 34:11 · per match 3.4 for, 1.1 against

13 OctAViking3-3D
10 OctAFC Augsburg2-2D
18 SepHUnion Berlin7-0W
13 SepASV Elversberg2-1W
10 SepHBodo/Glimt5-0W
5 SepAFC Schalke 040-0D
2 SepAVfL Osnabrück4-1W
28 AugHVfB Stuttgart5-1W
22 AugABorussia Dortmund2-1W
18 AugA1. FC Heidenheim4-2W

Head to head

5FC Augsburg wins
2draws
27Bayern München wins

34 meetings · goals 32:86 · last 10: 2W 0D 8L for FC Augsburg

24 Jan 2026BundesligaBundesligaBayern München1-2FC Augsburg
30 Aug 2025BundesligaBundesligaFC Augsburg2-3Bayern München
4 Apr 2025BundesligaBundesligaFC Augsburg1-3Bayern München
22 Nov 2024BundesligaBundesligaBayern München3-0FC Augsburg
27 Jan 2024BundesligaBundesligaFC Augsburg2-3Bayern Munich
27 Aug 2023BundesligaBundesligaBayern Munich3-1FC Augsburg
11 Mar 2023BundesligaBundesligaBayern Munich5-3FC Augsburg
19 Oct 2022DFB PokalDFB PokalFC Augsburg2-5Bayern Munich
17 Sep 2022BundesligaBundesligaFC Augsburg1-0Bayern Munich
9 Apr 2022BundesligaBundesligaBayern Munich1-0FC Augsburg

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, FC Augsburg sit 6th with 8 points from 5 games, while Bayern München are 3rd with 11 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Freiburg541014:4+1013
2Borussia Dortmund541011:4+713
3Bayern München532016:4+1211
4Bayer Leverkusen531114:8+610
5RB Leipzig530215:5+109
6FC Augsburg522113:8+58
7Werder Bremen522110:1008
8FSV Mainz 05521213:10+37
9SV Elversberg52128:807
101. FC Köln52128:10-27
11VfB Stuttgart52038:9-16
12Hamburger SV52035:15-106
13FC Schalke 0451224:6-25
14Eintracht Frankfurt51229:16-75
15SC Paderborn 0751133:7-44
16Union Berlin51135:17-124
171899 Hoffenheim51049:13-43
18Borussia Mönchengladbach50057:18-110

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg18%12.3X11%8.65281%1.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:311 12.3X 8.652 1.17
110.6 → 12.3 +16.5%X7.86 → 8.65 +10.1%21.19 → 1.17 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.155.604.8%
BetVictor1.116.505.5%
Bet3651.126.006.0%
Betfair1.106.506.3%
1xBet1.095.509.9%
Marathonbet1.095.509.9%
Best of all books1.156.502.3%
Average1.115.936.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.442.755.8%
Betano1.442.676.9%
Betfair1.402.807.1%
1xBet1.422.697.6%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Marathonbet1.422.658.2%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Best of all books1.442.805.2%
Average1.422.707.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Augsburg 10%Draw 45%Bayern München 45%

The statistical model rated FC Augsburg at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bayern München at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 12.30 | 8.65 | 1.17, which imply roughly 11.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: FC Augsburg are 6th (8 pts, 13-8 goals), Bayern München 3rd (11 pts, 16-4).

Over their last five matches, FC Augsburg averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Bayern München averaged 3.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bayern München.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

FC Augsburg

Coach: M. Baum

Goalkeeper

  • 1F. Dahmen

Defence

  • 35Abdulay Bah
  • 5C. Matsima
  • 2C. Brackelmann
  • 7Seol Young-Woo

Midfield

  • 4H. Massengo
  • 19R. Fellhauer
  • 16Hennes Behrens

Attack

  • 32F. Rieder
  • 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
  • 21A. Ibrahimović
Substitutes (9)
  • 6J. Gouweleeuw
  • 11M. Gregoritsch
  • 30A. Kade
  • 14Y. Keitel
  • 10M. Kömür
  • 22N. Labrović
  • 39U. Ogundu
  • 37T. Schnitzer
  • 8K. Suso

Bayern München

Coach: V. Kompany

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Neuer

Defence

  • 19A. Davies
  • 44J. Stanišić
  • 2D. Upamecano
  • 4J. Tah

Midfield

  • 6J. Kimmich
  • 17M. Olise
  • 45A. Pavlović
  • 34I. Saibari

Attack

  • 14L. Díaz
  • 9H. Kane
Substitutes (9)
  • 23S. Boey
  • 11N. Brown
  • 7S. Gnabry
  • 21H. Ito
  • 42L. Karl
  • 3Kim Min-Jae
  • 39Bara Ndiaye
  • 40J. Urbig
  • 8T. Bischof

Match Statistics

FC AugsburgBayern München
2.45Expected Goals5.08
215Passes accurate582
10Shots insidebox16
2Shots outsidebox13
3Blocked Shots8
6Free Kicks10
5Shots on Goal10
8Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal11
1Offsides4
286Total passes648
12Total Shots29
3Yellow Cards0
5Corner Kicks9
10Fouls6
0Red Cards0
30%Ball Possession70%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
12.38.651.17

Double chance

1XX212
4.911.041.07

Draw no bet

12
9.401.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.422.70

1st half

1X2
7.943.681.44

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.4034.01.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–37.5
1.51.0314.2
2.51.115.93
3.51.353.06
4.51.851.98
5.52.661.46
6.54.351.19
7.57.331.09
8.511.91.03
9.519.71.01
10.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.0111.5
2.751.125.17
31.144.80
3.251.253.56
3.751.422.75
41.512.52
4.251.692.19
4.752.021.78
52.261.62
5.252.461.50
5.753.131.31
63.841.21
6.254.141.17
77.001.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+1.752.511.50
+22.281.62
+2.252.021.81
+2.51.822.00
+2.751.652.20
+31.502.51
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
07.231.06
+0.256.471.09
+0.54.801.18
+0.754.121.20
+14.181.20
+1.253.271.31
+1.52.741.43
+3.251.402.74
+3.51.343.00
+3.751.243.51
+41.164.40
+4.251.144.73
+4.51.125.08
+51.018.40

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.90
1.51.273.63
2.51.811.96
3.52.781.42
4.54.001.22
5.56.301.10
6.59.251.04
7.511.81.02
8.514.01.01
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.412.87
32.471.53

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0112.0
5.51.057.49
6.51.066.55
7.51.134.62
8.51.263.24
9.51.492.43
10.51.821.94
11.52.251.59
12.52.951.33
13.53.921.18
14.55.271.10
15.56.681.06
16.57.601.05
17.512.01.02
18.513.51.01
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.29
71.065.27
81.133.95
8.751.223.19
91.282.83
9.251.342.76
9.751.452.38
101.552.26
10.251.672.13
10.751.821.84
111.951.81
11.252.051.65
11.752.281.48
122.491.46
12.252.651.37
133.151.22
144.121.12
155.221.06
165.121.06