Thionville Lusitanos4th12 pts
La Roche VF2nd15 pts
Thionville Lusitanos4th12 pts
La Roche VF2nd15 ptsIn the Ligue 3 table, Thionville Lusitanos sit 4th with 12 points from 7 games, while La Roche VF are 2nd with 15 points from 7 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Thionville Lusitanos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and La Roche VF at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.56 | 3.16 | 2.51, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Thionville Lusitanos are 4th (12 pts, 13-11 goals), La Roche VF 2nd (15 pts, 10-6).
Over their last five matches, Thionville Lusitanos averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; La Roche VF averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or La Roche VF.
Thionville Lusitanos vs La Roche VF — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rouen | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  La Roche VF | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 3 |  Concarneau | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Caen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Amiens | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Cannes | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Versailles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Le Puy Foot | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bastia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Gobelins | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Quevilly | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fleury 91 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aubagne | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Villefranche | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.56
X
3.16
2
2.51
Double chance
1X
1.44
X2
1.41
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.66
No
2.03
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.26
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
2.88
Over 2
1.42
Under 2
2.58
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.08
Over 2.5
1.88
Under 2.5
1.83
Over 2.75
2.12
Under 2.75
1.63
Over 3.5
3.06
Under 3.5
1.30
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
7.57
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
7.80
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.30
Over 1.25
1.14
Under 1.25
4.33
Over 3
2.51
Under 3
1.44
Over 4.5
5.51
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 3.25
2.78
Under 3.25
1.34
Over 3.75
3.76
Under 3.75
1.19
Over 4
5.05
Under 4
1.10
Over 4.25
5.40
Under 4.25
1.09
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.82
2
1.80
Asian handicap
Home 2.5
1.01
1st half
1
3.21
X
2.10
2
3.08
First team to score
Home
2.03
No Goal
8.30
Away
2.00