Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen• Bundesliga, Germany

#12.3:0.52-2FTToday · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund2.0:2.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40BTNX5.941XB28.401XBMargin at best0.2%Books10Markets105Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.37	5.94	8.40	1.7%
Betano	1.40	5.60	7.80	2.1%
Marathonbet	1.35	5.85	8.30	3.2%
Pinnacle	1.37	5.64	7.89	3.4%
Dafabet	1.36	5.80	7.40	4.3%
Bet365	1.33	5.50	8.00	5.9%
Betfair	1.33	5.50	8.00	5.9%
BetVictor	1.33	5.50	8.00	5.9%
SBO	1.36	5.32	6.66	7.3%
William Hill	1.33	5.00	7.00	9.5%
Best of all books	1.40	5.94	8.40	0.2%
Average	1.35	5.56	7.75	4.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen

Last 10#1Table position#83.00Points per game1.7515Form pts · last 572.3Goals for · last 52.00.5Goals against · last 52.053Attack rating4780Defence rating2063Form rating3785H2H rating15100Goals model071Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:02 UTC

Borussia Dortmund

8W 1D 1L · goals 24:10 · per match 2.4 for, 1.0 against

19 Sep	A	VfB Stuttgart	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	SC Paderborn 07	3-0	W
8 Sep	H	Villarreal	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	1899 Hoffenheim	3-2	W
1 Sep	A	HEBC	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	Hamburger SV	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Bayern München	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	AS Roma	2-2	D
9 Aug	A	Arsenal	3-2	W
1 Aug	A	FC Tokyo	1-0	W

Werder Bremen

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

2 Oct	A	Twente	0-7	L
19 Sep	H	FC Augsburg	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	1. FC Köln	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	RB Leipzig	3-1	W
30 Aug	A	SC Freiburg	1-4	L
22 Aug	A	Lüneburger SK Hansa	3-0	W
15 Aug	H	Auxerre	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	SC Paderborn 07	2-2	D
1 Aug	A	Energie Cottbus	4-2	W
25 Jul	H	VfL Bochum	2-0	W

Head to head

21Borussia Dortmund wins

6draws

5Werder Bremen wins

32 meetings · goals 70:38 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Borussia Dortmund

16 May 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen0-2Borussia Dortmund
13 Jan 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund3-0Werder Bremen
25 Jan 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund2-2Werder Bremen
31 Aug 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen0-0Borussia Dortmund
9 Mar 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen1-2Borussia Dortmund
20 Oct 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund1-0Werder Bremen
11 Feb 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen0-2Borussia Dortmund
20 Aug 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund2-3Werder Bremen
18 Apr 2021Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund4-1Werder Bremen
15 Dec 2020Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen1-2Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Borussia Dortmund sit 1st with 12 points from 4 games, while Werder Bremen are 8th with 7 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9:2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14:2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12:3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10:5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10:6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8:7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9:5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3:4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2:13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4:17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.36X18%5.28212%7.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.37 → 1.35 -1.5%X5.29 → 5.57 +5.3%27.03 → 7.75 +10.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.36	3.24	4.4%
Bet365	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Betano	1.40	2.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
1xBet	1.35	2.98	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.98	7.6%
BetVictor	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.40	3.24	2.3%
Average	1.36	3.04	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.22	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.30	3.4%
Average	1.61	2.22	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Borussia Dortmund 45%Draw 45%Werder Bremen 10%

The statistical model rated Borussia Dortmund at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Werder Bremen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 5.28 | 7.90, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Borussia Dortmund win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts, 9-2 goals), Werder Bremen 8th (7 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Werder Bremen averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-2-1

Coach: N. Kovač

Goalkeeper

1G. Kobel

Defence

22Kouakou Joane Gadou
3W. Anton
4N. Schlotterbeck

Midfield

20M. Sabitzer
7J. Bellingham
8F. Nmecha
24D. Svensson
18E. Nwaneri
14M. Beier

Attack

9S. Guirassy

Substitutes (9)

5R. Bensebaïni
40S. Inacio
19K. Karetsas
41M. Albert
33A. Meyer
36Kauã Prates
49L. Reggiani
21Fábio Silva
25J. Veerman

Werder Bremen

4-3-3

Coach: D. Thioune

Goalkeeper

1K. Hein

Defence

13Arthur
5A. Pieper
32M. Friedl
2O. Deman

Midfield

15L. Reis
44Y. Regeer
20Chuky San José

Attack

18E. Dinkçi
10N. Füllkrug
17M. Grüll

Substitutes (9)

38P. Erevbenagie
26C. Itten
30A. Schlager
33Mick Schmetgens
23Dariusz Stalmach
4N. Stark
8M. Weiser
3O. Wójcik
34K. Soylu

Match Statistics

Borussia DortmundWerder Bremen

2.5Expected Goals1.19

676Passes accurate219

11Shots insidebox6

10Shots outsidebox5

3Blocked Shots3

9Free Kicks10

9Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves7

9Shots off Goal4

1Offsides4

753Total passes297

21Total Shots11

2Yellow Cards1

9Corner Kicks3

10Fouls10

0Red Cards0

72%Ball Possession28%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.35	5.57	7.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	3.24	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	6.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
1.72	2.85	6.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	25.0	3.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.09	6.45
2.5	1.36	3.04
3.5	1.94	1.89
4.5	3.07	1.36
5.5	5.48	1.13
6.5	9.81	1.05
7.5	17.3	1.02
8.5	34.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	19.0
1.75	1.10	5.71
2	1.11	5.30
2.25	1.26	3.57
2.75	1.44	2.72
3	1.54	2.46
3.25	1.76	2.10
3.75	2.17	1.69
4	2.51	1.51
4.25	2.78	1.42
4.75	3.54	1.25
5	4.50	1.16
5.25	4.73	1.13
6	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.78	1.43
-2	2.47	1.54
-1.75	2.14	1.73
-1.5	1.91	1.92
-1.25	1.69	2.16
-1	1.48	2.62

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.90	1.01
-4	8.40	1.01
-3.5	5.23	1.13
-3.25	4.81	1.15
-3	4.47	1.16
-2.75	3.48	1.28
-2.5	3.02	1.36
-0.75	1.39	2.92
-0.5	1.32	3.30
-0.25	1.20	4.14
0	1.10	6.10
+0.25	1.10	7.00
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+0.75	1.02	8.70
+1.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.14	5.10
2.5	1.42	2.75
3.5	1.92	1.82
4.5	2.99	1.38
5.5	4.05	1.21
6.5	6.10	1.10
7.5	8.75	1.05
8.5	11.3	1.02

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.68	2.16
4	2.82	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.03	10.3
5.5	1.04	7.17
6.5	1.12	4.87
7.5	1.25	3.31
8.5	1.49	2.44
9.5	1.87	1.89
10.5	2.32	1.54
11.5	3.06	1.31
12.5	4.12	1.17
13.5	5.60	1.08
14.5	7.08	1.05
15.5	10.5	1.03
16.5	12.0	1.01
17.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.60
7	1.12	4.05
7.75	1.20	3.24
8	1.27	2.85
8.25	1.34	2.76
8.75	1.48	2.39
9	1.62	2.20
9.25	1.68	2.12
9.75	1.85	1.81
10	2.07	1.70
10.25	2.07	1.60
10.75	2.39	1.45
11	2.60	1.38
11.25	2.77	1.34
12	3.35	1.19
13	4.42	1.10
14	5.57	1.04