Amorebieta vs Portugalete• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#81.0:0.81-0LiveToday · Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano1.0:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.08PINX3.26PIN23.50DAFMargin at best7.3%Books9Markets41Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.11	3.30	3.30	8.0%
Betano	2.07	3.25	3.35	8.9%
Pinnacle	2.08	3.26	3.30	9.1%
1xBet	2.03	3.15	3.38	10.6%
Bet365	2.00	3.25	3.30	11.1%
Betfair	2.00	3.10	3.40	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.01	3.15	3.30	11.8%
William Hill	2.05	3.00	3.30	12.4%
BetVictor	1.95	2.80	3.00	20.3%
Best of all books	2.11	3.30	3.40	7.1%
Average	2.03	3.14	3.29	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AmorebietaPortugalete

Last 10#8Table position#91.40Points per game1.407Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5060Defence rating4050Form rating5088H2H rating1344Goals model5663Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

Amorebieta

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Atlético Astorga	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Ourense CF	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Racing Santander II	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Bergantiños	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Arosa	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Athletic Club II	0-1	L
3 May	A	Mutilvera	2-0	W
26 Apr	H	Sestao River	1-1	D
18 Apr	A	Real Unión	3-3	D
11 Apr	H	Gernika	1-2	L

Portugalete

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

3 Oct	H	Deportivo Alavés II	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Bergantiños	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Coruxo	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Compostela	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Atlético Astorga	1-0	W
14 Aug	H	Barakaldo	2-0	W
9 May	A	Deportivo Alavés III	2-1	W
3 May	H	Aurrerá Vitoria	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Leioa	1-1	D
17 Apr	H	Eibar III	4-2	W

Head to head

2Amorebieta wins

1draws

0Portugalete wins

3 meetings · goals 5:1 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Amorebieta

30 Dec 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Portugalete0-3Amorebieta
23 Jan 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Amorebieta2-1Portugalete
25 Oct 2020Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	Portugalete0-0Amorebieta

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 10 Oct 16:51 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Amorebieta sit 8th with 7 points from 5 games, while Portugalete are 9th with 7 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bergantiños	5	4	1	0	12:5	+7	13
2	Eibar II	6	4	1	1	11:4	+7	13
3	Deportivo Alavés II	5	4	0	1	12:6	+6	12
4	Sestao River	5	4	0	1	7:3	+4	12
5	Ourense CF	5	3	1	1	5:3	+2	10
6	Basconia	6	2	3	1	10:9	+1	9
7	Gernika	5	2	2	1	12:5	+7	8
8	Amorebieta	5	2	1	2	5:4	+1	7
9	Portugalete	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
10	Real Oviedo II	5	2	1	2	8:10	-2	7
11	Marino de Luanco	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6
12	Coruxo	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
13	Compostela	5	1	1	3	3:6	-3	4
14	Gimnástica Torrelavega	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
15	Llanera	5	1	1	3	5:10	-5	4
16	Atlético Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3
17	Arosa	5	0	3	2	6:13	-7	3
18	Racing Santander II	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.03X29%3.14227%3.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 2.03 +14.7%X3.43 → 3.13 -8.7%23.95 → 3.31 -16.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.21	1.63	6.6%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.47	20.7%
Best of all books	2.21	1.65	5.9%
Average	2.12	1.59	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.88	1.81	8.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.78	9.4%
BetVictor	1.70	1.65	19.4%
Best of all books	1.93	1.83	6.5%
Average	1.85	1.76	10.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Amorebieta 45%Draw 45%Portugalete 10%

The statistical model rates Amorebieta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Portugalete at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.14 | 3.29, which imply roughly 49.3% for a Amorebieta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Amorebieta are 8th (7 pts, 5-4 goals), Portugalete 9th (7 pts, 5-6).

Over their last five matches, Amorebieta averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Portugalete averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Amorebieta or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.03	3.14	3.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.65	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.68	2.00	4.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	7.70	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.73
1.5	1.36	2.78
2.5	2.12	1.60
3.5	3.81	1.19
4.5	7.40	1.07
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.50
1.25	1.19	3.74
1.75	1.45	2.48
2	1.62	2.13
2.25	1.84	1.76
2.75	2.48	1.45
3	3.15	1.29
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.79	1.12
4	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.09	1.29
-0.75	2.37	1.49
-0.5	1.99	1.78
-0.25	1.74	1.90
0	1.49	2.41
+0.25	1.36	2.80

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2	8.10	1.02
-1.75	4.95	1.11
-1.5	4.00	1.17
-1.25	3.58	1.21
+0.5	1.31	3.22
+0.75	1.15	4.20
+1	1.05	6.65
+1.25	1.12	4.68
+1.5	1.02	7.70