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1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV• Bundesliga, Germany

#171.8:2.52-3FT10/10 · Prezero Arena, Sinsheim0.5:3.3#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.491XBX5.40DAF27.08PINMargin5.4%Books10Markets104Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.494.986.981.5%
Betano1.475.306.602.0%
Pinnacle1.435.307.082.9%
Dafabet1.435.406.603.6%
Marathonbet1.454.856.804.3%
Betfair1.405.007.005.7%
Bet3651.404.757.006.8%
BetVictor1.405.006.506.8%
William Hill1.404.606.009.8%
SBO1.364.846.2810.1%
Best of all books1.495.407.08-0.2%
Average1.425.006.685.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
Last 10#17Table position#120.60Points per game1.203Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 50.52.5Goals against · last 53.378Attack rating2257Defence rating4350Form rating5060H2H rating40100Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 14:20 UTC

1899 Hoffenheim

2W 1D 7L · goals 17:23 · per match 1.7 for, 2.3 against

15 OctHBeşiktaş2-3L
10 OctHHamburger SV2-3L
20 SepASC Paderborn 071-3L
17 SepAOFI0-2L
12 SepHVfB Stuttgart2-1W
5 SepHBorussia Dortmund2-3L
29 AugA1. FC Köln2-3L
22 AugAErzgebirge Aue4-0W
16 AugATottenham2-2D
15 AugATottenham0-3L

Hamburger SV

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

10 OctA1899 Hoffenheim3-2W
4 OctHFC Copenhagen2-0W
19 SepH1. FC Köln2-1W
13 SepARB Leipzig0-5L
6 SepHFSV Mainz 050-5L
29 AugABorussia Dortmund0-2L
24 AugAVerl3-0W
15 AugAToulouse2-1W
8 AugHLille2-2D
1 AugHEverton1-2L

Head to head

81899 Hoffenheim wins
3draws
7Hamburger SV wins

18 meetings · goals 32:23 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for 1899 Hoffenheim

25 Apr 2026BundesligaBundesligaHamburger SV1-21899 Hoffenheim
13 Dec 2025BundesligaBundesliga1899 Hoffenheim4-1Hamburger SV
14 Apr 2018BundesligaBundesliga1899 Hoffenheim2-0Hamburger SV
26 Nov 2017BundesligaBundesligaHamburger SV3-01899 Hoffenheim
8 Apr 2017BundesligaBundesligaHamburger SV2-11899 Hoffenheim
20 Nov 2016BundesligaBundesliga1899 Hoffenheim2-2Hamburger SV
19 Mar 2016BundesligaBundesligaHamburger SV1-31899 Hoffenheim
23 Oct 2015BundesligaBundesliga1899 Hoffenheim0-1Hamburger SV
14 Mar 2015BundesligaBundesliga1899 Hoffenheim3-0Hamburger SV
19 Oct 2014BundesligaBundesligaHamburger SV1-11899 Hoffenheim

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 16 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, 1899 Hoffenheim sit 17th with 3 points from 5 games, while Hamburger SV are 12th with 6 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1SC Freiburg541014:4+1013
2Borussia Dortmund541011:4+713
3Bayern München532016:4+1211
4Bayer Leverkusen531114:8+610
5RB Leipzig530215:5+109
6FC Augsburg522113:8+58
7Werder Bremen522110:1008
8FSV Mainz 05521213:10+37
9SV Elversberg52128:807
101. FC Köln52128:10-27
11VfB Stuttgart52038:9-16
12Hamburger SV52035:15-106
13FC Schalke 0451224:6-25
14Eintracht Frankfurt51229:16-75
15SC Paderborn 0751133:7-44
16Union Berlin51135:17-124
171899 Hoffenheim51049:13-43
18Borussia Mönchengladbach50057:18-110

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.42X19%5.00214%6.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 12:311 1.42X 5.002 6.68
11.42 → 1.42 0.0%X4.82 → 5.00 +3.7%26.45 → 6.68 +3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.442.923.7%
Pinnacle1.403.024.5%
Bet3651.403.004.8%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
1xBet1.392.728.7%
Marathonbet1.392.728.7%
BetVictor1.392.709.0%
Best of all books1.443.101.7%
Average1.402.886.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.552.406.2%
Betfair1.502.506.7%
Betano1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.562.307.6%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.562.278.2%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.572.503.7%
Average1.552.337.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

1899 Hoffenheim 45%Draw 45%Hamburger SV 10%

The statistical model rated 1899 Hoffenheim at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hamburger SV at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.68, which imply roughly 70.4% for a 1899 Hoffenheim win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: 1899 Hoffenheim are 17th (3 pts, 9-13 goals), Hamburger SV 12th (6 pts, 5-15).

Over their last five matches, 1899 Hoffenheim averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; Hamburger SV averaged 0.5 scored and 3.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : 1899 Hoffenheim.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Ilzer

Goalkeeper

  • 1O. Baumann

Defence

  • 34V. Coufal
  • 5O. Kabak
  • 28K. Machida
  • 13Bernardo

Midfield

  • 7L. Avdullahu
  • 18W. Burger
  • 20B. Conté
  • 11F. Asllani
  • 14A. Daghim

Attack

  • 19T. Lemperle
Substitutes (9)
  • 17Nathan De Cat
  • 15V. Gendrey
  • 10A. Hložek
  • 2R. Hranáč
  • 27A. Kramarić
  • 9Max Moerstedt
  • 37L. Philipp
  • 22A. Prass
  • 39M. Rots

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Polzin

Goalkeeper

  • 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Defence

  • 17W. Omari
  • 33S. Bornauw
  • 37L. Lemke

Midfield

  • 24N. Capaldo
  • 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  • 21N. Remberg
  • 3D. Møller Wolfe
  • 20Fábio Vieira
  • 5M. Adeline

Attack

  • 15Y. Poulsen
Substitutes (9)
  • 10I. Pherai
  • 38Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
  • 19Otto Emerson Stange
  • 12S. Tangvik
  • 23J. Torunarigha
  • 43S. Nandja
  • 28M. Muheim
  • 9T. Moffi
  • 22Kofi Jeremy Amoako

Match Statistics

1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
1.09Expected Goals1.15
445Passes accurate213
10Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox5
8Blocked Shots4
13Free Kicks11
4Shots on Goal4
1Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal7
3Offsides2
543Total passes306
1Red Cards0
17Total Shots15
1Yellow Cards0
7Corner Kicks3
11Fouls15
64%Ball Possession36%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.425.006.68

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.821.16

Draw no bet

12
1.155.06

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.552.33

1st half

1X2
1.832.725.62

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4022.03.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0219.0
1.51.106.13
2.51.402.88
3.52.011.82
4.53.211.33
5.55.681.12
6.510.41.05
7.518.81.01
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0218.0
1.751.115.06
21.134.65
2.251.273.32
2.751.482.53
31.592.31
3.251.822.01
3.752.271.64
42.661.45
4.252.881.37
4.753.641.21
54.751.12
5.255.001.10
68.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.811.42
-1.752.351.61
-1.52.091.76
-1.251.841.96
-11.612.29
-0.751.482.56
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-411.01.01
-3.55.871.08
-3.255.671.10
-35.451.11
-2.754.041.20
-2.53.311.29
-2.253.111.34
-0.51.402.92
-0.251.263.57
01.135.15
+0.251.125.40
+0.51.107.00
+1.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.068.00
2.51.184.55
3.51.422.72
4.51.871.89
5.52.691.45
6.53.501.28
7.55.101.15
8.57.201.07
9.59.501.04
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.672.19
52.551.51

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0112.5
5.51.049.50
6.51.056.53
7.51.144.49
8.51.273.15
9.51.502.40
10.51.871.91
11.52.311.54
12.53.011.31
13.54.021.18
14.55.371.09
15.55.731.11
16.57.171.06
17.511.51.02
18.513.01.01
18 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.055.30
81.143.87
8.751.272.89
91.292.78
9.251.402.54
9.751.562.21
101.722.09
10.251.781.97
10.751.881.76
112.041.71
11.252.191.53
11.752.501.40
122.521.40
12.252.911.30
133.201.21
144.191.11
155.301.06
164.451.10