Caen5th12 pts
Rouen1st17 pts
Caen5th12 pts
Rouen1st17 ptsIn the Ligue 3 table, Caen sit 5th with 12 points from 7 games, while Rouen are 1st with 17 points from 7 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Rouen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.54 | 3.12 | 2.53, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Caen are 5th (12 pts, 12-7 goals), Rouen 1st (17 pts, 13-2).
Over their last five matches, Caen averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Rouen averaged 2.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rouen and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Caen vs Rouen — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rouen | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  La Roche VF | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 3 |  Concarneau | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Caen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Amiens | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Cannes | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Versailles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Le Puy Foot | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bastia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Gobelins | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Quevilly | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fleury 91 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aubagne | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Villefranche | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.65
X
3.13
2
2.44
Double chance
1X
1.46
X2
1.39
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.59
No
2.15
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
3.66
Over 1.75
1.25
Under 1.75
3.28
Over 2
1.32
Under 2
2.88
Over 2.25
1.54
Under 2.25
2.30
Over 2.5
1.74
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 2.75
1.93
Under 2.75
1.76
Over 3.5
2.77
Under 3.5
1.36
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
8.40
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.98
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.70
Over 1.25
1.10
Under 1.25
5.00
Over 3
2.26
Under 3
1.54
Over 4.5
5.02
Under 4.5
1.12
Over 3.25
2.55
Under 3.25
1.43
Over 3.75
3.34
Under 3.75
1.24
Over 4
4.45
Under 4
1.14
Over 4.25
4.80
Under 4.25
1.12
Over 5
9.00
Over 5.5
8.65
Under 5.5
1.05
Draw no bet
1
1.87
2
1.75
Asian handicap
Home 2.5
1.01
1st half
1
3.21
X
2.16
2
2.99
First team to score
Home
1.99
No Goal
12.00
Away
1.89