Caen4th6 pts
Bastia12th3 pts
Caen4th6 pts
Bastia12th3 ptsIn the Ligue 3 table, Caen sit 4th with 6 points from 3 games, while Bastia are 12th with 3 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Caen at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bastia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 3.17 | 2.97, which imply roughly 45.2% for a Caen win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligue 3 table: Caen are 4th (6 pts, 8-4 goals), Bastia 12th (3 pts, 3-5).
Over their last five matches, Caen averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Bastia averaged 1 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Caen.
Caen vs Bastia — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 |  La Roche VF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Caen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Orleans | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Versailles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Gobelins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Concarneau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Cannes | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Villefranche | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Bastia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Valenciennes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Fleury 91 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Amiens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Quevilly | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 |  Aubagne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.24
X
3.18
2
2.92
Double chance
1X
1.33
X2
1.55
12
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
1.72
No
1.97
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.30
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.81
Over 3.5
3.19
Under 3.5
1.29
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
8.88
Over 4.5
6.24
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 7.5
21.00
Over 5.5
11.67
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
15.00
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.30
Under 1.75
2.97
Over 2
1.42
Under 2
2.58
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.09
Over 2.75
2.11
Under 2.75
1.64
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.70
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.10
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.60
Over 3
2.51
Under 3
1.44
Over 3.25
2.81
Under 3.25
1.33
Over 3.75
3.88
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 4
5.35
Under 4
1.09
Over 4.25
5.75
Under 4.25
1.07
Draw no bet
1
1.67
2
2.08
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.02
1st half
1
2.88
X
2.08
2
3.49
First team to score
Home
1.87
No Goal
9.25
Away
2.15