Elche II vs Valencia II• Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#100.6:1.64-1FTToday1.0:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10B365X3.45BTN22.33PINMargin at best4.2%Books9Markets42Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.95	3.35	2.26	8.0%
BetVictor	2.90	3.40	2.25	8.3%
Betano	3.00	3.30	2.22	8.7%
Pinnacle	3.00	3.18	2.25	9.2%
1xBet	2.91	3.20	2.22	10.7%
Betfair	2.80	3.30	2.20	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.84	3.20	2.20	11.9%
Bet365	2.88	3.25	2.15	12.0%
William Hill	2.90	3.00	2.25	12.3%
Best of all books	3.00	3.40	2.26	7.0%
Average	2.91	3.24	2.22	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Elche IIValencia II

Last 10#10Table position#151.17Points per game0.674Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6347Defence rating5350Form rating5080H2H rating20100Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Elche II

3W 1D 6L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

3 Oct	H	Ucam Murcia	1-5	L
27 Sep	A	Yeclano	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Peña Deportiva	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Cieza	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Lorca Deportiva	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	FC Cartagena	2-0	W
3 May	H	Quintanar del Rey	1-3	L
26 Apr	A	CD Coria	0-4	L
19 Apr	H	Rayo Majadahonda	0-1	L
12 Apr	A	Tenerife II	3-1	W

Valencia II

4W 1D 5L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

4 Oct	H	Peña Deportiva	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Poblense	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Castellón II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Ucam Murcia	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Mallorca II	1-1	D
3 May	A	Olot	0-2	L
26 Apr	H	Espanyol II	3-0	W
18 Apr	A	Castellón II	4-0	W
12 Apr	H	Sant Andreu	3-1	W
5 Apr	A	Andratx	3-5	L

Head to head

2Elche II wins

2draws

0Valencia II wins

4 meetings · goals 4:1 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Elche II

25 Jan 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Elche II2-0Valencia II
15 Sep 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 3	Valencia II0-1Elche II
12 Feb 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Valencia II0-0Elche II
12 Oct 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 6	Elche II1-1Valencia II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 tableGroup 3updated 10 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table, Elche II sit 10th with 7 points from 6 games, while Valencia II are 15th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Castellón II	5	4	0	1	12:5	+7	12
2	La Nucía	5	4	0	1	9:3	+6	12
3	Castellonense	5	4	0	1	8:3	+5	12
4	Alcoyano	5	3	1	1	6:4	+2	10
5	Ucam Murcia	5	3	0	2	12:6	+6	9
6	Intercity	5	2	3	0	7:5	+2	9
7	Cieza	5	2	2	1	7:3	+4	8
8	Deportiva Minera	5	2	2	1	5:4	+1	8
9	Yeclano	5	2	2	1	4:3	+1	8
10	Elche II	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
11	Orihuela	5	2	1	2	6:11	-5	7
12	Lorca Deportiva	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
13	Mallorca II	5	1	2	2	2:4	-2	5
14	Atlético Baleares	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5
15	Valencia II	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
16	Poblense	5	1	0	4	3:7	-4	3
17	Real Murcia II	5	1	0	4	4:11	-7	3
18	Peña Deportiva	5	0	1	4	3:8	-5	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.91X28%3.24241%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.23 → 2.91 -9.9%X3.45 → 3.27 -5.2%21.94 → 2.19 +12.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.92	5.6%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	2.00	3.5%
Average	1.81	1.91	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.12	7.1%
Average	1.65	2.09	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Elche II 45%Draw 45%Valencia II 10%

The statistical model rated Elche II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Valencia II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.91 | 3.24 | 2.22, which imply roughly 34.4% for a Elche II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 table: Elche II are 10th (7 pts, 7-9 goals), Valencia II 15th (4 pts, 6-11).

Over their last five matches, Elche II averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Valencia II averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Elche II or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.91	3.24	2.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.33	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.17	1.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
3.49	2.15	2.79

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.19	9.95	1.82

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.45
1.5	1.25	3.36
2.5	1.81	1.91
3.5	2.88	1.33
4.5	5.35	1.13
5.5	10.2	1.04

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.13	4.49
1.75	1.30	3.10
2	1.38	2.70
2.25	1.60	2.16
2.75	2.02	1.68
3	2.38	1.48
3.25	2.66	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	4.88	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.94	1.36
-0.25	2.48	1.45
0	2.12	1.63
+0.25	1.79	1.92
+0.5	1.63	2.18
+0.75	1.41	2.58

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.75	1.07
-1.25	5.18	1.10
-1	4.90	1.11
-0.75	3.42	1.23
+1	1.25	3.36
+1.25	1.19	3.78
+1.5	1.16	4.15
+1.75	1.15	4.20
+2	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.01	8.50