Llanera vs Marino de Luanco• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#151.0:2.02-1LiveToday1.2:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.32BTNX3.33PIN22.90BTNMargin at best7.6%Books9Markets39Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.27	3.45	2.85	8.1%
Betano	2.27	3.30	2.90	8.8%
Pinnacle	2.25	3.33	2.88	9.2%
1xBet	2.29	3.25	2.76	10.7%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	2.80	11.5%
William Hill	2.30	3.00	2.88	11.5%
Bet365	2.25	3.25	2.75	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.25	2.70	11.9%
BetVictor	2.10	2.90	2.63	20.1%
Best of all books	2.30	3.45	2.90	6.9%
Average	2.24	3.23	2.79	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LlaneraMarino de Luanco

Last 10#15Table position#110.80Points per game1.204Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.645Attack rating5544Defence rating5640Form rating6025H2H rating7548Goals model5239Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 17:10 UTC

Llanera

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Basconia	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Racing Santander II	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Gernika	0-4	L
13 Sep	H	Deportivo Alavés II	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1-2	L
18 Aug	A	Sporting Gijón II	2-2	D
14 Aug	A	Avilés Stadium	1-0	W
10 May	A	Avilés Stadium	2-1	W
3 May	H	Tuilla	4-0	W
25 Apr	H	Real Titánico	3-0	W

Marino de Luanco

4W 0D 6L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Gimnástica Torrelavega	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Basconia	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Atlético Astorga	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Ourense CF	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Compostela	3-0	W
11 Aug	H	Langreo	6-1	W
8 Aug	H	Ponferradina	0-3	L
1 Aug	A	Sporting Gijón II	0-1	L
29 Jul	H	Real Avilés	1-0	W
18 Jul	H	Sporting Gijon	1-2	L

Head to head

1Llanera wins

0draws

3Marino de Luanco wins

4 meetings · goals 4:8 · last 4: 1W 0D 3L for Llanera

27 Apr 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Llanera3-2Marino de Luanco
15 Dec 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Marino de Luanco3-1Llanera
17 Apr 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Llanera0-2Marino de Luanco
28 Nov 2021Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1	Marino de Luanco1-0Llanera

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Llanera sit 15th with 4 points from 5 games, while Marino de Luanco are 11th with 6 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	5	4	1	0	12:5	+7	13
2	Eibar II	6	4	1	1	11:4	+7	13
3	Deportivo Alavés II	5	4	0	1	12:6	+6	12
4	Sestao River	5	4	0	1	7:3	+4	12
5	Ourense CF	5	3	1	1	5:3	+2	10
6	Basconia	6	2	3	1	10:9	+1	9
7	Gernika	5	2	2	1	12:5	+7	8
8	Amorebieta	5	2	1	2	5:4	+1	7
9	Portugalete	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
10	Real Oviedo II	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
11	Marino de Luanco	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6
12	Coruxo	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
13	Compostela	5	1	1	3	3:6	-3	4
14	Gimnástica Torrelavega	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
15	Llanera	5	1	1	3	5:10	-5	4
16	Atlético Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3
17	Arosa	5	0	3	2	6:13	-7	3
18	Racing Santander II	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.24X28%3.23232%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.32 → 2.26 -2.6%X3.10 → 3.19 +2.9%22.76 → 2.80 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.93	5.9%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
BetVictor	1.68	1.65	20.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.93	3.1%
Average	1.85	1.80	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.69	2.03	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Betano	1.70	1.98	9.3%
BetVictor	1.53	1.83	20.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.65	1.99	10.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Llanera 10%Draw 45%Marino de Luanco 45%

The statistical model rates Llanera at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marino de Luanco at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.23 | 2.79, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Llanera are 15th (4 pts, 5-10 goals), Marino de Luanco 11th (6 pts, 6-8).

Over their last five matches, Llanera averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Marino de Luanco averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Marino de Luanco.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.24	3.23	2.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.52	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.87	2.09	3.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	10.5	2.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.20
1.5	1.30	3.15
2.5	1.85	1.81
3.5	3.15	1.28
4.5	5.60	1.11
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.15	4.21
1.75	1.31	3.01
2	1.40	2.61
2.25	1.63	2.11
2.75	2.10	1.64
3	2.53	1.43
3.25	2.84	1.35
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.60	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.70	1.38
-0.5	2.24	1.61
-0.25	1.93	1.72
0	1.68	2.04
+0.25	1.48	2.38
+0.5	1.39	2.82

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.01
-2	8.60	1.02
-1.5	4.75	1.12
-1.25	4.25	1.15
-1	3.66	1.22
+0.75	1.25	3.37
+1	1.11	4.95
+1.25	1.10	4.98
+1.5	1.07	5.95